The chances of selling a home on the Eastside in September 2008 ranged from a low of 8% to a high of 17.5%, with an average 12% absorption rate. (The absorption rate is the number of homes for sale in any given month divided by the actual number of homes sold that month.) Numbers will be rounded off to the nearest whole number, unless the number is exactly .5% between two numbers. (Revised numbers)
Here are the real estate statistics for single family home sales activity on Seattle’s Eastside:
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(click on the each area name for a chart showing the latest stats in the area)
The plateau: Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City
Sellers had a 14% chance of getting a home sold, UP from 13% last month and DOWN from 15% last year. Median home prices were down by 14%, from $602,500 to $519,000. Inventory was up by 10% and sales up by 1.5% from last year.
Sellers had a 17.5% chance of getting a home sold, DOWN from 19% last month, and DOWN from 19 % last year. Median sales price decreased from $575,000 to $550,000, a decrease of 5%. Inventory was up 24% and sales were up 16%.
Sellers had a 11% chance of selling a home, THE SAME as last month and UP from 10% last year. Median price decreased by 5% to $594,500 from $627,250. Inventory was up 7% and sales were up 19%.
Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall
Sellers had a 12% chance of selling a home, UP from 11% last month and DOWN from 13% last year. Median price was down to $459,950 from $495,000, a 7% decrease. Inventory was up by 19% from last year and sales were up by 15%.
Sellers had a 9% chance of selling a home, THE SAME as last month and DOWN from 12.5% last year. Median price increased by 2%, to $695,000 from $679,975. Inventory was up by 20% and sales were up by 17%.
Sellers had a 8% chance of selling a home, UP from 6% last month, and THE SAME as last year. Median pricing decreased by 15% to $1,314,000 from $1,550,000. Inventory increased by 49.5% and sales increased by 53%.
Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation
Sellers had a 17% chance of selling a home, UP from 14% from last month, and UP from 11% last year. Median pricing decreased by 4.5% from $549,950 to $525,000. Inventory increased by 11% and sales increased by 58.5%!
Most eastside neighborhoods showed similar real estate activity in September as in August. The chances of selling a home hardly varied with the exception of the Redmond’s Education and Novelty Hill areas and Carnation. The area experienced a 3% increase over August activity. This area also saw the largest increase in sales from last September, 58% more homes sold.
Homes in West Bellevue had only an 8% chance of selling. However, West Bellevue had a huge increase in inventory, almost 50%, resulting in 53% more sales this year than last year at this time.
All the eastside areas dropped in median pricing, with the exception of Kirkland, which was up 2% this month.
The chances of selling a home on the eastside have not varied much in most neighborhoods over the past few months. However, in almost all neighborhoods, prices are down and inventory and sales are up.




Hi Debra – You’ve done a great job summarizing the absorption rates in an understandable way. The difficult concept that sellers don’t understand is that there are a lot of factors contributing to the sale of those 12% (as you mentioned in your last post): condition, pricing, timing, infrastructure, staging, competition, etc…ad infinitum.
Thanks, James, for your feedback. You’re exactly right. Pricing and condition dictated who ended up in that 12% last month. There are homes selling, but it is the best of the best that sell and it is the homes that are perceived as a value to the buyer.
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