The odds of selling a home on the Eastside in June, 2010 ranged from a low of 9% to a high of 23%, with an average 15% absorption rate. For the past few months, the absorption rate for all the Seattle-eastside areas had been in the double digits. This month, downtown Redmond and Carnation are in the single digits, at 9%. It’s a stark contrast to April, 2010 with its low of 20% to a high of 35%, averaging a 27% absorption rate.
June’s real estate activity is more similar to May, when the numbers started looking more like last year’s real estate rather than the highs of April, 2010. It’s ironic, in a sense, the tax credit did offer buyers a true incentive to buy, but if one looks at the total picture, there still may be many opportunities to “get a deal.” With the lowest interest rates in 30 years and the higher number of homes on the market, it’s becoming more of a buyer’s market again. ( I’ll be posting the map showing the different markets later this week.) Plus, summer is the time to play outside for Seattleites, so there are usually less buyers competing for homes.
(The absorption rate is the number of homes for sale in any given month divided by the actual number of homes sold that month.)
June, 2010 3360 homes for sale 503 homes sold 15 % odds of selling.
May, 2010 3209 homes for sale 492 (was 563) homes sold 15% (was 17.5%) odds of selling.*
June, 2009 3859 homes for sale 563 homes sold 15% odds of selling.
*Adjusted from previous month’s numbers to reflect the actual number of homes sold and closed. Each month some sales fall apart and don’t close. A lower number of home sales may be reported at a later date to show the actual number of sales that did close.
June, 2009 Seattle-Eastside real estate market compared to June, 2010:
- Surprisingly, the average list price of pending homes (recently sold) went from $547,381 to $553,772.
- As of this past week, there were 14,235 King County homes (houses and condos) for sale.
- Is this the peak of the real estate market for the number of homes for sale this year?
- Home sales on Seattle’s Eastside: down 20%, which follows a much smaller drop of 7% in May.
- Number of homes for sale on Seattle’s Eastside: down 11%
Best odds of selling: Redmond, near Microsoft, and East Bellevue.
Worst odds of selling: Carnation and Redmond, from downtown to north and east, with 9% of the homes getting accepted offers.
Biggest increase in sales from last year: A very small 3% increase in East Bellevue and Redmond, near Microsoft, home sales.
Smallest increase in sales from last year: Same as above. This area had the only increase in Seattle-eastside home sales in June.
Decline in real estate sales from last year: There was a decline in 6 out of the 7 Seattle-eastside areas. Redmond and Carnation had the largest decline in home sales with a 43% decline in the number of homes sold. This area also had the largest decline in home sales last month.
The peak of homes for sale in 2008: July, 4370 homes.
The peak of homes for sale in 2009: June, 3859 homes.
The number of eastside homes for sale at the start of 2010: 2584 homes
The number of eastside homes for sale now: 3360 homes.
Rate of home sales that failed and did not close: 13%
The sun is out now in Seattle (although a little late today), which tends to slow Seattle Eastside real estate sales. The number of home sales could remain on the lower side in the near future for two reasons. One is the slow down after the tax credit rush and the sunny weather and summer vacations. People in Seattle like to play outside in the sun.
The slower home sales is ironic, given the high number of homes for sale, which means lots of choices and the screamingly low interest rates. I believe there are some great deals out there for buyers right now.