Debra Sinick

What Were The Chances of Selling Your Seattle/Eastside Home in July, 2008?

In Bellevue Real Estate, Bellevue, WA, For Buyers, For Sellers, Issaquah Real Estate, Issaquah, WA, King County Real Estate, King County, WA, Kirkland, Local news and information, Real Estate News, Redmond, Sammamish, WA, Sammamish, WA Real Estate, Seattle, Seattle real estate, WA, Woodinville, WA, Woodinville, WA Real Estate, market statistics, real estate on August 12, 2008 at 1:58 pm
The chances of selling a home on the Eastside in July 2008 ranged from a low of 5% to a high of 16%, with an average 12.5% absorption rate. (The absorption rate is the number of homes for sale in any given month divided by the actual number of homes sold that month.) Numbers will be rounded off to the nearest whole number, unless the number is exactly .5% between two numbers.
Here are the real estate statistics for single family home sales activity on Seattle’s Eastside:
July 2008               4332 homes available,  543 sold,   12.5% chance of selling
June 2008              4154 homes available,  635 sold,  15.2 % chance of selling.
May 2008              4349 homes available,  522 sold,  12% chance of selling.
July 2007               3253 homes available,   773 sold,  23.8% chance of selling. 

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(click on the each area name for a chart showing the latest stats in the area)

The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

Sellers had a 12% chance of getting a home sold, DOWN from 17% last month and DOWN from 22% last year.  Median home prices were up by 1%, from $569,800 to $575,000.  Inventory was up by 18% and sales declined by 33.5% from last year.

West Redmond/East Bellevue

Sellers had a 16% chance of getting a home sold, DOWN from 23% last month, and DOWN from 34% last year.  Median sales price decreased from $599,000 to $574,990, a decrease of 4%.  Inventory was up 70% and sales were down 20%.

South Bellevue

Sellers had a 14% chance of selling a home, UP from 12.5% last month and DOWN from 23% last year.  Median price decreased by 19% to $604,950 from $749,975.  Inventory was up 24% and sales were down 24.5%.

Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall

Sellers had a 15% chance of selling a home,  DOWN from 15.5% last month and DOWN from 26% last year.  Median price was down to $475,000 from $550,000, a 14% decrease.  Inventory was up by 35% from last year and sales declined by 23%.

Kirkland

Sellers had a 10% chance of selling a home, DOWN from 16.5% last month and DOWN from 22% last year.  Median price declined by 25%, from $757,475 to $569,000. Inventory was up by 25% and sales were down by 38%.

West Bellevue

Sellers had a 5% chance of selling a home, DOWN from 9.5%, and DOWN from 19% last year.  Median pricing decreased by 29% to $1,354,975 from $1,748,000.  Inventory increased by 85% and sales declined by 50%.

Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

Sellers had a 14% chance of selling a home, UP (barely) from 13% last month, and DOWN from 22% last year.  Median pricing decreased by 15% from $644,435 to $549,375.  Inventory increased by 18% and sales dropped by 25%.

The activity for May  is included at the top of this article because July’s market performance is very similar to the market performance in May.  June was a stronger month for sales for most of the Eastside neighborhoods than July has been.  South Bellevue, and Education Hill, Carnation, and Union Hill areas were all stronger performing areas, but only by a fraction.  Every other area of the Eastside showed less of an absorption rate than in June.  West Bellevue, Medina and Clyde Hill, our most expensive areas, were hit the hardest with the biggest decline in activity and pricing. 

To determine the most realistic view of the market, look at several months worth of data.   Pay particular attention to the amount of homes for sale in your area.  Regardless of what’s happened in the previous months, make sure you know the actual competition in your area before establishing a sales price and going on the market.

Remember sellers, it’s price and condition in this market.  Homes are selling, but as we all know, there’s competition. Be the best home out there and your home will sell.

  1. Hi Debra – you crack me up every time I see one of these posts. THANK YOU!

    The “chances” of someone selling a property during any time period are 100% – if they are priced realistically and they are properly represented. No more no less.

    Bless you – and your sense of humor.

  2. Hi Joe,

    You are correct, the chances of selling each month are 100%. The operative word here is “were”. What “were” the chances of selling in a particular month that has passed. We can calculate the chances a home had to sell by the amount of available homes and the actual number of sales. This is the absorption rate, the chances of selling, for that particular month. Since July is now past, there is a 0% chance of selling in July, but 100% chance of selling the month of August, but only until the end of the month!

    I am reporting on the actual chance of having sold in the previous month.

    Both buyers and sellers like the hard data on what has sold and not sold and how many homes actually sell each month. It helps people determine pricing for listings and for offers. It’s the reality of the marketplace in a particular area.

  3. [...] activity. For a full report on the eastside area’s real estate activity check out my eastside blog. Posted in For Buyers, For Sellers, Local information, Market Statistics, Microsoft, Real Estate [...]

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