Debra Sinick

Archive for the ‘For Buyers’ Category

What Were The Chances of Selling Your Seattle/Eastside Condo in June, 2009?

In For Buyers, For Sellers, Seattle real estate, market statistics, real estate on July 14, 2009 at 8:47 pm

(pended means the number of condos that got offers this month)

Seattle-Eastside Condo Sales June 2009

Seattle-Eastside Condo Sales June 2009

(The absorption rate, the percentage of condos selling,  is the number of condos for sale in any given month divided by the actual number of condos sold that month.  So if the absorption rate or chance of selling is 10% that means out of 100 condos for sale, 10 received offers and sold.)

June, 2009                                1491 condos for sale                     189 condos sold                12% chance of selling

May, 2009                                 1441 condos for sale              153 condos sold         10% (12%) chance of selling.

*Adjusted from previous month’s original numbers to reflect the actual number of homes sold and closed.  Some of the sales from each month originally reported fall out and do not close.

Real estate activity, in general,  stronger this year than last.  However, 14% of the sales didn’t close that were reported as pending in May.  When first reported in May. there were 177 sales.  The month of May ended up with 153 sales, which means 27 home sales fell apart and did not close.

Sales don’t close for a variety of reasons: an appraisal that came in lower than the selling price, an inspection that both buyer and seller couldn’t agree upon or a lender who didn’t put the loan package together properly.  These are  just some of the reasons sales have failed recently.  Unfortunately, there are other reasons sales fail to close.

The condo market on Seattle’s eastside is still far stronger than last year at this time.  Both the number of condos for sale and the amount of sales have increased.  For buyers thinking about making their first purchase, it’s a good time to make a move to get the $8000 tax incentive. Right now, the tax incentive goes away if you have not purchased and closed on a home by November 30th, 2009.  It sounds like it is far away, but if you want to close in November, you should be making an offer by the beginning of October.  It’s really not all that far away.

What Were The Chances of Selling Your Seattle/Eastside Home in June, 2009?

In Bellevue Real Estate, For Buyers, For Sellers, Issaquah Real Estate, King County Real Estate, Kirkland, Sammamish, WA Real Estate, Woodinville, WA Real Estate, real estate on July 14, 2009 at 12:02 pm
Seattle/Eastside Real Estate, June 2009

Seattle/Eastside Real Estate, June 2009

The chances of selling a home on the Eastside in June 2009 ranged from a low of 13% to a high of 23%, with an average 17% absorption rate. (The absorption rate is the number of homes for sale in any given month divided by the actual number of homes sold that month.)  Numbers are rounded off to the nearest whole number, unless the number is exactly .5% between two numbers.

Here are the real estate statistics for single family home sales activity on Seattle’s Eastside:

June, 2009           3859 homes for sale,         675  homes sold          17% chance of selling.

May, 2009            3841 homes for sale           557  homes sold          14% (16%) chance of selling.*

June,  2008          4305 homes for sale          478  homes sold            11% chance of selling.

*Adjusted from previous month’s original numbers to reflect the actual number of homes sold and closed.  Some of the sales from each month originally reported fall out and do not close.

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(You can still find the  MLS charts by clicking on each of the cities below.  Those charts have some of the same information as the chart above, but also show the real estate trends for the last 5 years which includes median pricing for each city and whether the number of homes for sale and the number of sales are up or down.  If you look at the charts by city, you’ll notice the total number of homes for sale and the number of homes sold can vary slightly from those charts to the chart above.  The information for the charts is gathered at slightly different times so will vary slightly.  Regardless of the exact numbers, it’s clear the charts show the same trends, which is the most important piece of information.)

(click on city names for a chart showing the latest stats in the area)

The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

The chances of selling were 21%.

Median sales price decreased by 15% from $589,000 to $499,950.

Inventory was down by 12% and sales were up by 13% from last year.

West Redmond/East Bellevue

The chances of selling were 23%.

Median sales price decreased to $499,950 from $549,500 a decrease of 9%.

Inventory was down 11% and sales were down 1%. (74 vs. 75 sales)

South Bellevue

The chances of selling were 14.5%.

Median price decreased by 4% from $610,000 to $588,975

Inventory was down by 15.5% and sales were up 24%.

Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland

The chances of selling were 18%.

Median price was down to $419,950 from $498,875, a 15% decrease.

Inventory was down by 15% from last year and sales were up by 12.5%.

Kirkland

The chances of selling were 15%.

Median price decreased by18%, from $724,950  to $596,925.

Inventory was down by 12% and sales were down by 6%.

West Bellevue

The chances of selling were 13%.

Median pricing decreased by34%  from $1,294,750 to $849,000.

Inventory decreased by 2% and sales increased by 57%.

Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

The chances of selling were 19%

Median pricing decreased by 21%  from $671,035 to $529,950.

Inventory decreased by 5% and sales increased by 43%.

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Thoughts on the June 2009 Seattle Eastside real estate market:

  • Most eastside homes had 17% chance of selling.  Seventeen out of 100 homes had offers last month and are now pending.
  • It looks like 11% of the home sales fell out of escrow, as the absorption rate for May dropped by 2%.  Originally, there were 624 pending sales, so 67 offers did not stay together.  This is a high number of failed sales and could  be the result of inspections in which buyers and sellers do not agree, an appraisal that does not justify the sales price or lenders who do not package the loan properly.  If a lender doesn’t put the buyers information together correctly or doesn’t understand all that will be required, then the loan may not be approved.
  • Best odds of selling:once again it’s Redmond, near Microsoft, and East Bellevue with a 23% chance.
  • Most difficult odds of selling:  West Bellevue, with a 13% chance of selling a home.  Yet, West Bellevue had the biggest increase from last year with the chance of getting a home sold.
  • The number of homes for sale is still less than last year, but the home sales were up in almost every part of the eastside.

Both The Seattle Times and KPLU had good stories about the more positive Seattle area real estate market.



Is A Hold On The New Real Estate Appraisal Rules, the HVCC, Coming?

In For Buyers, For Homeowners, Real Estate News, financing, real estate on July 7, 2009 at 6:47 am

Recently, I wrote about my experience with the “new and improved” real estate appraisal process, the HVCC, House Valuation Code of Conduct, a misguided attempt to right the wrongs of past appraisals.   The appraisal process needed to be revamped, but I’m not alone in seeing how difficult the new appraisal system has been for the consumerPetitions are online for people to ask that the HVCC be reevaluated.

Briefly, the HVCC requires all appraisals to go through a central clearing house.  The next appraiser on the list is assigned the job, regardless of experience and knowledge about an area.  The appraiser may live and work in an area hours away from the property. It’s very hard for anyone to know the individual nuances of a neighborhood, builders, school systems, etc. and how these affect value.  I can only imagine how hard it must be for appraisers to have to evaluate properties hither and yon.   How could anyone appraise properties in an area that’s the size of small states and get it right all of the time?

In addition,  appraisals cost buyers about the same as before, $450-500, but the portion of the fee directed to the appraiser has decreased. The appraisers only make about $200 and the rest of the fee goes to the appraisal management companies, which, by the way, are often owned by banks and title insurance companies.  This from Matt Carter at Inman News:

As originally proposed, the code would have barred lenders from ordering reports from appraisal management companies they owned more than a 20 percent stake in. But as adopted, the code does not limit lender ownership stakes in appraisal management companies.

What if your lender makes a mistake and your loan needs to go to a different lender?  Believe me, it happens and it happens to good, strong buyers.  Well, not only will your loan close late, you”ll be the proud owner of two appraisals. This from Matt Carter at Inman News again ( Joseph Heller would have had fun with this one):

The code allows lenders to accept an appraisal produced for another lender, for example, but only after the receiving lender obtains confirmation in writing from the original lender that the appraisal is in compliance with the code.

Because there is currently no industry or supervisory standard regarding what constitutes an adequate written confirmation of compliance with the code, Kittle said, lenders are reluctant to accept another lender’s appraisal because they might be forced to repurchase loans if they are found to have breached the code.

That means lenders “typically order a new appraisal at the expense of the borrower,” even if an appraisal has recently been performed by another lender, Kittle said.

I’ve heard of appraisals coming in late, causing the buyer to close late and lose their loan lock.  Imagine how difficult this is when you have movers sitting in your driveway and they are booked for weeks afterward.  I could go on, but this is a simplified version of the changes brought to the real estate industry by the HVCC.

Two US Representatives, Representative Travis Childers (D-Miss) and Gary Miller (R-CA),  have introduced a bill, HR 3044, to suspend the new HVCC code for 18 months, so it can be properly evaluated. This a good thing for consumers and the housing industry.  Changes to the appraisal system need to be done right, but not by implementing a system that creates more problems.   We must be fair to both buyers and sellers and make sure  appraisals are coming in on time and at the value that exists in the marketplace.

It’s important for you to contact your congress person to see this law is passed to help protect the integrity of the system and ensure changes to the appraisal system are a benefit, not a detriment.

Representative Jay Inslee (D – 01) 202-225-6311 202-226-1606 http://www.house.gov/inslee/contact/email.html
Representative Rick R. Larsen (D – 02) 202-225-2605 202-225-4420 http://www.house.gov/larsen/IMA/issue_subscribe.shtml
Representative Brian Baird (D – 03) 202-225-3536 202-225-3478 https://forms.house.gov/baird/webforms/issue_subscribe.htm
Representative Richard (Doc) Hastings (R – 04) 202-225-5816 202-225-3251 http://hastings.house.gov/ContactForm.aspx
Representative Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R – 05) 202-225-2006 202-225-3392 http://mcmorris.house.gov/?sectionid=82&sectiontree=482
Representative Norman D. Dicks (D – 06) 202-225-5916 202-226-1176 http://www.house.gov/dicks/email.shtml
Representative Jim McDermott (D – 07) 202-225-3106 202-225-6197 http://www.house.gov/mcdermott/contact.shtml
Representative Dave Reichert (R – 08) 202-225-7761 202-225-4282 http://reichert.house.gov/Contact/ZipAuth.htm
Representative Adam Smith (D – 09) 202-225-8901 202-225-5893 http://adamsmith.house.gov/Contact/

Sharing Real Estate Information, It’s What It’s All About

In Bellevue Real Estate, For Buyers, For Sellers, King County, WA, Real Estate News, Seattle real estate, Windermere Real Estate, real estate, real estate opinion on June 25, 2009 at 9:57 pm

Windermere announced its company website will now include all open houses, not just Windermere Real Estate’s open houses.  This is a good thing.  Consumers expect to get quality information about the real estate market from a real estate website.  Sharing all the data makes perfect sense.

A top quality website enhances the customer experience, which ultimately should be the goal.   It’s not only a benefit for the real estate company and every buyer and seller, it’s a benefit for Windermere agents, buyers, and sellers. It’s a win-win situation for all.

The traditional real estate companies are so well versed in the home buying and selling process, providing all the  real estate data online provides true full service to the consumer.

Which Homes Are Selling on Seattle’s Eastside?

In Bellevue Real Estate, For Buyers, For Sellers, Issaquah Real Estate, King County Real Estate, Kirkland, Redmond, Sammamish, WA Real Estate, Seattle real estate, Woodinville, WA Real Estate, real estate on June 23, 2009 at 11:31 am
Popular Price Ranges for May's Home Sales on Seattle's eastside

Popular Price Ranges for May's Home Sales on Seattle's eastside

The sales prices for homes on Seattle’s Eastside is similar to the popular price ranges for home sales early this year, as shown by the chart below.  The total number of sold homes varies by just a few percent from winter, 2009 to May, 2009.  In May, 89% of home sales on the eastside were priced under $1,000,000, 79% under $750,000 and 49%, almost half, were under $500,000.  So if your  home is priced under $500,000, is a resale, and is vacant, you’ve got the best chance of selling. ( numbers at the bottom of the chart were rounded off, hence the discrepancy in the actual total numbers.  All numbers were compiled by Windermere Real Estate from Northwest Multiple Listing data)

the most popular price ranges for homes on Seattle's eastside

the most popular price ranges for homes sales on Seattle’s eastside, winter, 2009

What Were The Chances of Selling Your Seattle-Eastside Condo in May, 2009?

In Bellevue Real Estate, Bellevue, WA, For Buyers, For Sellers, Issaquah Real Estate, King County Real Estate, Kirkland, Real Estate News, Redmond, Sammamish, WA Real Estate, Seattle real estate, Woodinville, WA Real Estate, market statistics, real estate on June 17, 2009 at 3:11 pm
Seattle-Eastside Condo Real Estate Statistics, May 2009

Seattle-Eastside Condo Real Estate Statistics, May 2009

(pended means the number of condos that got offers this month)

(The absorption rate, the percentage of condos selling,  is the number of condos for sale in any given month divided by the actual number of condos sold that month.  So if the absorption rate or chance of selling is 10% that means out of 100 condos for sale, 10 received offers and sold.)

1441 condos for sale                     177 condos sold                12% chance of selling.

May represented the highest number of condo sales on Seattle’s eastside since June, 2008. The number of condos for sale increased dramatically this month, with the addition of 126 more condos for sale, whereas only 15  more condos sold in May than in April.  There was a much bigger jump in the condos for sale than in the number of condos that sold.

Real estate activity, in general, is picking up.  It will be interesting to watch how the fluctuating interest rates affect the sales of condos on Seattle’s eastside and in the real estate market overall.  We have to remember that rates are still wonderfully low, even if they go up.



What A Difference A Year Makes In Seattle-Eastside Real Estate

In Bellevue Real Estate, For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, Issaquah Real Estate, King County Real Estate, King County, WA, Sammamish, WA, Sammamish, WA Real Estate, Seattle, Seattle real estate, WA real estate, Woodinville, WA, market statistics, real estate on June 15, 2009 at 3:15 pm

The Seattle area real estate market is going from green to yellow. The map colors have changed on these  real estate maps, representing a shift in the real estate market.
King Snohomish County Months Supply Area Map May 2009

King Snohomish County Months Supply Area Map May 2009

King  Snohomish County Months Supply Area Map-May 2008

King Snohomish County Months Supply Area Map-May 2008

Here’s what these maps show:


Each NWMLS (Northwest Multiple Listing Service) real estate area in the two counties  is shown on the maps. For example, if you look at the eastside, you’ll see an area labeled 530, which is East Bellevue and parts of Redmond,  and 560, which is Kirkland.

Every area of the NWMLS is then evaluated by looking at the number of homes for sale and the number of homes that sell each month in that area. If there’s an overabundance of homes for sale compared to the number of homes selling, then it’s a buyers’ market.  If there are a reasonable number of homes selling each month compared to the number of homes on the market, then it’s a balanced market between buyer and seller.  Lastly, if the number of homes is selling well compared to how many are for sale, then it’s a sellers’ market.

What do the colors on the maps represent?
  • Green represents a buyers’ market.
  • Yellow represents a balanced market between buyer and seller.
  • Red represents a sellers’ market.

Along the sides of the maps, each real estate area is listed with the number of months it would take to sell all the homes currently for sale in the area. Let’s look at area 530 again.  In area 530, if no other home comes on the market, it would take about 4.4 months for the homes to sell.  In Kirkland, area 560, if no other home comes on the market, it would take 8.1 months to sell the homes for sale.  East Bellevue and Redmond near Microsoft are color coded in yellow.  With 4.4 months of inventory, it has a more balanced market.  Kirkland is colored green.  It’s a buyer’s market because it would take 8.1 months to sell the homes on the market.

Looking at 2009’s map, it’s clear how much the Seattle area real estate market has changed to a more balanced market.  Most King and Snohomish county real estate areas are colored yellow, showing a balance between buyers and sellers.

May of 2008 was very definitely a buyers’ market and a buyers’ market only. In May of 2008, green for a buyers’ market was the predominant color on the map.  In May of 2009, yellow is the dominant color, representing a more balanced real estate market.

What Were The Chances Of Selling Your Seattle/Eastside Home in May, 2009?

In Bellevue Real Estate, Bellevue, WA, For Buyers, For Sellers, Issaquah Real Estate, Issaquah, WA, King County Real Estate, Sammamish, WA Real Estate, Woodinville, WA Real Estate, market statistics, real estate on June 10, 2009 at 2:06 pm
Seattle/ Eastside Residential Real Estate, May 2009

Seattle/ Eastside Residential Real Estate, May 2009

The chances of selling a home on the Eastside in May 2009 ranged from a low of 12% to a high of 23%, with an average 16% absorption rate. (The absorption rate is the number of homes for sale in any given month divided by the actual number of homes sold that month.)  Numbers are rounded off to the nearest whole number, unless the number is exactly .5% between two numbers.

Here are the real estate statistics for single family home sales activity on Seattle’s Eastside:

May, 2009            3841 homes for sale           624  homes sold          16% chance of selling.

April, 2009           3600 homes for sale          497 homes sold           17% chance of selling.

May,  2008          4305 homes for sale           478 homes sold            11% chance of selling.

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(You can still find the  MLS charts by clicking on each of the cities below.  Those charts have some of the same information as the chart above, but also show the real estate trends for the last 5 years, including  median pricing for each city and whether the number of homes for sale and the number of sales are up or down.  If you look at the charts by city, you’ll notice the total number of homes for sale and the number of homes sold can vary slightly from those charts to the chart above.  The information for the charts is gathered at slightly different times.  Regardless of the exact numbers, it’s clear the charts show the same trends, which is the most important piece of information.)

(click on city names for a chart showing the latest stats in the area)

The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall Ciy

The chances of selling were 17%.

Median sales price decreased by 15% from $614,900 to $524,950.

Inventory was down by 15% and sales were up by 15% from last year.

West Redmond/East Bellevue

The chances of selling were 23%.

Median sales price decreased to $515,000 to $559,950 a decrease of 8%.

Inventory was down 16% and sales were up 43%.

South Bellevue

The chances of selling were 17%.

Median price decreased by 11.5% from $699,475 to $619,000.

Inventory was down by 18.5% and sales were up 25%.

Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland

The chances of selling were 17%.

Median price was down to $459,500 from $499,950, an 8% decrease.

Inventory was down by12% from last year and sales were up by 58%.

Kirkland

The chances of selling were 12%.

Median price decreased by12%, from $679,000  to $599,950.

Inventory was down by 10% and sales were up by 16%.

West Bellevue

The chances of selling were 18%.

Median pricing decreased by17%  from $1,325,000 to $1,097,975.

Inventory decreased by 2 % and sales increased by 143.5%.

Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

The chances of selling were 17%

Median pricing decreased by 12%  from $650,000 to $569,895.

Inventory decreased by 8% and sales decreased by 25%.

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Thoughts on the May 2009 Seattle Eastside real estate market:

  • May is the second month in a row for the odds of selling a Seattle/Eastside home falling in double digit range.
  • Most eastside neighborhoods had 17% odds of homes selling.  Seventeen out of 100 homes had offers accepted last month and are now pending.
  • Best odds of selling: Redmond, near Microsoft, and East Bellevue with a 23% chance.
  • Most difficult odds of selling:  Kirkland with a 12% chance.
  • The stand-out area, which is often the case, is East Bellevue and Redmond, close to Microsoft.  This area’s absorption rate was the last to slow down and is the first to come back to life.  Twenty-three percent of the homes for sale sold there in both April and May.
  • The biggest increase in the chances of getting a home sold:  West Bellevue.
  • The number of homes for sale is down and home sales were up all over the eastside.
  • Are real estate prices increasing on Seattle’s Eastside?  No, the number of sales has increased dramatically, but not the prices.

HUD Giveth and HUD Taketh Away The $8000 First Time Home Buyer Credit for a Downpayment

In 2009 stimulus package, For Buyers, Mortgages, Real Estate News, financing, real estate on June 5, 2009 at 5:45 pm

The $8000 first time home buyer credit cannot be used towards a buyer’s downpayment.  It’s dead on arrival.  After much fanfare last month and at the “gentle” urging of the IRS,  HUD re-evaluated the potential addition to the first time home buyer program and decided against using the tax credit towards a first time buyer’s downpayment.  Last month, the media was abuzz with the proposed plan. Different people, Realtors, bloggers, writers, etc came out quickly for or against the program. I wrote a post after Shaun Donovan from HUD announced the program on the Seattle Real Estate Professional Blog.    Now it’s gone with the wind, so start saving your shekels.

The “New and Improved” Appraisal System is New, But Not Improved

In For Buyers, For Sellers, Kirkland, Mortgages, Redmond, financing, real estate, real estate opinion on June 5, 2009 at 12:53 pm

I’m having a bad real estate day because of an appraisal and I was just about to rip my hair out until I read Kris Berg’s excellent piece which did make me laugh about the “fun” we are having with appraisals these days.  Kris has a great way of getting serious issues across to her readers, but with a light touch. The HVCC, The Home Evaluation Code of Conduct, is not a humorous situation for consumers and the real estate industry, but it’s probably better for me to laugh a little, since I really want to scream.

As of May 1st, the appraisal industry had to meet new Freddie Mac guidelines called The Home Evaluation Code of Conduct, subtitled “Enhancing The Independence of Appraisers“. The debate about the new home valuation code of conduct has been going on since it was first announced last year and is going on to this day. Before the financial meltdown, there were appraisers who needed to be run out of the appraisal business for appraising properties for exorbitant prices, but the reality is there is now a new set of problems created by these new appraisal guidelines.  The appraisals or home valuation system has not been fixed, it just has new problems.  In today’s real estate world, a request for an appraisal is sent to an independent clearing house and the next appraiser on the list is selected to do the job.  This system has been designed to “enhance the independence of appraisers,” as mentioned above.

Now that this “new and improved system” has been in place for just over 30 days, I’ve had the good fortune to see  how it works in reality. Take the latest appraisals I’ve had on two  of my recent sales.  For those of you in the Seattle area, you’ll understand how far flung the different areas are that each appraiser had to drive to in order to complete assigned appraisals.  Appraiser #1 scheduled his appraisal late in the day for a home I’d sold in Redmond, Washington.  He had to come late in the day, because he was coming from an appraisal on Vashon Island.  Vashon Island, the last time I looked, is southwest of Seattle proper in Puget Sound, while Redmond is located east of Seattle across Lake Washington from downtown.  Between ferries, bridges, and highway travel, the appraiser may have to travel 1 1/2 hours (on a good day) between these two appraisal appointments. Appraiser #2 called to appraise a listing of mine in Kirkland, Washington, again on the eastside of Seattle.  This appraiser was coming from an appointment in Maple Valley, which is a city much further south and east of Seattle.

This map shows the location of the places the two appraisers had to go to do their job.  If you click on “view larger map”, you’ll be able to see the location of these cities.  Oh, I forgot, Vashon Island, which is in a different county, doesn’t show up on the map  because it’s so much farther south of the Seattle!  If you look for Maple Valley that, too, does not show up on this map.  Maple Valley happens to be south of Issaquah.


View Larger Map

Silly me, when I have a client who wants to look for a home on Vashon Island, I refer the client to a Realtor who knows the island.  The same goes for Maple Valley.  I could show homes in all of the far flung regions of Seattle/KIng County, but I don’t, because it’s a disservice to my clients.  I don’t know about the different school systems and how they affect the value of the homes in each of the cities, counties or islands in the area. I don’t know about the different builders in the area, the different neighborhoods, the shops, parks, etc, etc. Don’t appraisers need that same knowledge to evaluate properties?  How can appraisers know all of these areas well and give an accurate appraisal for a home? It’s a problem happening all over the country right now.

The second problem I’ve seen come up with appraisals is a little box checked by the appraiser.  As part of the appraisal report, the bank wants to know if the real estate market is appreciating, remaining stable or declining. Recently, two appraisers have checked the box labeling the Seattle/Eastside market as “declining.”  What a shock, this is a market where home prices have gone down!  I wonder who or where appraisers are checking anything but “declining” in that box.  In each case, because of this checked box,  the underwriter required a second appraisal.

The lending/appraisal industry was far from perfect before, but these “improvements have and are wreaking havoc with home prices and the entire loan process. If appraisers are not really familiar with a city or neighborhood, there is no way that the majority of appraisals will be accurate.  This could hurt consumers, both home buyers and home sellers, if properties are not accurately evaluated. The appraisal process needs an industry watch dog and stricter guidelines, but having the appraiser who’s next in line complete an appraisal in an area he/she knows nothing about dilutes the whole appraisal process. It’s a sad state of events for real estate.  I’m hoping the government will see the light and make reasonable changes to this system in the near future.

What problems have you seen since the change in real estate appraisals? My guess is the examples above are only the tip of the iceberg.

Is This a Good Time For Seattle-Eastside Home Owners to Make a Move Up?

In For Buyers, For Sellers, King County Real Estate, WA real estate, real estate, real estate opinion on May 22, 2009 at 2:31 pm

Is this a good time to buy a home and make a make a move up? Two long term clients of mine called me today to talk about the possibility of making a move up.  Both realized it will be tough to sell, they know they won’t get 2007 prices, but they won’t pay 2007 prices either.  If they decide to buy, they’ll pay 2004-5 prices. People are starting to get it.  This is the 4th past client whose called in the past month to talk about making a move up.

Real estate has focused more on the first time home buyer because of the stimulus package’s $8000 first time home buyer credit. I’ve spent a lot of time writing about this tax credit on this blog, but many of us who blog about real estate forget about those who already own a home.   This is a terrific time to make a move up.

Here’s the equation: Lower prices+ lots of choices+ good interest rates=buyer’s market.  Buyers rule right now.  So if you’re a seller, expect to sell for less than you thought you would, but then make it up as a buyer. The happy news website tells the tale of a Bothell couple who moved from a small condo to their first single family home. They sold their condo for less, but paid considerably less for their new home.  I just sold a home for a couple in the Juanita area of Kirkland who would have sold their home a year ago in the low 400’s.  It just sold for $360,000.  They bought new construction in Kirkland priced a good $100,000 less than its original asking price.

People forget how difficult it was to buy a home in a seller’s market. The Seattle-Eastside has been a seller’s market for most of the decade from 1997-2007.   Some years were more challenging for buyers than others. Buyers jumped to compete in multiple offers, paid over full price for homes, bought a home without an inspection or financing clause, pledged their first born, and were happy to do it.  Sometimes buyers paid for a pre-inspection because the offer could not have an inspection clause to compete with other offers.  Sometimes buyers paid for multiple inspections on different homes before they bought a house.  Many people think our real estate market of the past was easy.  It was easier for the sellers, but it was difficult for the buyers.

Now it’s a lot easier for the buyer to buy, but more difficult for the seller to sell a home. It’ s hard to reach that nirvana of a balanced market between home buyers and home sellers ( although we are getting closer in some Seattle neighborhoods), so if you think about making a move up, go for it as a buyer and be giving as a seller.

Couple all the above with the improvement in the real estate market in Seattle and if you want to move up, now’s the time.   Are we at bottom? Many people, including me, believe we’re near or at the bottom of the real estate market, so this could be a good time.

Barbara Corcoran, the owner of Corcoran Real Estate in NYC, spoke about the Top Five Real Estate Markets Expected to Rebound:

  • Denver
  • Raleigh
  • Austin
  • Seattle
  • San Francisco

The 8 criteria to be in one of the top five cities:

  • job growth
  • growing population
  • location-good weather (we may be gray and cloudy, but usually not a lot of snow)
  • first time buyers
  • No over building of condos and office space
  • Vital downtown
  • well educated ( Seattle is a brainy city)
  • first with foreclosures

Does Seattle fit all of the above criteria?  I think not, but we fit most of it, hence we’re not number #1, but #4.  Downtown Seattle and Bellevue have a huge number of new condo developments that are not filling up.  Seattle was not one of the first cities with a large number of foreclosures.  However, Seattle has a young, bright population, a vital downtown both in Seattle and Bellevue, and great prospects for future job growth.

So is this time for you to make a move up? With all these factors playing on the side of buyers, it is a great time to make a move up.  What do you think?

What Were The Chances of Selling Your Seattle-Eastside Condo in April, 2009?

In Bellevue Real Estate, Bellevue, WA, For Buyers, For Sellers, Issaquah Real Estate, Issaquah, WA, King County Real Estate, King County, WA, Kirkland, Redmond, Sammamish, WA, Sammamish, WA Real Estate, Seattle real estate, Woodinville, WA, Woodinville, WA Real Estate, financing, market statistics, real estate on May 19, 2009 at 5:52 pm

TG Chart Eastside Condo April 2009Seattle Eastside April 2009 condo real estate statistics

April, 2009  1315 condos for sale,177 sold, 13% chance of selling a condo

(The absorption rate, the percentage of condos selling,  is the number of condos for sale in any given month divided by the actual number of condos sold that month.  So if the absorption rate or chance of selling is 10% that means out of 100 condos for sale, 10 received offers and sold.)

(pended means the number of condos that got offers this month)

Much good news for the Seattle-Eastside condo sales during April, 2009.  April represented the highest number of condo sales on Seattle’s eastside since June, 2008. Only 15 more condos were offered for sale, but 67 more sold in April than in March. I’m sure the first time home buyer credit is spurring on all the activity.

The other piece of good news is HUD, the office of Housing and Urban Development, announced the $8000 first time home buyer tax credit can be used towards a buyer’s down payment. This is a boon to first time buyers.  The actual workings of the program have not been released yet, but I will report on it as soon as I hear about it.  If you have a lender you trust, you can also contact them to get more information about the program.  Remember, the tax incentive must be used before December 1st, 2009.  To be safe, if you plan to use it, you should consider buying before the end of October, so your home or condo purchase will close in time for you to be eligible for the credit.

What Were The Chances of Selling Your Seattle/Eastside Home in April, 2009?

In Bellevue Real Estate, Bellevue, WA, For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, Issaquah Real Estate, Issaquah, WA, Kirkland, Real Estate News, Redmond, Sammamish, WA, Sammamish, WA Real Estate, Seattle real estate, Woodinville, WA, Woodinville, WA Real Estate, financing, real estate on May 15, 2009 at 7:32 am
Seattle Eastside Resiential Real Estate Activity April 2009

Seattle Eastside Real Estate Activity April 2009

The media was hopping with news stories about the increase in April, 2009 real estate sales in the Seattle area.  Local TV stations KOMO and KING5, both had reports on the more positive real estate market.  The Seattle Times, Seattle PI.com, and BizJournals all had stories with the same theme.

The chances of selling a home on the Eastside in April 2009 ranged from a low of 10% to a high of 23%, with an average 16% absorption rate. (The absorption rate is the number of homes for sale in any given month divided by the actual number of homes sold that month.)  Numbers will be rounded off to the nearest whole number, unless the number is exactly .5% between two numbers.

Here are the real estate statistics for single family home sales activity on Seattle’s Eastside:

April, 2009         3600 homes for sale         573 homes sold            16% chance of selling.

March, 2009      3711    homes for sale        372 homes sold           10% chance of selling.

April,  2008        4017  homes for sale       489 homes sold             12% chance of selling

_____________________________________________________________

(This monthly Seattle/Eastside real estate report now includes the chart above because it’s clear and easy to read. You can still find the  MLS charts by clicking on each of the cities below.  Those charts have some of the same information as the chart above, but also show the real estate trends for the last 5 years, including  median pricing for each city and whether the number of homes for sale and the number of sales are up or down.  If you look at the charts by city, you’ll notice the total number of homes for sale and the number of homes sold can vary slightly from the chart above.  This is because the information for the charts is gathered at slightly different times.  Regardless of the exact numbers, it’s clear the charts show the same trends, which is the most important piece of information.)

(click on city names for a chart showing the latest stats in the area)

The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall Ciy

Median sales price decreased by 12% from $597,639 to $524,000.

Inventory was down by 12% and sales were down by 12% from last year.

West Redmond/East Bellevue

Median sales price decreased from $608,998 to $500,000 a decrease of 18%.

Inventory was down 6% and sales were up 15%.

South Bellevue

Median price increased by 8% from $600,000 to $649,900.

Inventory was down by 15% and sales were up 70%.

Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland

Median price was down to $399,950 from $484,450, a 17% decrease.

Inventory was down by 6% from last year and sales were up by 44%.

Kirkland

Median price decreased by 8%, from $707,950  to $649,000.

Inventory was down by 8% and sales were up by 9.5%.

West Bellevue

Median pricing decreased by21%  from $1,399,000 to $1,100,000.

Inventory increased by 5 % and sales increased by 18.5%.

Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

Median pricing decreased by 14%  from $652,450 to $554,950.

Inventory decreased by 9% and sales decreased by 5%.

——————————————————————–

Thoughts on the April 2009 Seattle Eastside real estate market:

  • Ok, everyone, take a deep breath.  Things are looking up! Seattle -Eastside homes are selling. Every eastside area had a double digit absorption rate, for the first time in months.
  • All areas saw some very positive changes this past month.  The positive changes are in bold print. Everycity had some positive change in the real estate activity.  The number of homes for sale, the inventory, was down in every city, except one.  The number of homes sold was up in all cities except two!
  • The stand-out area, which is often the case, is the area in East Bellevue and Redmond, close to Microsoft.  This area’s absorption rate was the last to slow down and is the first to come back to life.  Twenty-three percent of the homes for sale sold there last month.
  • Are real estate prices increasing on Seattle’s Eastside?  No, the number of sales has increased dramatically though.
  • April had the most number of home sales since June of last year.  In King County overall, six of the last ten weeks have had the most number of sales since July, 2007.
  • In some areas on Seattle’s Eastside, we are seeing a more balanced market between buyers and sellers.
  • The $8000 buyers credit will now be available for a down payment. This is great news, which should help bolster the real estate market even more.

The $8000 First Time Home Buyer Tax Credit Can Be Used Towards a Downpayment

In For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, Mortgages, financing, real estate on May 14, 2009 at 5:39 pm

The $8000 first time home buyer credit can be used for a buyer’s down payment if a buyer qualifies for the program. Washington State had passed a measure for first time home buyers to use the money towards a down payment, as did a few other states, but now it looks like it’s  a “go” everywhere.  This is great news, because in Washington State the program had not been implemented as of yet.

Shaun Donovan, secretary of the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, said that the Federal Housing Administration is going to permit its lenders to allow homeowners to use the $8,000 tax credit as a down payment.

Mr. Donovan spoke at the Realtor’s Mid-Year legislative Meetings and Trade Expo Live

According to Donovan, the FHA’s approved lenders will be permitted to “monetize” the tax credit through short-term bridge loans. This will allow eligible home buyers to access the funds immediately at the closing table.

Stay tuned.  As soon as I learn more, I’ll let you know in this blog.  Happy house hunting!

Seattle Home Prices Are No Longer Falling Off a Cliff

In 2009 stimulus package, For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, Real Estate News, Seattle real estate, real estate on May 4, 2009 at 11:17 am

Are home prices still declining in the greater Seattle area? Yes.  However, according to  the Case-Shiller Index , they are no longer falling off the cliff. No longer do you need your climbing ropes to hang on, you probably just need some skis to help take you more gently down the pricing slope.  Standard and Poor’s Case-Shiller Index tracks the real estate activity in 20 cities all over the country. The decline in nationwide real estate prices was 18.6% from last February, however, Case-Shiller is based on a survey of 20 cities.  Real estate on the Seattle-Eastside declined 15.4% in value from last February.  We are not the best, but we are not the worst either.

There’s a lot of additional press and additional opinions raised all over the newspapers and blogs.  It’s always interesting to see the kind of  reaction people have to the same story. Here’s the Wall St Journal reaction to the story from their website:

“While the declines in residential real estate continued into February, we witnessed some deceleration in the rate of decline in some of the markets,” said David Blitzer, head of the S&P index committee.
Prices are “no longer falling off a cliff,” wrote Patrick Newport, an economist for IHS Global Insight. “Instead, they are rolling down a steep hill.”

The Seattle Times/Associated Press story written by Drew DeSilva reported:

Seattle-area home prices dropped an annual 15.4 percent in February from February 2008, compared with a 15 percent annual decline in January.

Seattle’s February annual price drop was the ninth-smallest decline among the 20 metro areas in the Case-Shiller index.

Seattle prices fell 1.5 percent in February from January, the fourth-smallest monthly decline among the 20 metro areas. The average monthly decline among the 20 cities was 2.2 percent.

There’s no doubt we’re still in a tough real estate market.  But there are some lights on the horizon in the Seattle/Eastside real estate market.

Inventory is stabilizing throughout King County. Some weeks inventory increases, but in some weeks there’s a drop. It’s at a higher point for the year right now as 13,306 properties are for sale.  However, last year at this time, there were 14,321 properties listed.  We are far from the highest point of inventory which was reached at the end of July, 2008 with 16,618 homes for sale in King County.  The largest number of properties for sale in King County so far this year has been 13,414 back in March.

The number of home sales in King County reached the second highest number of home sales for a week, 560 sales, since July, 2007. Five of the last 8 weeks were amongst the highest number of King County home sales in the last two years.

There’s a definite interest in real estate and buying homes. There wouldn’t be so much press written about real estate if this were not the case.   I’ve written a number of blog posts on the first time home buyer tax incentive and all have had more hits than any of the other posts I’ve written. Previously, my posts on the Seattle Street of  Dreams had received the most hits. But of my top 8 posts, according to WordPress, which is this blog platform, three of the five posts are about the stimulus package and the first time home buyer incentive.  The top post has received 3700+ hits.  I recently wrote about Washington State’s plan to allow the $8000 tax incentive to be applied towards a down payment.  This post, too, is getting numerous hits.  This tells me people are searching for information.  They are searching for information about the options available to buy homes.

Listings are getting a lot of showings. Buyers are out there as the number of showings has increased.

I feel more homes will sell over the next few months.  I do not feel that prices are heading up any time soon.

A Payment Protection Plan for Home Buyers Who Lose Their Jobs?

In 2009 stimulus package, For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, financing, real estate, real estate marketing on April 30, 2009 at 3:42 pm

I’ve been interested to see how the tax incentive is being handled in other parts of the country and found some interesting things going on. Washington State is implementing a program in which a first time home buyer will be able to use the federal first time home buyer tax incentive towards a down payment. In California  buyers of new homes receive a state incentive.

A payment protection plan for home buyers w ho lose their jobs? We’ve seen the commercials from KIA  for car buyer programs and other car manufacturers are getting with that program,  but I haven’t seen many for home buyers.  Long and Foster, a large east coast brokerage is now offering such a program to buyers who use their affiliate mortgage company and buy one of the company listings. The program offers up to 6 months of payments during a two year period.  Each payment would be a maximum of $1800.  Similar programs are happening in Florida and with home builder the Lennar Corporation in Las Vegas.

What have you heard happening around the country to stimulate the housing market?  Is payment protection a good idea?

California is Offering A Tax Incentive for Buying a New Home

In 2009 stimulus package, For Buyers, real estate on April 28, 2009 at 3:31 pm

A $10,000 home buyer credit for purchasers of new homes in California? I’ve been checking on the web to see if things are different in other states with regard to jump starting the economy and the housing market.  There are actuallydifferent things happening out there to spur the economy.  Here are a few highlights of a California new home buyer  incentive:

  • It’s in addition to the federal first home buyer tax incentive of $8000. (so first time home buyers who buy new construction have a total of an $18,000 credit)
  • It’s not just for first time home buyers, it’s for any home buyer who buys new construction.
  • It’s limited to the first 10,000 new home buyers.
  • It is available now through March of 2010.

If you follow the link above, you can find out the complete details of the new home buyer credit, which is not to be confused with the first time home buyer credit!

What do you think?  Is this something that would work in Washington State?

WA State & the $8000 First Time Home Buyer Tax Credit

In 2009 stimulus package, For Buyers, Mortgages, WA real estate, financing, real estate on April 21, 2009 at 10:37 am

Will Washington State be the first state in the nation to offer a program to first time buyers to use the $8000 home buyer credit towards a down payment for a home?

Here’s a memo from Barbara Lally of the Washington State Realtors Association explaining the program that is in the works:

OLYMPIA, Wash. – The Senate Ways and Means Committee last night (Thursday) unanimously approved a measure designed to help first-time home buyers come up with a down-payment.  The committee adopted the measure as an amendment to the proposed Senate biennial operating budget.

The proposal would make the $8000 federal tax credit for first-time home buyers available at the closing of a home sale instead of when a buyer files a tax return. Home buyers would repay the $8000 after filing for and receiving a tax refund. The amendment creates a Tax Credit Advance Loan Program and authorizes the State Treasurer to deposit $25 million in a financial institution giving it the ability to open a line of credit to the State Housing Finance Commission to provide the down payment loans. The deposit would not deplete state funds, but would provide liquidity for the financial Institution to lend its own funds.

The program is the first of its kind in the nation and would work as follows:

  • The State Treasurer’s Office would make an off-setting deposit in an FDIC-insured short-term
    account with a selected financial institution. The investment would earn a low interest rate to
    stay fully insured under federal guidelines.
  • Realtors and other stakeholders back the loans with funds to provide security against losses.
  • The financial institution provides the Washington State Housing Finance Commission a line of
    credit to advance up to $8000 to qualified first-time home buyers for a down-payment.
  • Buyers repay the advance loan after filing for and receiving the tax credit.

The amendment is the result of the efforts of the Washington REALTORS®, Washington State Treasurer’s office, and Washington State Housing Finance Commission. State Treasurer James McIntire wrote the budget proviso and is helping to advance the measure through the state legislature.

State Sen. Steve Hobbs (D-Lake Stevens), who offered the amendment, said that using the $8,000 tax credit to help first-time home buyer make down payments could help jump-start the economy. Hobbs noted that home purchases have a significant impact on the retail and banking sectors of the economy and on state and local coffers. “In this recession we need to find new and innovative ways to stimulate the economy. This proviso will slow the decline of our housing market and stimulate the economy,” Hobbs told the Senate Ways and Means Committee.

“Down-payment assistance to our first-time home buyers is the key we need to unlock economic activity throughout the state,” said Greg Wright, President of the Washington Realtors. “This tax credit is new money that we can put to work now to help the housing market and ignite economic action statewide.” According to a study by the Washington Research Council, each home sale by a first-time buyer generates $11,100 in state and local tax revenue. Every 1,000 home sales generate $126 million in general economic activity, supporting 711 jobs.

Home buyer tax credit fact sheet

Home buyer tax credit fact sheet

The goal of the program is to get the money to buyers efficiently and return the federal refund quickly so that the HFC can turn it around to provide more assistance.  The funds may revolve as many as three times before the tax credit expires, reaching up to 9000 first-time homebuyers.  These “bridge loans” would expire at the same time as the federal tax credit, on November 30, 2009.  All of the bridge loan funds return to the state system by early 2010 to use for capital projects in 2010-11.

“With homes at affordable prices and interest rates at historic lows the $8,000 tax credit opens a window of opportunity that may never be seen again,” said Wright, a Chelan Realtor. “The Senate’s budget helps bring that opportunity to families throughout our state.”

Lack of a down-payment is the only barrier to home ownership for up to 50 percent of first-time home buyers, according to J. Lennox Scott, Chairman and CEO of John L. Scott Real Estate.  A recent study by the Federal Reserve Board showed that home ownership for people 35 years and younger increased by as much as 43 percent when a primary mortgage was combined with a down-payment assistance loan.


“First-time home buyers are the most critical to the recovery of the housing market and our overall economy, because their purchases set off a chain reaction of buying and selling,” Scott explained.  ”The first step toward stimulating the state housing market is making the federal tax credit available at the closing table and increasing down-payment assistance.”



(REALTOR® is a federally registered collective membership mark which identifies a real estate professional who is a member of the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® and subscribes to its strict Code of Ethics.)

Interestingly, a private company in a suburb of Atlanta is proposing the same thing.  The article from NuWire Investor did not have positive things to say about the program

What do you think about the possibility of using the tax credit as part of the down payment for a first time buyer?




Everything You’ve Ever Wanted to Know About the $8000 Home Buyer Tax Credit, But Were Afraid to Ask

In 2009 stimulus package, For Buyers, For Sellers, Real Estate Tips, financing, real estate on April 17, 2009 at 12:35 pm

The NAHB, The National Association of Home Builders put together a great list of questions and answer about the 2009 $8000 tax incentive. (And here I thought I knew everything about it!)  Seriously, some great questions are asked and answered in this post.

It had not occurred to me, as an example, whether non-resident aliens could apply for the tax credit.  Answer:  maybe, but this is only the short version.  Check this post out to find everything and and anything you would want to ever know about the $8000 first time home buyer tax credit.

What Were The Chances of Selling Your Seattle Eastside Condo in March, 2009?

In Bellevue Real Estate, For Buyers, For Sellers, Issaquah, WA, King County Real Estate, Kirkland, Real Estate News, Redmond, Sammamish, WA Real Estate, Seattle real estate, WA real estate, Woodinville, WA Real Estate, market statistics, real estate on April 16, 2009 at 1:39 pm

Seattle Eastside March 2009 condo real estate statistics

Seattle Eastside March 2009 condo real estate statistics

March, 2009  1300 condos for sale, 123 sold, 9.5% chance of selling.

March, 2008   1288  condos for sale   175 sold    13.5% chance of selling.

(pended means the number of condos that got offers this month)

The good news is 36 more condos sold this past month than in February.  There were, however, 105 more condos to choose from.  I’m expecting more condos to come on the market per the typical spring real estate selling season. The chances of selling a condo increased slightly this month from February, as more buyers seem to have that spring time bug and are out shopping around.

Competition will remain fierce.  Since there are many options in each price range, sellers will need to be realistic both in their asking price and what they’re willing to take for a final sales price.  The good news is more people are buying and the realistic news is prices are not going up at this time.

What Were The Chances of Selling Your Seattle/Eastside Home in March, 2009?

In Bellevue Real Estate, For Buyers, For Sellers, Issaquah Real Estate, King County Real Estate, Kirkland, Real Estate News, Sammamish, WA Real Estate, Seattle real estate, WA real estate, Woodinville, WA Real Estate, market statistics, real estate on April 16, 2009 at 12:33 pm

Seattle Eastside March Real Estate Statistics

Seattle Eastside March Real Estate Statistics

The chances of selling a home on the Eastside in March 2009 ranged from a low of 6.5 % to a high of 15%, with an average 10% absorption rate. (The absorption rate is the number of homes for sale in any given month divided by the actual number of homes sold that month.) Numbers will be rounded off to the nearest whole number, unless the number is exactly .5% between two numbers.

Here are the real estate statistics for single family home sales activity on Seattle’s Eastside:

March, 2009          3711    homes for sale        372 homes sold           10% chance of selling.

March,  2008          3637  homes for sale         493 homes sold           13% chance of selling

_____________________________________________________________

I’ve changed the format of this monthly Seattle/Eastside real estate report to include the trendgraphix chart above.  This chart is clear and easy to read, so you can get the real estate data quickly.  For those of you who want to get more detail, you can still read the  MLS charts by clicking on each area below.  The charts have some of the same information, but also show the real estate trend for the last 5 years, the median pricing, and whether the number of homes for sale and the number of sales are up or down.  If you look at the charts by area, you will notice the total number of homes for sale and the number of homes sold can vary slightly from the trendgraphix chart above to the MLS-Windermere graphs.  Some of this may be a result of when the information for the charts are gathered .  Regardless of the exact numbers, it’s clear the charts show the same trends, which is the most important piece of information.)

(click on each area name for a chart showing the latest stats in the area)

The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

Sellers had an 8% chance of getting a home sold, THE SAME as  last month and DOWN from 14.5% last year.  Median home prices were DOWN  from $579,500 to $513,025.  Inventory was down by 6% and sales were down by 35% from last year.

West Redmond/East Bellevue

Sellers had a 15% chance of getting a home sold, UP from 10% last  month, and DOWN from 19% last year.  Median sales price decreased from $539,000 to $499,000, a decrease of 8%.  Inventory was up 4% and sales were down 24%.

South Bellevue

Sellers had an 11% chance of getting a home sold, UP from7% last month  and DOWN  from 12% last year.  Median price decreased by 21% from $659,900 to $519,900.  Inventory was up 1% and sales were down 7%.

Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland

Sellers had a 10% chance of selling a home,   last month and DOWN from 12% last year.  Median price was down to $450,000 from $525,000, a 14% decrease.  Inventory was up by 4% from last year and sales were down by 16%.

Kirkland

Sellers had 6.5% chance of selling a home, DOWN from12% last month and DOWN from 9% last year.  Median price decreased by29%, from $699,999  to $499,000. Inventory was up by 4% and sales were down by 33%.

West Bellevue

Sellers had a 9% chance of selling a home, The SAME as last month, and UP from 5% last year.  Median pricing decreased by 5%  from $1,250,000 to $1,185,000.  Inventory increased by 1 % and sales increased by 57%.

Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

Sellers had a 11% chance of selling a home,  UP  from 10% from last month, and DOWN from 15% last year.  Median pricing decreased by 20%  from $600,000 to $481,975.  Inventory increased by .3% and sales increased by 29%.

——————————————————————–

Thoughts on the March 2009 Seattle Eastside real estate market:

  • Most of the real estate sales activity is happening below the $750,000 range.  Out of the 247 sales on the eastside in March, 210, or 85%, were below $750,000.
  • Forty-eight percent of the sales were below $500,000.
  • The chances of selling a home on the eastside increased from February to March in all areas except Kirkland.
  • More homes are selling as the number of sales in just the first week in April increased by 37% more than most of the past 6 weeks.
  • Both West Bellevue and Redmond, north of downtown, had an increase in the number of sales from last year to this year.
  • Redmond, north of downtown, had a more balanced real estate market last month than any other area on the eastside.  With the number of home sales increasing by 29%, the sales activity represented a more balanced market.
  • Other eastside areas are still more of a seller’s market.
  • More sales are beginning to happen, but prices are not going up.
  • The great interest rates and the $8000 buyer tax credit may be starting to kick in.

For more on March, 2009 Seattle Eastside real estate statistics, you can check articles from the Ballard Tribune and the Eastside Business Journal.

Consumer Confidence, Purchasing Power, The Fear Factor, and The Silver Lining

In 2009 stimulus package, For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, Mortgages, real estate on March 31, 2009 at 9:32 am
Consumer confidence, shifting values, and changes in purchasing power? Windermere Real Estate sent an email out this morning with the following charts highlighting these issues.  The information is from James Russo, Vice President of Marketing at Neilsen.    The top chart focuses on the ups and downs with consumer confidence.  We’ve seen other dips this decade with 9/11, the war in Iraq, and hurricane Katrina.  None of these dips in consumer confidence  have shown  the tumble we’ve seen since 2007.  But it’s good to balance this fear and lack of confidence with the real changes evidenced in purchasing power.  The lower chart has  positive news for consumers.  Food prices have held firm, gas prices and mortgage rates are down, not to mention the fact that home prices are also way down. Watch for spending habits to continue to evolve over the next few years.  What do you think?
March 18th, 2009 Posted in Cusumer, Nielsen News, Politics
By James Russo, Vice President, Marketing, Nielsen

With unemployment reaching 25-year highs, it is no surprise that Americans are nervous about their futures.  Over the last twelve months, confidence has nosedived as consumers worry about keeping their jobs, paying their mortgages and other bills, and their retirements.


Click to enlarge

We are on the verge of a potential fundamental shift in how consumers shop and buy that could have ramifications long past economic recovery.  They are shopping less and changing the types of products they purchase, such as shifting to store brands and focusing on necessary items such as food and cutting back on luxuries.
At the same time, however, purchasing power is actually increasing for some Americans.  Consider the facts:
  • The price of crude oil has declined 71 percent from July 2008 to February 2009 (from $133/bbl to $33/bbl), and retail gas prices have dropped 53 percent.  To fulfill annual driving needs in July 2008, consumers were spending an average of $3,045 at $4.06 a gallon; In February 2009, that figure declined to $1,440 at $1.92 a gallon – a savings of $1,605 per year.  And with the average American household owning two cars, the potential savings are even higher.
  • Food inflation has moderated since July 2008 to current levels of 2 percent.
  • While a great deal of attention has been focused on those people who had subprime mortgages and are now experiencing foreclosures on their homes, 30-year fixed mortgage rates have declined 1.30 pts during the same period, also resulting in potential savings.
  • Tax credits in the stimulus legislation passed by Congress will put an additional $672 in the average worker’s pocket.
Combine these facts with a growing sense that we may be seeing the first signs of a bottoming out and many Americans will be well-positioned to resume their spending.  However, until the fear and uncertainty about the economy dissipates, it is unlikely that they will feel confident enough to exercise their increased purchasing power.  And once they do, there is little doubt that how they spend their money is likely to be very different in how they did so in years past.  Nielsen will continue to closely monitor consumer confidence, shopping trends and other factors to enable our consumer product manufacturing and retail clients to deliver value in the short term and innovate in the long term to help ensure continued growth.

June 08
Feb 09
Change
REALITY
Crude Oil
$133
$33
-71%
* Retail Gas
$4.06
$1.92
-53%
* Food Inflation
215.3
219.7
2%
Fed Funds Rates
2%
0%
-200 basis points
30 yr fixed Mortgage Rates
6.37%
5.07%
-1.30 pts
FEAR
Unemployment
5.80%
8.10%
- 3.6 million jobs
Avg Wkly Earnings
$596.50
$608.3
2%
Equity Markets
11,378
7,062
-38%
Source: EIA, FOMC, Nielsen Strategic Planner, Bureau of Labor Statistics, cpi

Is This a Good Time for Seattle/Eastside Buyers to Buy A Home?

In For Buyers, For Sellers, Mortgages, Seattle real estate, real estate on March 23, 2009 at 4:38 pm

Only you can decide if it’s a good time for you to buy a home.  There are lots of reasons to make a home purchase on Seattle’s Eastside, particularly if you’re a first time home buyer, according to The Seattle Times.

  • There are some wonderful choices.   In King County alone, there are over 13,000 properties available to pick from.  On the eastside, there are 3500+ homes and 1200+ condos available to purchase.  ( I have some great homes listed to buy among those 3500+!)
  • There are more homes available to buy for under $500,000 (and even under $300,000) than there have been in years.
  • 61% of the Seattle/Eastside  homes are now selling for under $500,000.
  • There are ready, willing, and able sellers who want to sell their homes.  Many sellers understand the current real estate market and are pricing their homes to get them sold.

Interest rates are just plain fabulous.  Bloomberg News recently compared the current interest rates to the rates available during WWII!

The Federal Tax Credit for First Time Home Buyers or Those Who Have Not Owned a Home over the last three years is a terrific bonus.

  • Until the end of November 2009, first time home buyers may be eligible for the lower of an $8,000 or 10% of the value of the home tax credit.  Remember a tax credit is very different than a tax deduction – a tax credit is equivalent to money in your hand, as opposed to a tax deduction, which only reduces your taxable income.
  • The tax credit starts phasing out for couples with incomes above $150,000 and single filers with incomes above $75,000.  Buyers will have to repay the credit if they sell their homes within three years.

The above is all great news during times in which there hasn’t been a lot of good news to report.  Making the decision to buy is a very personal one and doesn’t work for everyone.  Some people have layoff concerns, as an example, and are hesitant to make a purchase.  For some, waiting it out on the sidelines is the best thing to do.

Are Seattle/Eastside home prices at the bottom yet? We probably won’t know until after we get there, but prices are back to 2005 levels. The areas of the country with deeper home price cuts than Seattle’s Eastside are areas in which the economy is struggling even more than we see here.  But for those who have secure jobs, good income,  great credit scores, and plan to stay in a home for 3-5 years, this is a terrific time to buy a home.

What do you think?

Are Homes Selling On Seattle’s Eastside?

In Bellevue Real Estate, For Buyers, For Sellers, Issaquah Real Estate, King County Real Estate, Redmond, Sammamish, WA Real Estate, Seattle real estate, Woodinville, WA Real Estate, market statistics, real estate, real estate opinion on March 17, 2009 at 7:35 am

Wondering what homes are selling on Seattle’s Eastside? A burning question many people are asking.  Here’s the answer to that question:

Which Seattle/Eastside Homes Are Selling?

Which Seattle/Eastside Homes Are Selling?

The comments above list the key points presented on the chart.  In the first two months of 2009, 86% of the Seattle/Eastside real estate sales occurred below the 750k range and of those sales, 64% were below 500k.  The market is shifting dramatically as prices decline and more homes and condos are priced below the 500k benchmark.

As I’ve mentioned in recent blog posts, more sales are happening below the 500k mark  than we’ve seen in years.  In previous years, the majority of homes sold in the 500-750k price range.  You’ll can see evidence of this price shift in the above chart.  During the first two months of the year,  36% more properties sold on Seattle’s Eastside priced below 500k than priced between 500-750k, which, in the recent past, used to represent the largest number of home sales.

(area 500-600 are the NWMLS numbers used for the Seattle/Eastside real estate)

What Were The Chances of Selling a Condo on Seattle’s Eastside in January and February, 2009?

In For Buyers, market statistics, real estate on March 16, 2009 at 9:18 am
Seattle/Eastside Real Estate Condo Statistics

Seattle/Eastside Real Estate Condo Statistics

February, 2009   1244 condos for sale,  110 sold     9% chance of selling.

February, 2008    1304 condos for sale   150 sold    11.5% chance of selling.

(pended means the number of condos that got offers this month)

The number of condos for sale peaked in July, 2008.  There has been a gradual decline each month in the number of condos for sale since then, until this past month.  This past February there were  132 more condos for sale.  The numbers are still far below the high of 1557 last July.

Not only were there more condos for sale this month, the number of condos receiving offers increased slightly from 96 to 110 from January to February.

Fifty-six condos closed in January and 58 in February respectively, just about half to a third of the number that were selling a year ago.

Inventory may creep up as it usually does as spring turns into summer.  This is the typical trend we see, no matter what the real estate market is like.

What Were The Chances of Selling Your Seattle/Eastside Home in February, 2009?

In Bellevue Real Estate, For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, Issaquah Real Estate, King County Real Estate, Kirkland, Real Estate News, Redmond, Sammamish, WA Real Estate, Seattle real estate, Woodinville, WA Real Estate, market statistics, real estate on March 13, 2009 at 2:07 pm

The chances of selling a home on the Eastside in February 2009 ranged from a low of 7 % to a high of 10%, with an average 9% absorption rate. (The absorption rate is the number of homes for sale in any given month divided by the actual number of homes sold that month.) Numbers will be rounded off to the nearest whole number, unless the number is exactly .5% between two numbers.

Here are the real estate statistics for single family home sales activity on Seattle’s Eastside:

February 2009      3556  homes available          308  homes sold            9% chance of selling.

January 2009         3294 homes available          325  homes sold          10% chance of selling.

February 2008       3303 homes available         453 homes sold            14% chance of selling.

Seattle/Eastside real estate Feb-2009

Seattle/Eastside real estate Feb-2009

(chart includes Mercer Island homes, which are not included in my numbers above the chart)

_____________________________________________________________

(click on each area name for a chart showing the latest stats in the area)

The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

Sellers had an 8% chance of getting a home sold, DOWN from 11% last month and DOWN from 16.5% last year.  Median home prices were DOWN  from $599,950 to $522,250.  Inventory was down by 5% and sales were down by 52% from last year.

West Redmond/East Bellevue

Sellers had a 10% chance of getting a home sold, DOWN from 11% last  month, and DOWN from 16% last year.  Median sales price decreased from $599,000 to $457,475, a decrease of 24%.  Inventory was up 10% and sales were down 27%.

South Bellevue

Sellers had an 7% chance of getting a home sold, DOWN from11% last month  and UP from 8% last year.  Median price decreased by 12% from $659,000 to $579,950.  Inventory was up 2% and sales were down 49%.

Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland

Sellers had a 10% chance of selling a home,  THE SAME as last month and DOWN from 12% last year.  Median price was down to $381,450 from $549,950, a 30% decrease.  Inventory was up by 16% from last year and sales were down by 6%.

Kirkland

Sellers had 8% chance of selling a home, DOWN from 11% last month and DOWN from 12.5% last year.  Median price decreased by 3%, to $687,000  from $711,250. Inventory was up by 1% and sales were down by 38.5%.

West Bellevue

Sellers had a 9% chance of selling a home, UP from 7% last month, and the same as last year.  Median pricing increased by $1000  from $999,000 to $1,000,000.  Inventory increased by 26 % and sales increased by 19%.

Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

Sellers had a 10% chance of selling a home,  UP  from 9% from last month, and DOWN from 16% last year.  Median pricing decreased by 21%  from $694,970 to $542,900.  Inventory increased by 18.5% and sales decreased by 24%.

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Thoughts on February’s real estate market:

  • Most eastside neighborhoods experienced a decline in sales and an increase in the number of homes for sale.  The only exception was West Bellevue.  More homes sold in West Bellevue in February this year than last year and the median price was up by just a hair.
  • Similar to last month all eastside areas, except the plateau area of Sammamish, Snoqualmie, Fall City, Issaquah, and North Bend, had an increase in the number of homes for sale when compared to last year.  There were 40 less homes available to buy on the plateau this February than last.  On the eastside, the plateau is the only area that had fewer homes for sale.
  • The number of homes for sale is up this week.  The total number of properties ( single family homes and condos) for sale in King County increased to 13,038 on March 9th.   Expect more homes to come on the market over the next couple of months.
  • Home prices are clearly shifting.  For the first time in years more homes sold in the $350-500,000 range than in the $500-750,000 range.
  • This past month there were more home sales happening below the $500,000 mark.  Seventy one homes sold in the $350-500,000 range, while 63 sold between $500-750,000.  There were also 37 home sales below $350,000.  Two years ago, it was impossible to find homes in this price range.

Multiple Offers For Homes on Seattle’s Eastside?

In Bellevue Real Estate, Bellevue, WA, For Buyers, For Sellers, real estate, real estate opinion on March 9, 2009 at 1:12 pm

The Seattle press has been talking about the latest real estate statistics as they usually do at the beginning of each month.  This month’s Seattle Times article highlighted a multiple offer situation for a home in Seattle.

Are multiple offers happening on Seattle’s Eastside?  Yes.   My team sold a home in which our buyer’s offer was one of three offers.  Our buyer’s offer was accepted.

Why was this home one that three buyers wanted at the same time?  The home was originally listed at $625,000.  It was reduced to $574,950 and then finally to $550,000.   At that price it was a screaming deal.  Here are the specs on the home:

  • Newer style, two story-11 years old.
  • Great location with easy freeway access.
  • 2330 square feet with 3 bedrooms, den, and bonus.
  • 5 piece master bath.

The competition in the immediate area for the same price:

$549,900  1967 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, built in 2001,  Approx 363 smaller than the home we sold.

$549,999   2620 square feet, 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, new construction.  Built close to the freeway, so noisy location.

$550,000  2440 square feet 3/2.5 mid-entry built in 1976 with a view.  Older home, different style.

$550,000  2240 square feet, 3/1 bath.  Value in land, not the home.

The nearby competition was not as good a value as this home.  The only home that was remotely close to the one we sold is the first home on the list above.  It, too,  is a newer style two story, but almost 400 square feet smaller for virtually the same price.  The smaller home helped to sell the home the buyer’s bought because in comparison, the smaller home was not a  great value.

Moral of the story:  price your home ahead of the competition to get noticed and get the offers.

Home Sellers: How Do You Know When Your Home is Priced Right?

In For Buyers, For Sellers, real estate, real estate opinion, real world real estate on February 27, 2009 at 1:02 pm

Selling your home?  How do you know when your home is priced right?  When the  agents who’ve shown your home call your agent first.

When I list a home for sale, it’s really exciting when the buyer’s agent contacts me, the listing agent, first.  I know my sellers are pretty close to the mark on price.  If the buyer’s agent contacts me first,  the buyer has an interest in the home.  The buyer’s agent is asking the questions, not me.   The questions asked are more about the buyer’s concerns:

  • Why is the seller moving?
  • What’s their time frame?
  • Is the swing set included?
  • How old is the roof and furnace?

Questions like these above are “buying questions.” It means your home has made it onto the buyer’s consideration list.  Your home is on the list, not off.  The buyer is looking at your home more closely to see how it fits them,  their needs and their lifestyle.

There’s a different exchange between agents when the listing agent is contacting the buyer’s agent first. It doesn’t always mean the buyer has ruled out the house if the seller’s agent initiates contact, but it often that is the case.

Typically, I’ll contact the buyer’s agent via email with a link to the listing and photos to refresh the agent’s memory. This contact usually generates a response from the buyers’ agent like:

  • home to close to a busy street
  • lot not big enough
  • great house, but first day looking
  • bedrooms too small, etc, etc
  • nice home, but did not work for my buyer
  • saw a home they liked better because the kitchen was redone

There’s a big difference between the two scenarios.  In the first scenario, the buyer’s agent is calling me first to get answers to the buyers’ questions.  These answers may remove some of the buyer’s concerns and help the buyer move towards a  purchase.

The second, in which I ask for feedback  first, the answers will tell  more about why the buyers did not buy.

Sellers need to pay attention to what their agents are learning from the contact with the buyer’s agents.  Find out what is being asked and answered, so you’ll have a better feel for whether your home is priced right for the market and the competition.  If your home is not priced right, you’ll need to change the price to meet the market.  The type of feedback your home receives, will give you the answer to your pricing.

What other questions give some clues as to the buyer’s thoughts about a home for sale?

Final Thoughts on Real Estate & the Stimulus Plan-Some Things to Consider

In For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, Mortgages, Real Estate News, real estate on February 16, 2009 at 4:25 am

Most of the real estate commentary I’ve seen on the stimulus plan focuses on buying a home, mortgage rates, and mitigating disclosures.   Here’s some  of the highlights and other things to think about from final real estate version:

  • Everyone now knows the tax credit will be $8000 with no payback required.  It’s only available to first time buyers or those who haven’t been home owners for the past three years.  The credit is available for homes purchased before December 1, 2009.  I’m wondering if a buyer has to close on the home purchase before December 1st or have an accepted offer by that date.  If the home sale must be closed by the first of December, then buyers need to be buying no later than the end of October to make sure they close on time.  Does anyone have the answer and know whether it is an accepted purchase agreement or does the home sale need to be closed?
  • Did you know if you use tax credit, you must stay in your home for three years or you would have to repay the credit?  I like this idea because it helps to keep home ownership more like it used to be:  buying a home to live in, rather than as a quick investment.
  • Government backed loan limits will be $729,950 in areas with expensive homes. This should mean the Seattle/Eastside, but have not heard.  Does anyone else know if this means us?
  • There’s more than $50 billion designated for foreclosure mitigation, some of which will come from last year’s TARP money. It’s about time more is done to stem the tide of foreclosures.

In reading the summary of the stimulus plan I found this section, which I think is important for all homeowners.   The quote below is taken from a summary of the plan released by lawmakers.  You can find the  summary of the plan’s key points in this Inman News article.

Tax Credits for Energy-Efficient Improvements to Existing Homes. The bill would extend the tax credits for improvements to energy-efficient existing homes through 2010. Under current law, individuals are allowed a tax credit equal to ten percent (10%) of the amount paid or incurred by the taxpayer for qualified energy efficiency improvements installed during the taxable year. This tax credit is capped at $50 for any advanced main air circulating fan, $150 for any qualified natural gas, propane, oil furnace or hot water boiler, and $300 for any item of energy-efficient building property. For 2009 and 2010, the bill would increase the amount of the tax credit to thirty percent (30%) of the amount paid or incurred by the taxpayer for qualified energy efficiency improvements during the taxable year. The bill would also eliminate the property-by-property dollar caps on this tax credit and provide an aggregate $1,500 cap on all property qualifying for the credit. The bill would update the energy-efficiency standards of the property qualifying for the credit.

The tax credits for energy efficient home improvements ties into this week’s NPR’s Sunday edition interview with The New York Time’s economic reporter, David Leonhardt. He had some great ideas to rethink how we spend our money.   He thinks spending should be considered in tandem with future savings, not just with consumption.  Investing in a more energy efficient furnace, as an example, would create future savings in your energy bill.  Most of his suggestions centered on the cost of acquiring an item vs. the  future savings benefit.  A better furnace could cost more money in the beginning, but give a larger payback on monthly heating bills.

It’s unfortunate the home buyer tax credit was reduced.  Fewer homes may sell as a result.  However, cuts did need to be made in different parts of the plan to get it passed.  I like the incentive for making energy efficient changes to a home.  I’m hoping it will get  more people to think to make a change as a long term payback.

What are your thoughts about the stimulus plan?

The Stimulus Package Roller Coaster Ride for Home Buyers-Hang Onto Your Hat

In 2009 stimulus package, For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, Real Estate News, financing, real estate on February 11, 2009 at 9:14 pm

roller coaster ride

What will the home buyer’s tax credit be when the stimulus plan is signed into law?  Today’s news focused on the compromises being made between the House and the Senate to pare down the cost and reconcile the differences between the two plans.  It’s looking like the Senate tax credit of $15,000 for a home purchase may be scaled back to the House plan of $7500.  Both Houses seem to agree the credit would not need to be paid back.

From Nick Timiraos of www.wsj.com:

“But it’s far from certain that the House will accept the Senate version, which includes far more generous credits. The House version would modify an existing $7,500 credit so that it wouldn’t have to be repaid, while the Senate goes much further by doubling the credit, removing income limits, and extending it to existing homeowners, from just first-time buyers.”

Mr. Timiraos’ article had a poll in which he asked readers which version, The House or The Senate, did they prefer. As of  6:45 PM, PST, The Senate version was winning with 53.7% of the vote.  The House version received 40.1% and there were 5.4% undecided voters.

Today’s www.wsj.com article sounds like “the die have been cast” and the House version will win out.

Jillayne Schlicke wrote a interesting article about the latest developments with the stimulus package over on Rain City Guide. She quoted Nouriel Roubini, an economics professor from NYU who happened to predict the economic decline pretty accurately.  Last year at Inman News’ Real Estate Connect, Dr Roubini spoke very clearly about what has come to pass.  At the time, most of the audience was shocked by his thoughts.  There’s no doubt he was ahead of the pack with his predictions.  My money is on what he has to say.

At this point, I’m anxiously awaiting  the outcome and will do my best to summarize the details when they’re finalized.  But I’m going to hop of the roller coaster until everything is finalized.

Home Buyer Tax Incentives Need to Be Matched With Incentives from Sellers

In 2009 stimulus package, For Buyers, For Sellers, real estate, real estate opinion on February 11, 2009 at 1:03 pm

Tax incentives to buy real estate are coming. Incentives are coming from the top down and need to come from the bottom up.  We need the 2009 Stimulus Plan to pass with some clear incentives for home buyers from the top,  Congress and The White House.  We also need incentives from the bottom,  directly from the sellers, to make home sales happen.

Do I mean cash bonuses to buyers or agents for buying a home?  No, I mean offering the buyer the best incentive of all, a great value for a home that shows well and is priced right. The government is trying to do something to get the economy moving and  this doesn’t mean sellers can sit back and be complacent.  There may be an up-tick in sales, but the homes that get the sold sign posted in the front yard will be those that offer a great price for a great home, an incentive  buy.

The home buyers who get off the fence to buy will buy the home that offers the best in value.   If there’s no incentive from the bottom up, from the sellers, there’s still no home sale.

Real Estate Sold Sign

Soon there may be the best opportunity in over a year for homes to get sold. Home sellers need to run with it, price their homes ahead of the competition, and not lose this great opportunity.

When the 2009 stimulus package is finalized, which, hopefully, will be next week, I’ll try to summarize the benefits to real estate.  There’s some talk that the Senate tax credit to home buyers may be scaled back to nearer to the limits proposed by the House.

More on The 2009 Stimulus Plan, Real Estate, and Mortgages

In 2009 stimulus package, For Buyers, For Sellers, Mortgages, Real Estate News, financing, real estate on February 6, 2009 at 10:49 am

I  wrote about the 2009 Stimulus Plan and its proposed benefits to real estate, and here’s the latest update as of February 5th, 2009.  Some thoughts from David Espo for the Senate proposal regarding the tax credit:


“The proposal would allow a tax credit of 10 percent of the value of new or existing residences, up to a $15,000 limit. Current law provides for a $7,500 tax break for the purchase of new homes only.”

When I looked back at David Espo’s remark about the “tax break for the purchase of new homes only,”  I  wonder if he meant to say the original tax credit is for new home buyers, those who had not owned a home for three years.

There’s discussion now with the Senate proposal for the credit apply to all homes and buyers.  I’m still not clear on this, so if you heard something please jump in.

Here’s a link to an article from the Kentucky Herald regarding the Senate’s proposed tax credit.

The Wall Street Journal had an interesting discussion.  Most people thought the tax credit would encourage them to buy a home.

There’s a lot of discussion as to whether the housing industry is the linchpin to getting the economy back on track.  Helping to move unsold homes and get people into  homes that are so much better priced than in the recent past, is a good thing.  The country has to start from somewhere to get the economy moving.  I would much rather see tax money go to home buyers than bank executives with no accountability.

Hopefully, the new stimulus package will have clearer guidelines and expectations of those who receive any money or tax incentives.   Incentives, whether it’s for housing or some other commodity will  help get people moving, literally and figuratively.

What do you think of the $15,000 home buyer credit?

Home Staging? Now It’s Boat Staging

In For Buyers, For Sellers, not real estate, real estate, real estate marketing on January 26, 2009 at 5:58 pm

Clearly it’s harder to sell a home  and even more difficult  to sell a boat these days.  However, there were a lot of people out at The Seattle Boat Show this past weekend, looking over some pretty snazzy boats.

Realtors and boat brokers are pulling out all the stops or they should be to get homes and boats sold. Everyone’s getting into staging to sell lifestyles these days.  People, if they are buying at all, want to buy a lifestyle, whether it’s a boat or a home.  Agents must be top notch marketers and convey the lifestyle and the ambiance of a living in a home or of cruising on a boat.

Down at this week’s The Seattle Boat Show there are some gorgeous, staged boats.  Here’s an example of what one boat broker did to “dress up” a boat for sale and set the stage for living and using the boat.  The room descriptions in parentheses are for those of you who are landlubbers.

The salon (main living area) was nicely decorated with its own flat screen TV, which was designed to pop out only when in use, a nice settee, and chairs.  Notice the beautiful wood used throughout the boat.

boat-staging-salon

The galley (kitchen)  came complete with granite counters and stainless steel appliances.

boat-staging-the galley

Both staterooms had elegant heads (master baths) decorated with granite counters, undermount sinks and the expected fluffy towels and white shell decoration.

boat-staging-the head

Each state room (bedroom) came complete with a queen sized bed decked out with an elegant spread and decorative pillows. Notice the plant to the side of the bed and the decorative throw casually tossed on the bed.

boat-staging-master bedroom cabin

The space felt like a small condo, a very small, nicely decorated condo with a water view.  So how much is a little piece of heaven or should I say water worth?  About one million dollars.

What Were The Chances of Selling Your Seattle/Eastside Home in the Last Two Months of 2008?

In For Buyers, For Sellers, Local news and information, Real Estate News, market statistics, real estate on January 15, 2009 at 2:31 pm

The chances of selling a home on the Eastside in December 2008 ranged from a low of 3% to a high of 12%, with an average 8% absorption rate. (The absorption rate is the number of homes for sale in any given month divided by the actual number of homes sold that month.) Numbers will be rounded off to the nearest whole number, unless the number is exactly .5% between two numbers.

Here are the real estate statistics for single family home sales activity on Seattle’s Eastside:

December 2008     3169 homes available        243 homes sold,          8% chance of selling.

November 2008    3640 homes available       323 homes sold,          9% chance of selling.

December 2007     2594 homes available,       295 homes sold,         11% chance of selling.

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(click on each area name for a chart showing the latest stats in the area)

The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

Sellers had 11 % chance of getting a home sold, the UP from 9% last month and DOWN from 12% last year.  Median home prices were DOWN, from $639,900 to $516,750.  Inventory was up by 4% and sales were down by 1% from last year.

West Redmond/East Bellevue

Sellers had a 11% chance of getting a home sold, DOWN from 12%, and DOWN from 16 % last year.  Median sales price decreased from $589,500 to $544,475, a decrease of 8%.  Inventory was up 18.5% and sales were down 18%.

South Bellevue

Sellers had an 6% chance of getting a home sold, DOWN from 9% last month  and DOWN from 9% last year.  Median price decreased by 10% from $599,975 to $539,950.  Inventory was up 7% and sales were down 26.5%.

Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland

Sellers had a 7% chance of selling a home,  DOWN  from 8% last month and DOWN from 9% last year.  Median price was down to $399,970 from $549,000, a 27% decrease.  Inventory was up by 41% from last year and sales were down by 6%.

Kirkland

Sellers had a 6% chance of selling a home, UP from 5% last month and DOWN from 10% last year.  Median price increased by 3%, to $694,450  from $676,475. Inventory was up by 17% and sales were down by 35%.

West Bellevue

Sellers had a 3% chance of selling a home, DOWN from 7% last month, and DOWN from 10% last year.  Median pricing decreased by 15% to $935,000 from $1,099,000.  Inventory increased by 60% and sales decreased by 44%.

Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

Sellers had a 7% chance of selling a home,  DOWN from 12% from last month, and DOWN from 12% last year.  Median pricing increased by 3%  from $651,975 to $669,970.  Inventory increased by 36% and sales decreased by 20%.

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Some milestones for December, 2008:

It was the toughest month to sell a home located on Education Hill.

Inventory dropped by 500 homes and there were 80 less sales than November on Seattle’s eastside.

The median price in North Kirkland, Woodinville, and Duvall fell under $400,000 for the only time in 2008.

Some big numbers: Inventory was up by 41% in the Woodinville area.

Inventory was up by 60% and sales were down by 44% in West Bellevue.

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Some year end thoughts on the eastside real estate market, many of which will be no big surprise if you are following real estate news:

Every area on the eastside experienced increased inventory and decreased sales when compared to last year.  Every area saw a drop in the median price point, although in some months the median price went up.  Kirkland is a great example of this.  Several months of the year saw an increase in median pricing, although most months did not.  People need to remember that an individual month’s real estate statistics reflects only the sales for that month, so, for example,  if more expensive homes sold this year in December than last year, the median pricing for this December will be higher.  It’s fair to say, no area experienced an increase in median price when the full year’s real estate statistics are evaluated.  This is abundantly clear when we see  almost every month in every area had more homes for sale and less sales than last year.

The silver lining at the end of the year? Inventory for the year is down dramatically.  There were 500 less  homes on the market in December than in November, 2008.

This year the uncertainty of the market continues.  The latest news, with a possible impact on eastside real estate, is rumored reorganization/layoffs at Microsoft, one of our biggest employers on the eastside.  The Seattle Times also had a story about Microsoft in today’s paper, but the rumors have been swirling for weeks.  Hopefully, things will turn to a more positive note with a fresh start in The White House.  I’m pleased to see the year start with less homes on the market than we saw in mid 2008, however, pricing is still significantly lower than last year.   Sellers need to be prepared for the market before listing a home.  Staging, competitive pricing, and stellar marketing are all key.  Homes that meet these criteria will sell, but pricing will be dictated by the competition and the real estate market.

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Below you will find the real estate statistics for November:

The chances of selling a home on the Eastside in November 2008 ranged from a low of 5% to a high of 12%, with an average 9% absorption rate. (The absorption rate is the number of homes for sale in any given month divided by the actual number of homes sold that month.) Numbers will be rounded off to the nearest whole number, unless the number is exactly .5% between two numbers.

Here are the real estate statistics for single family home sales activity on Seattle’s Eastside:

November 2008    3640 homes available       323 homes sold,          9% chance of selling.

October 2008         3975 homes available,      320 homes sold,          8% chance of selling.

November 2007    3141   homes available,     423 homes sold,         13.5% chance of selling.

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(click on each area name for a chart showing the latest stats in the area)

The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

Sellers had a 9 % chance of getting a home sold, the SAME  as 9% last month and DOWN from 13% last year.  Median home prices were DOWN, from $558,944 to $552,500.  Inventory was up by 3% and sales were down by 26% from last year.

West Redmond/East Bellevue

Sellers had a 12% chance of getting a home sold,  UP from 11%, and DOWN from 15 % last year.  Median sales price decreased from $521,475 to $479,000, a decrease of 8%.  Inventory was up 10% and sales were down 8%.

South Bellevue

Sellers had an 9% chance of getting a home sold, UP from 8% last month  and DOWN from 12% last year.  Median price increased by 13% to $685,000 from $605,000.  Inventory was up 6% and sales were down 21%.

Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland

Sellers had a 8% chance of selling a home,  DOWN from 9% last month and DOWN from 14% last year.  Median price was down to $411,750 from $492,975, a 16.5% decrease.  Inventory was up by 26% from last year and sales were down by 27%.

Kirkland

Sellers had a 5% chance of selling a home, DOWN from 6% last month and DOWN from 11% last year.  Median price increased by 7%, to $739,950  from $689,975. Inventory was up by 13% and sales were down by 52%.

West Bellevue

Sellers had a 7% chance of selling a home, UP from 6% last month, and DOWN from 9% last year.  Median pricing decreased by 26% to $996,500 from $1,349,000.  Inventory increased by 40% and sales decreased by 16%.

Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

Sellers had a 12% chance of selling a home, UP from 7% from last month, and DOWN from 19% last year.  Median pricing decreased by 4%  from $585,000 to $559,900.  Inventory increased by 31% and sales decreased by 16%.

The number of homes for sale on the eastside  continued its decline below the 4000 mark for the second month in a row

Median prices have dropped back in most neighborhoods, hovering at the last quarter of 2005 and the first quarter 2006 levels. In most areas, median prices are down from last November, 2007, but Kirkland and South Bellevue prices are not lower than the November 2007 prices.  Remember, the median pricing for the month reflects only the sales for that month, not the median pricing for the full year.   Sellers in Kirkland continue to have the weakest absorption rate for the eastside.  In most of the Seattle/Eastside neighborhoods, besides the median pricing being lower than last year, inventory is up, and sales are down. West Bellevue had stronger sales this year than last, the only area on the eastside to do so.  However, the 16% increase in sales in West Bellevue translates to 22 from 19 sales in 2007.


Show Home Sellers The Money

In For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, Real Estate Tips, real estate, real estate opinion on January 13, 2009 at 10:00 am

CashRecently a real estate agent called me about one of the homes I have for sale.  He had a buyer who was interested in buying the home. The buyer wanted to make an offer. However, the home buyer wouldn’t make an offer unless they first heard whether the seller was “negotiable. I told the other real estate agent, I could only tell him the asking price for the home. I couldn’t tell him or anyone else for that matter, what the seller would do with an offer to purchase his home. It’s the homeowner’s decision, not mine, and often homeowners don’t know what they’ll do until they see the whites of a buyer’s eyes and the blue ink of a contract. If this buyer wanted to make an offer on my listing, then I suggested the buyer put pen to paper. The seller could look at all the terms of the offer, including the price, and then make a decision. Without an offer, there was no decision to be made.

The other agent insisted I have a conversation with the seller or no offer. I warned this agent, in all kinds of markets in the past, when sellers had been asked this question there was the typical “knee-jerk” reaction with something like: “Let’s see an offer “ or “no way”. This buyer risked the seller responding like this, because no seller will take any buyer seriously who won’t show them the money.

Maybe other real estate agents will answer this question when asked, but according to license law, we agents have a fiduciary responsibility to our client, in this case, the seller. This means we can’t speak for the seller. If you’re a serious buyer, show the seller the money and write an offer the homeowners, not the Realtor, can then respond to.

So home buyers, step up to the plate. If a home seller is educated about the market and realistic, they’ll listen to your offer. Can the offer offend the seller and be rejected? Yes, but it can also be countered with a different price or accepted. Our job as real estate agents, and as advisers to a home seller,  is to work through the offer price and terms to help a sellers come to a decision. Maybe the decision will be to reject the offer, maybe it’s a counter, and maybe, even maybe, it’s acceptance. But if you’re not willing to write an offer and show sellers the money, you and the sellers will never really know what they would have done. We do know without the offer you won’t be buying the house and the seller won’t be selling it to you.

What have you seen happening in the marketplace? How would you respond to the other agent’s question?

The Latest Mortgage News- January 9th, 2008

In For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, Mortgages, financing, real estate on January 9, 2009 at 1:57 pm

Guest Post from Steve Tedrow of Windermere Mortgage Services LLC/East:

The government has initiated their buying of mortgage backed securities as part of their recent plan.  This has been received very favorably in the markets and has caused interest rates to start dropping again.  30 year fixed rate conforming loans are back into the 4.625-4.75% range. Hopefully, as conditions begin to improve, we will see investors start to get back in the market for jumbo loans so those rates will come down as well.


The experts I listen most closely to are predicting an improved year over last year.  The Fed and the Treasury will continue to add lots of stimulus to our economy (like buying billions and billions of dollars of mortgage backed securities).  The improvement will obviously take a little time. We shouldn’t expect any rate cuts since there is nothing to cut.  When we do see a rate hike, that should be a welcome sign since it should be a sign of an improving economy.


One certainty is that there will continue to be extreme volatility in stocks, bonds, and mortgage rates. Their prediction for mortgages rates this year will be in the 4.5 – 5% range (unless there are any special government sponsored programs).


Conforming rates are the lowest they have been in decades.


And for an interesting news item for today…..


In a historic move, the Bank of England lowered their benchmark interest rate by .50% to 1.5%.  Now get this – the benchmark rate has NEVER been this low since King William III founded the central bank in 1694 to fund a war against Louis XIV’s France.  The rate began at 6% and fell no lower than 4% throughout the 18th century.  It touched 2% several times in the second half of the 19th century.  The central bank held it at that level throughout the Great Depression and World War II until 1951.  These sure are historic times.


Steve Tedrow
Branch Manager/Mortgage Consultant
Windermere Mortgage Services LLC/East
phone (425) 576-5461
cell (206) 920-1012

stevetedrow@msn.com

Realtors “Just Say No” to Overpriced Listings in 2009

In For Buyers, For Sellers, Real Estate News, real estate, real estate opinion, real world real estate on December 30, 2008 at 4:18 pm

I just turned down my first listing for 2009.  The seller needs to get a certain price out of the sale of his home, a price the market will not bear.  There ’s absolutely no reason to take this listing, because the home won’t sell at the price the seller needs.  The real estate market is not about what the seller needs.  It’s about what the buyer is willing to pay.    Those who really need and want to sell in this market will sell if the home is not overpriced.   As Realtors we can’t change the overall economy, but we can contribute positively to the state of the real estate market by only taking listings that are priced right.

The real estate agent 2009 resolution:

Just “say no” to overpriced listings.

Tell sellers the reality of the marketplace.

Don’t list a home unless the seller is on board with today’s pricing, condition, and marketing.

Is This The Time for You To Buy?

In For Buyers, For Sellers, Mortgages, financing, real estate, real estate opinion on December 17, 2008 at 10:50 am

Guest Post  written by Steve Tedrow, Windermere Mortgage

While the mortgage market continues to generate a lot of chatter in both the media and in Washington, interest rates are currently near or at all-time lows. If you or anyone you know are looking to take advantage of these low rates, let me explain why now is the time to act.

Lately there has been talk about the 4.5% 30-year fixed rate mortgage. Will it become a reality though? Right now, no one really knows. Homeowners who could benefit from a lower interest rate need to know that even if 4.5% becomes a reality from Washington’s actions, it would only be available to home buyers, not homeowners seeking to better their rate. If you need to refinance, you will be left out.

You also may have heard about Hope for Homeowners, which is a program approved by legislators to help distressed homeowners. However, regardless of its best intentions, the program has not been embraced by investors, and it is not available to many it could help.

The bottom line is, the Fed announced recently that they are going to buy up to $600 billion in mortgage-backed securities. This has already driven rates to historical lows. In January, the SEC is meeting and information may be released that could have a significant bearing on rates, potentially for the worse.

Waiting to obtain the best rate is only possible for those with loan applications already in process. Interest rates are incredibly volatile and fluctuations that used to take months are now occurring in just days or even hours. If you don’t have an application in process, you could lose out.

We are already seeing lender backlog due to low interest rates. In 2003, with rates at these same low levels, we saw some lenders taking up to 90 days to close a loan.

Home loan rates are currently in the high 4% range. Home values are significantly lower than  their high peak several years ago.  If you–or friends and family members you know–are contemplating seeking financing, now is the time to act.

With a first time home buyer tax credit of up to $7,500 and low money down programs available for many people today, now is a great time to buy a home.

Is Your Seattle/Eastside Home on Terra Firma?

In For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, Real Estate Tips, real estate on December 11, 2008 at 2:50 pm

home-on-steep-hillEveryone worries so much about whether our equity is secure when we buy a home, and rightfully so, but what about good old “terra firma”? In the Seattle area, people buying homes rarely investigate whether a home is in a slide zone or close to a fault line. Shouldn’t this be something buyers  investigate? If you want a home that will stand the test of time both financially and structurally, you may want to check Dave’s Landslide blog. The blog discusses the book, Landslides and Engineering Geology of the Seattle, Washington Area, published by The Geological Society of America has been recently published and includes an analysis of the area with maps.

From Dave’s landslide blog: “This volume brings together case studies and summary papers describing the application of state-of-the-art engineering geologic methods to landslide hazard analysis for the Seattle, Washington, area.

Should you check out the land? I honestly cannot remember the last time a home buyer checked maps for slide zones or had a geological study done of a property. If you don’t want to buy or read this book, pay a visit to your local city hall. Some municipalities will have maps of slide areas available for you to look at. It can be eye opening. That beautiful ravine you so admire for privacy when you look at a home, can be the edge of a slide area. Check it out and make sure you are buying on firm ground.

If you are interested in purchasing this book, click on this link.

Seattle/Eastside Builders Get Creative With Interest Rates & Auctions

In For Buyers, For Sellers, Seattle real estate, financing on December 7, 2008 at 5:19 pm

Builders in Seattle are getting creative when selling homes.  One builder, Camwest, Inc. of Kirkland, is partnering with Banner Bank and MetLife,  offering  a 30 year fixed rate of 4.875%!   King 5 News interviewed Steve Burke of Windermere Real Estate/East, Inc. who represents Camwest at one of their new home sites.

Real Estate Dispositon Corporation held an auction this morning in downtown Seattle for over 100 properties located all over the Puget Sound region.

I’m interested to hear how this auction comes out for both the home buyers and the builders.  If you’re interested in learning about upcoming  real estate auctions, check out REDC’s website.

Top Ten Questions to Ask About Remodeling & Where Can You Get The Most Bang For Your Buck?

In For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, Remodeling and style trends, Seattle real estate, real estate, real estate opinion on December 2, 2008 at 5:50 am

I’ll never forget the time sellers contacted me to sell their home and they were pretty excited because they had done some updating before they called me.  When I arrived at their home and took a look, my heart just sank.  They had spent a lot of money on updating the carpet and many of the fixtures in the house.  However, the carpet was a different color in every room!  Teal was the main color throughout most of the house, but some of the bedrooms had pink carpet and others had blue.  If this home had been in New England, it would have been fine.  In New England, I’ve seen a lot of the homes with different carpet in each room, but not in the Seattle area.  Carpet is usually one neutral tone throughout the house.

Every year The National Association of Realtors publishes a list comparing cost vs. value of different remodeling.  The list breaks down different remodeling projects and the value of the remodel in each part of the country.  Remodeling projects which “sell in Peoria” do not necessarily “sell in the Seattle” area.

According to the NAR report, the big “six” remodels in the West/Pacific region are :

” a wood deck addition, a minor kitchen remodel, fiber-cement siding replacement, wood window replacement, and an upscale wood and vinyl window replacement.”

“Similarly, the cost recouped on a given remodeling project depends on a wide variety of factors. These include the condition of the rest of a house, the value of similar homes nearby, and the rate at which property values are changing in the surrounding area. A home’s urban, suburban, or rural setting also affects its value, as does the availability and cost of new and existing homes in the immediate vicinity.”

The most important questions to ask yourself first:

1. Is this a remodel that will fit my lifestyle and pocket book?

2. Will I enjoy the changes I make to my home?

Then seek the advice of a Realtor you trust before you start any remodel. Contact a Realtor who is market savvy, knows your neighborhood, and will be willing to spend the time with you, even though you are not selling. Your Realtor should be able to give you solid advice about where you should spend, and not spend, your money.  Get the answers to these questions:

  1. What are the homes worth in your neighborhood?
  2. How does your home compare to the others in the neighborhood?
  3. Will your remodel add value to your home in your neighborhood?
  4. How does the remodeling project fit with the rest of your home?
  5. Will you price yourself out of the neighborhood?
  6. What are the popular colors and materials in the area that will help maintain the value of your home?
  7. Is your home located close to economic and transportation hubs which will help maintain its value in the future?
  8. Will a remodel help balance any negative factors in your home?

Remodeling is a balancing act in which you as the homeowner have to measure how much the remodel means to you, your lifestyle, and your pocketbook as it compares to the future resale value of your home.  It can also help to balance and counteract other features of a home. For example, if your home backs to a busy road, not only should your home be priced to accommodate the road noise when you go to sell, your home should be updated and upgraded to be more of a value to a potential buyer.  A home in a noisy location will often be dismissed by buyers.  But, if it is beautifully remodeled, it may help to counteract the negative location.

But please, do yourself a favor and get all the facts clear in your mind before you begin a project.  Check out the link to the cost vs. value list above, spend time evaluating your wants and needs, talk to some contractors and to a trusted Realtor before you proceed.

What Were The Chances of Selling a Seattle/Eastside Condo in October, 2008?

In Bellevue Real Estate, Bellevue, WA, For Buyers, For Sellers, Issaquah Real Estate, Issaquah, WA, King County Real Estate, King County, WA, Kirkland, Real Estate News, Redmond, Sammamish, WA, Sammamish, WA Real Estate, WA real estate, Woodinville, WA, Woodinville, WA Real Estate, market statistics, real estate on November 21, 2008 at 2:09 pm

Sellers had a 12% chance of selling a condo on Seattle’s Eastside in October, 2008. ( click on 2008 year to date statistics in the link above for a chart showing the condo report)

October, 2008         1324 condos for sale,  153 condos sold,  12% chance of selling.

September, 2008     1414 condos for  sale, 173 condos sold,   12% chance of selling.

October, 2007         1121 condos for sale,  202 condos sold,   18 % chance of selling.

The number of condos/ town homes for sale on the Eastside is dropping from its summer high.  The chance of selling a condo, however, has remained pretty constant throughout the year with 12-13% of the available condos selling each month.

Median pricing was down this month by about 13%, dropping from $345,416 to $300,215.  Inventory is up by 18% from last October and sales have dropped by 24%.

I’ve seen some great condos sell and all of the ones that have sold were well priced and showed well, the key to success in this market.  Sellers must be ahead of the curve in pricing or they stay among the pack of available condos.

What Were The Chances of Selling Your Seattle/Eastside Home in October, 2008?

In Bellevue Real Estate, Bellevue, WA, For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, Issaquah Real Estate, Issaquah, WA, King County Real Estate, King County, WA, Kirkland, Real Estate News, Redmond, Sammamish, WA, Sammamish, WA Real Estate, Woodinville, WA, Woodinville, WA Real Estate, market statistics, real estate on November 20, 2008 at 4:46 pm

The chances of selling a home on the Eastside in October 2008 ranged from a low of 6% to a high of 11%, with an average 8% absorption rate. (The absorption rate is the number of homes for sale in any given month divided by the actual number of homes sold that month.) Numbers will be rounded off to the nearest whole number, unless the number is exactly .5% between two numbers.

Here are the real estate statistics for single family home sales activity on Seattle’s Eastside:

October 2008         3975 homes available, 320 sold, 8% chance of selling.

September 2008     4117 homes available, 513 sold,  12% chance of selling.

October 2007         3398 homes available, 461 sold,   14% chance of selling.

_____________________________________________________________

(click on the each area name for a chart showing the latest stats in the area)

The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

Sellers had a 9 % chance of getting a home sold, DOWN from 14% last month and DOWN from 17% last year.  Median home prices were essentially the same, from $559,000 to $559,194.  Inventory was up by 13% and sales were down by 40% from last year.

West Redmond/East Bellevue

Sellers had a 11% chance of getting a home sold, the SAME as last month, and DOWN from 14 % last year.  Median sales price decreased from $609,950 to $484,725, a decrease of 20.5%.  Inventory was up 13% and sales were down 10%.

South Bellevue

Sellers had an 8% chance of getting a home sold, the same as last month,  and DOWN from 12% last year.  Median price decreased by 14% to $569,900 from $664,950.  Inventory was up 5% and sales were down 32%.

Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland

Sellers had a 9% chance of selling a home,  DOWN from 12% last month and DOWN from 13% last year.  Median price was down to $533,925 from $549,250, a 3% decrease.  Inventory was up by 17.5% from last year and sales were down by 17%.

Kirkland

Sellers had a 6% chance of selling a home, DOWN from 9% last month and DOWN from 11% last year.  Median price increased by 8%, to $709,475 from $657,475. Inventory was up by 17% and sales were up down by 41%.

West Bellevue

Sellers had a 6% chance of selling a home, DOWN from 8% last month, and DOWN from 10% last year.  Median pricing decreased by 6% to $1,399,000 from $1,492,000.  Inventory increased by 45.5% and sales decreased by 9%.

Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

Sellers had a 7% chance of selling a home, DOWN from 17% from last month, and DOWN from 16% last year.  Median pricing decreased by 21% (oops, typo of 421% before!) from $599,475 to $472,425.  Inventory increased by 24% and sales decreased by 44%.


October has been the toughest month to get a home sold on the eastside so far this year. This is not a big surprise, given the volatility of the economy, the bailout, and the pre-election jitters.  Most neighborhoods saw the chances of selling drop to the single digits, with the exception being the East Bellevue and Redmond area around Microsoft.  Eleven percent of the homes for sale in that area received offers last month, while it was toughest to get a home sold in Kirkland as only 6% of the homes sold.

Every area on the eastside experienced a decline in the number of sales when compared to October of last year.  Ironically, most of this September’s sales were higher than September of last year.  The number of homes for sale on the Eastside has dropped back below 4000 homes for the first time this year.

Median prices have dropped back, in many cases, to 2006 levels. In some areas, such as East Bellevue and Redmond around Microsoft, the median price has dropped below $500,000 for the first time since the beginning of 2006.  Even though the number of sales are down, the median price continues to jump up or down.  In Kirkland, the toughest area for a sale last month, prices went up almost 8%, while in Sammamish, sales were down, but prices remained stable.  As I’ve mentioned in the past, it’s important to look at trends in each area over a few months.  Prices and sales go up and down in each area and there isn’t always a correlation between the two.

Will things continue to drop or will they stabilize?  Having the election behind us and giving the country a more optimistic focus than we have seen in a long time, it will be interesting to follow.  It take a few months after the election before we see any changes.

But if you follow Forbes magazine, Seattle is looked at as the number one city to bounce back.

California Fires, Northwest Floods and Windstorms, and Being Prepared

In For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, disaster preparedness on November 19, 2008 at 10:47 pm

fireMy niece came to visit this past weekend for a few days, which turned out to be pretty tense for her, and she was one of the lucky ones.  She lives just north of Santa Barbara, California, which was burning.  She knew people who were being evacuated from their homes.  While she was visiting, she spent a lot of time on the phone talking to friends about the  advancing fire.  Friday was a particularly tense day and she wondered if she needed to rush back home, although she wasn’t sure she could get through or even what she would do. Do you grab your computer, your passport, a favorite possession?   Saturday was more of the same, with friends calling to let her know the fire had gotten within a mile of her home.  By Sunday the news was better for her and she was able to relax a bit as it looked like the fire was being contained.  Many others did not fare as well.

The Northwest is having its own set of problems with the very typical November storm/flood pattern I’ve seen so many of my 22 years on Seattle’s eastside.  Rivers are filled to the tops of their banks.  The Northwest storm season is upon us.river-flooding

Things are happening, and they are not always good. We’re all very focused on the economy and the state of our 401k’s, stock portfolios, jobs, and mortgages.

But we push those natural disasters back in our minds.  Of course, it can never happen to us.  Yet, we know we have to protect ourselves and our homes.  We know we need to plan for emergencies and we rarely do.  Most people don’t have escape plans developed for families or a contact number in a different part of the country that everyone can call.  Most people don’t have food and other supplies, lights, candles, etc. in case of an emergency. Most people don’t know how to turn the gas or water off in times of an emergency.  Most people don’t know where emergency shelters are located.  Most people don’t have emergency supplies for a family pet.

Now is the time to plan, because when something happens it’s too late.  If you go to the American Red Cross site, there are all kinds of things you can order that will help you during times of an emergency.  This other link to the American Red Cross site has information for all kinds of needs, preparedness for your pets, your family, the elderly, and the disabled.  It’s a great resource.  The Department of Homeland Security also maintains a site with terrific information.

Cohousing-What’s It All About?

In Boomer issues, Built Green and Sustainable Living, For Buyers, Remodeling and style trends, real estate, sustainable living on November 13, 2008 at 8:41 pm

Homes and lifestyles are changing.  The dream of the suburban home with a yard, the two (or three) car garage filled with 2 cars still works for some people, but many people are rethinking how they want to live.  A lifestyle is emerging all over the country and in the Puget Sound area called cohousing.  Cohousing is the new extended family, a community in which people live and work together to maintain the neighborhood.  Think sustainable living, smaller carbon footprints, the synergy of community, and you have some of the principles of cohousing. 

Want to learn about it? This weekend there’s a cohousing fair in South Seattle where you can learn more about the communities and the cohousing lifestyle.  I wrote about the cohousing fair on the Seattle PI Real Estate Professionals Blog. If you click on the link you’ll find out more information about the fair and the communities that exist around Puget Sound. 

There are several cohousing communities on the eastside.  Clearwater Commons, New Earth Song Cohousing, which is right next door to Songaia Cohousing are all located in Bothell, Washington.  New Earth Song has a focus on seniors and helping them to stay in their homes, age-in-place, and not move to  communities that are just for seniors.

Cohousing may or may not be for you, but it’s good to know about alternative real estate and living choices.  Things are no longer the same, as we all know, and many people are curious about more affordable, greener ways of living.  Check it out!

VOTE

In For Buyers, For Sellers, Local news and information on November 3, 2008 at 4:20 pm

This is your chance, and your right, to do something!  Elections have been very close over the past decade and your vote will count. Don’t let this opportunity slip by for you to cast your ballot. We’re fortunate to live in a democracy in which we can voice our opinion and vote for whom we want.  Don’t squander this right.

What Were The Chances Of Selling a Home on Seattle’s Eastside in September, 2008?

In Bellevue Real Estate, Bellevue, WA, For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, Issaquah Real Estate, Issaquah, WA, King County Real Estate, Kirkland, Real Estate News, Redmond, Sammamish, WA, Sammamish, WA Real Estate, Seattle real estate, Woodinville, WA, Woodinville, WA Real Estate, market statistics, real estate, real estate opinion on October 15, 2008 at 10:05 pm

The chances of selling a home on the Eastside in September 2008 ranged from a low of 8% to a high of 17.5%, with an average 12% absorption rate. (The absorption rate is the number of homes for sale in any given month divided by the actual number of homes sold that month.) Numbers will be rounded off to the nearest whole number, unless the number is exactly .5% between two numbers. (Revised numbers)

Here are the real estate statistics for single family home sales activity on Seattle’s Eastside:

September 2008     4117 homes available, 513 sold,  12% chance of selling.
August 2008          4240 homes available, 503 sold,   12% chance of selling.
July 2008               4332 homes available,  543 sold,  12.5% chance of selling.
September 2007    3529 homes available,  443 sold,  12% chance of selling. 

_____________________________________________________________

(click on the each area name for a chart showing the latest stats in the area)

The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

Sellers had a 14% chance of getting a home sold, UP from 13% last month and DOWN from 15% last year.  Median home prices were down by 14%, from $602,500 to $519,000.  Inventory was up by 10% and sales up by 1.5% from last year. 

West Redmond/East Bellevue

Sellers had a 17.5% chance of getting a home sold, DOWN from 19% last month, and DOWN from 19 % last year.  Median sales price decreased from $575,000 to $550,000, a decrease of 5%.  Inventory was up 24% and sales were up 16%.

South Bellevue

Sellers had a 11% chance of selling a home, THE SAME as last month and UP from 10% last year.  Median price decreased by 5% to $594,500 from $627,250.  Inventory was up 7% and sales were up 19%.

Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall

Sellers had a 12% chance of selling a home,  UP from 11% last month and DOWN from 13% last year.  Median price was down to $459,950 from $495,000, a 7% decrease.  Inventory was up by 19% from last year and sales were up by 15%.

Kirkland

Sellers had a 9% chance of selling a home, THE SAME as last month and DOWN from 12.5% last year.  Median price increased by 2%, to $695,000 from $679,975. Inventory was up by 20% and sales were up by 17%.

West Bellevue

Sellers had a 8% chance of selling a home, UP from 6% last month, and THE SAME as last year.  Median pricing decreased by 15% to $1,314,000 from $1,550,000.  Inventory increased by 49.5% and sales increased by 53%.

Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

Sellers had a 17% chance of selling a home, UP from 14% from last month, and UP from 11% last year.  Median pricing decreased by 4.5% from $549,950 to $525,000.  Inventory increased by 11% and sales increased by 58.5%!

Most eastside neighborhoods showed similar real estate activity in September as in August.  The chances of selling a home hardly varied with the exception of the Redmond’s Education and Novelty Hill areas and Carnation.  The area experienced a 3% increase over August activity. This area also saw the largest increase in sales from last September, 58% more homes sold.

Homes in West Bellevue had only an 8% chance of selling. However, West Bellevue had a huge increase in inventory, almost 50%, resulting in 53% more sales this year than last year at this time.

All the eastside areas dropped in median pricing, with the exception of Kirkland, which was up 2% this month.

The chances of selling a home on the eastside have not varied much in most neighborhoods over the past few months.  However, in almost all neighborhoods, prices are down and inventory and sales are up.

I Really Want to Answer Your Real Estate Question, But NEI (Not Enough Information)

In Debra Sinick, For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, real estate, real estate opinion on October 13, 2008 at 5:31 am

In my email was a message: How long would it take to sell a mid-entry style home with 4 bedrooms and 2.5 baths in Kirkland?    How many days would it take to sell a home with these specs?  I can’t answer this question.  Of course, I can tell this person what the average number of days are to sell a home, but it’s just a very general number and may not apply to this home.

Why can’t I give a better number? NEI-Not enough information.

Here’s what I’d want to know to give a more accurate market time: 

  • How large is the home?
  • The age of the home?
  • What’s the lot like?  How big is it?  Is it private?
  • How do the street and neighborhood look?
  • What are the neighboring homes like?
  • What surrounds this particular home?
  • Are there updates/remodeling?  When and what has been done?
  • And most importantly, can I see your home to get the “feel” of the home?

Okay, this is what I’d need to know about your home.

Now what are you willing to do ?

  • How old is the roof and are you willing to replace it if needed?
  • How old is the furnace?  Will you clean and service it and replace if needed?
  • What’s the condition of the landscaping? Are you willing to dress it up?
  • Are the decks and patios in good condition?  Are you willing to make any necessary repairs?
  • How does your home show?  Is it fresh and clean?
  • How do your baths show?  If needed, are you willing to update the bathrooms before selling?
  • Does the home need carpet or paint?  Are you willing to do it before listing your home?
  • Do you have a lot of clutter?  Are you willing to start packing before you sell your home?
  • Does it need to be staged and are you willing to stage it to sell it?

And the grandaddy of all the questions: Are you willing to price your home to stand out from the competition?

It’s not enough for me to just spout numbers without the right data.  Market time and selling a home are based on so many details.  The home, its condition, its price, its location, its price, and its competition play into the number of days it takes to sell a home.  Oh, and did I say its price?

I have to know how your home is “dressed” and if you are willing to “dress it up” to come to the home selling party.  What are you willing to do to have your home market ready?  Without that information, I can’t answer the question.  I can’t tell you how long it would take to sell your home.  If your home is not updated and staged and/or it’s not competively priced, it may take months longer to sell.  If your home is “dressed” for the party, in its finest when it steps out into the real estate marketplace, and well priced (did I say price?) your market time can be drastically cut by months, not days, but by months.  

So, if I can see your home and find out what you’re willing to do, I can answer your question and tell you more accurately how long it might take to sell your home.

Real Estate Auction In Bellevue/ Redmond, Washington

In For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, Real Estate News, Redmond, financing, real estate on October 10, 2008 at 5:45 am

Homes for auction in Bellevue and Redmond, Washington?  I noticed the first signs I’d ever seen for the auction of residential real estate in the Overlake area of Redmond/Bellevue, just a hop, skip, and a jump from Microsoft.

I’d just left a meeting with a client in a nearby neighborhood and was surprised to stumble upon a sign posted advertising an upcoming real estate auction.  I drove by the home and it had fabulous street appeal.  Sited on a cul-de-sac, it looked to be nicely updated.

 

 I know homes have gone into foreclosure and to auction, but it’s still a surprise to see a sign posted advertising a real estate auction in the area.  The Redmond/Bellevue/Microsoft area has been the strongest performing real estate area on the eastside.  That being said, there are people in all demographics and neighborhoods who are struggling and losing their homes. No area is exempt.

The auction company, John Hill, has a website and people are able to bid online, for this home.  The auction is on October 13th at 7 PM.  You can attend the auction in person at the neighborhood clubhouse or bid online.

Eastside Real Estate Buzz is Honored by Real Estate Undressed

In For Buyers, For Sellers, Real Estate News, real estate on October 8, 2008 at 10:43 pm

Larry Cragun’s blog, Real Estate Undressed has nominated a recent Eastside Real Estate buzz blog post for his Magnificent 7 consumer information post contest.  Larry selects 7 blog posts recognized for the post’s consumer related content. My post, The Top Ten Things Not to Do During a Home Inspection, was nominated.  The other articles are great and I feel honored to be in such well-respected company.

Here are the other nominated posts:

The Tucson Real Estate Blog: loan fraud is accelerating.

The FHA Mortgage Center: Don’t allow your home to go to foreclosure or a short sale without contacting an FHA loan rep.

Sacramento Real Estate Voice:  Tips for Buying a New Home.  As a fellow Realtor, I could relate to this article.  Buying a new home in today’s market requires navigating more difficult waters. 

Luxury Home Digest: There are buyers out there, but the liquidity in the market has dried up.

The Mortgage Porter:  an advisory post about predatory lending practices still going on in today’s market. I had the pleasure of meeting Rhonda Porter, who writes the Mortgage Porter,  at this past summer’s Inman News Real Estate Connect Conference in San Francisco.

The Phoenix Real Estate Guy: Inspections can be stressful to both buyer and seller.  I also briefly met Jay Thompson, the Phoenix Real Estate Guy, at the NYC Inman Connect this past January, although it was late in the evening. He was at the bar in the Marriott Marquis with Kris Berg of The San Diego Home Blog and a few other bloggers, so I doubt he remembers meeting me!

 I met Larry Cragun at Inman Connect in NYC, too!

Four of the posts have to do with financing, fraud, and consumer awareness.  Two have to do with building inspections, and one with the purchase of new construction.  The emphasis on mortgage fraud is clearly a sign of the times.  Each article has some solid advice for consumers and are worth a read.

Prices are Down and Sales Are Up, So Who’s Buying and Selling Homes on Seattle’s Eastside?

In For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, King County Real Estate, Local news and information, Seattle real estate, real estate, real estate opinion on October 7, 2008 at 11:49 am

Home prices are down and real estate sales are up.   The Seattle Times had two articles screaming these headlines here in the Seattle/ King County area.  So who has made a move this year and why?

I thought I’d look back at the reasons some of my clients chose to move.  What Motivated them to make a move?  Some are buyers, some are sellers, some are both.  Here are some of their reasons:

  • Lost a long time spouse, remarried and moved to retirement community.
  • Divorce (2)
  • Needed more space for growing family (2)
  • Relocated for job, retirement, family (6)
  • Long time owners downsized to a condo (3)
  • Moved out of the country
  • Sold within 2 year limit for tax break on primary residence (2)
  • First time buyer (2)
  • Moving up to capitalize on buyers’ market. Didn’t make as much on sale of home, but made killing on purchase. (3)
  • Moved to mother-in-law unit on daughter’s property.
  • Expecting first child
  • buying parent’s home, selling present home

The above are examples of why my clients have either bought or sold a home. 

But who bought my listings? What was their motivation to move?

Most of my listing have sold to first time buyers, buyers relocating for jobs, one investor, and two move up buyers.

If you made a move, what was your motivation?  If you’re an agent, why did your clients make a move?

Stop-Check Your Contractor Out and Get A Second Opinion!

In For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, Home maintenance tips, real estate on October 3, 2008 at 4:03 pm

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Three times in the past month, clients, past and present, have called with questions about home repairs.  Two times furnaces were involved and one was for an electrical repair.  Both furnaces were deemed unsafe and in need of replacement by the first contractor.  The home owners then contacted two other contractors for further bids.  These contractors stated the furnace was in need of a basic repair, but not replacement.

Another client called an electrician who wanted $200 just to do an estimate.  I realize the contractor’s time is valuable, but come on!  I gave my client the names of two electricians I’ve had experience with who could help her out.  Neither electrician charged for a bid, but has done great work for other people in the past.

I constantly update my contractor referral list.  If I know a client has had a bad experience, the contractor goes off my list.  Conversely, if someone tells me about a great experience, I add that contractor to the list.  Sometimes I’ll have had direct experience with a contractor or service, other times it will be a name obtained from a colleague.  Sometimes one contractor or another may be better for a specific repair.   Feel free to contact me if you have more specific questions about any referrals. 

If you have questions about a repair or service, check the Better Business Bureau’s website, and The Washington State Department of Labor and Industries website, and feel free to contact me for a referral. As in every business, there are some great contractors.   However, be careful to get references and more than one bid before doing any home repair.

What’s The Price Range for a High End Condo on Seattle’s Eastside and Are They Selling?

In Bellevue Real Estate, Bellevue, WA, Debra Sinick, For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, King County Real Estate, Kirkland, Real Estate News, Seattle real estate, market statistics, real estate, real estate opinion on October 2, 2008 at 3:56 pm

This morning KPLU had a story about  high end condo real estate in Seattle and on the Eastside.  Richard Hagar, the appraiser interviewed for the story, called condos priced above $5 million dollars as the high end, and, he says, these condos are in demand. 

 I was curious to know how may condos were for sale on Seattle’s Eastside in this price range and if any had sold.  I checked the MLS and right now there are two condos priced above $5 million, both new construction in downtown Bellevue.

The most expensive condominium home is the penthouse at Bellevue Towers.  It’s priced at $9.2 million with 6397 square feet, 4 bedrooms, and 4.5 baths.

The runner-up is priced at $5.2 million and is located in The Bravern, just a few blocks away.  This condominium home is 3923 square feet and has 3 bedrooms and 3. 5 baths.

How many condominiums on the Eastside are priced between $4-5 million?  2

between $3-4 million?  4

between $2-3 million?  11

between $1-2 million?  75    

How many condominiums have sold in the last 6 months for more than $5 million? none

between $4-5 million? none

between $3-4 million? 3 pending

between $2-3 million?  none

between $1-2 million? 29

Is the high end really above $2 million on the Eastside, not $5 million?  The number of condominiums available above $2 million drops dramatically from the condos available between $1-2 million.  Seventeen condos are priced above $2 million.  There are 75 condos between $1-2 million and 29 are pending or closed sales.  Above the $5 million range, there haven’t been any sales and only 3 condos have sold between $2-5 million in the last six months.

We all know most people cannot afford the million dollar range of homes or condos, but it looks as if there is a high end real estate market between $1-2 million and an “ultra high end” when we talk about the Seattle/Eastside condo market.

From Sustainable September: Ways to Save Energy and Money

In Built Green and Sustainable Living, Debra Sinick, Energy conservation, For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, energy incentives, energy star, sustainable living on September 26, 2008 at 4:31 pm

I think I’ve become a Sustainable September, energy saving, recycling groupie!  I’ve been to four classes in the last couple of weeks and have

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

learned a lot about energy savings, etc.  As part of the Sustainable September, I attended the workshop last Saturday  which focused on ways to save energy.  There are many things one can do to save energy, some are very simple and inexpensive, others are more costly and result in long term benefits.  Everyone has to decide what works best for them. But everyone should do at least something to change and reduce his or her carbon footprint.

Here’s some of the information I learned about ways you can save money and energy:

Let’s start with CFL’s, one of the easiest and least expensive ways to save energy and money. Change your light bulbs to CFL’s, compact fluorescent lighting.  It’s important to convert your high use areas, the kitchen, the bath, and bedrooms, to CFL’s. 

 But where do you recycle your CFL’s at no cost?

Are there incentives out there to save energy?  YES, and Puget Sound Energy has several available:

  • Insulation: up to $1600
  • Natural Gas Furnace: $350
  • Air Source Heat Pump $200-350
  • Tankless Water Heater $150
  • Clothes Washers $50-100
  • Storage Water Heater $50
  • CFL’s Discount $2/$20

Other tips are not to close off rooms and heating vents.  I always thought it was practical to close off vents and close doors in unused rooms, but apparently not!  It causes the heating system to work harder and less efficiently. 

People and heating companies, tend to forget about the heating ducts when installing new heating systems. The sizing and installation of heating ducts is critical to an effective heating system.  Heating ducts should be sealed off , but not with duct tape!  Mastic is a better way to seal ducts.  Aerosol spraying of heating ducts is another way, although more expensive, to seal heating ducts. 

Places to contact for more information:

Contact Puget Sound Energy or look at their website.  There’s a wealth of information there.  Energy advisors can help you save, save, save and give you the most up-to-date information above the rebates mentioned above.

What Were The Chances of Selling Your Seattle/Eastside Condo in August, 2008?

In Bellevue Real Estate, Bellevue, WA, For Buyers, For Sellers, Issaquah Real Estate, Issaquah, WA, King County Real Estate, King County, WA, Kirkland, Real Estate News, Redmond, Sammamish, WA Real Estate, market statistics, real estate on September 18, 2008 at 3:25 pm

Sellers had a 13% chance of selling a condo on Seattle’s Eastside in July of 2008. ( click on 2008 year to date statistics in the link above for a chart showing the condo report)

August, 2008         1456 condos for sale,  195 condos sold,  13% chance of selling.

July, 2008              1476 condos for  sale, 187 condos sold, 12.7% chance of selling.

August, 2007         1002 condos for sale,  309 condos sold,   37% chance of selling.

Throughout the summer months, the chances of selling a condo have been pretty similar with  about 12-13% of the condos receiving offers and selling each month.  The number of available condos is only slightly less than last month. Still, the condo prices have gone up a bit, with a 2% increase this month. Each area on the Eastside of Seattle varies, however, and in some areas the competition is very stiff and values are lower.  The best of the best are selling.  Those condos that are overpriced are sitting on the market and helping the other condos to sell first.

What Were The Chances of Selling Your Seattle/Eastside Home in August, 2008?

In Bellevue Real Estate, Bellevue, WA, For Buyers, For Sellers, Issaquah Real Estate, Issaquah, WA, King County Real Estate, King County, WA, Kirkland, Real Estate News, Redmond, Seattle real estate, WA real estate, Woodinville, WA, Woodinville, WA Real Estate, market statistics, real estate on September 18, 2008 at 2:49 pm
The chances of selling a home on the Eastside in August 2008 ranged from a low of 6% to a high of 19%, with an average 12% absorption rate. (The absorption rate is the number of homes for sale in any given month divided by the actual number of homes sold that month.) Numbers will be rounded off to the nearest whole number, unless the number is exactly .5% between two numbers.
Here are the real estate statistics for single family home sales activity on Seattle’s Eastside:
August 2008          4240 homes available, 503 sold,   12% chance of selling.
July 2008               4332 homes available,  543 sold,   12.5% chance of selling.
August 2007         3336 homes available,   643 sold,  19% chance of selling. 

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(click on the each area name for a chart showing the latest stats in the area)

The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

Sellers had a 13% chance of getting a home sold, UP from 12% last month and DOWN from 21% last year.  Median home prices were up by 4%, from $549,250 to $572,000.  Inventory was up by 19% and sales declined by 22% from last year.

West Redmond/East Bellevue

Sellers had a 19% chance of getting a home sold, UP from 16% last month, and DOWN from 25 % last year.  Median sales price decreased from $582,475 to $549,000, a decrease of 6%.  Inventory was up 43% and sales were down 12%.

South Bellevue

Sellers had a 11% chance of selling a home, DOWN from 14% last month and DOWN from 20% last year.  Median price decreased by 8.5% to $592,475 from $647,800.  Inventory was up 14% and sales were down 38%.

Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall

Sellers had a 11% chance of selling a home,  DOWN from 15% last month and DOWN from 16% last year.  Median price was down to $478,062 from $502,500, a 5% decrease.  Inventory was up by 30% from last year and sales declined by 14%.

Kirkland

Sellers had a 9% chance of selling a home, DOWN from 10% last month and DOWN from 14% last year.  Median price declined by 11%, from $649,950 to $585,000. Inventory was up by 29% and sales were down by 14.5%.

West Bellevue

Sellers had a 6% chance of selling a home, UP from 5%, and DOWN from 19% last year.  Median pricing decreased by 37% to $999,950 from $1,582,500.  Inventory increased by 73% and sales declined by 42%.

Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

Sellers had a 14% chance of selling a home, the same as last month, and DOWN from 26% last year.  Median pricing decreased by 8% from $650,000 to $599,950.  Inventory increased by 19% and sales dropped by 34.5%.

July and August’s market activity was very similar, with most neighborhoods seeing the same chances for selling in both months.  However, the top area for sales on the Eastside, with the largest increase in chances from last month, was the East Bellevue/West Redmond/Microsoft area.  The chances of selling your home in South Bellevue, North Kirkland, Woodinville, Kenmore, Bothell, and Duvall dropped by few percentage points.  For the first time this year, West Bellevue’s median price dipped below $1,000,000.  We’ve not seen median pricing in West Bellevue below $1,000,000 since 2006.

To determine the most realistic view of the market, look at several months worth of data.   Pay particular attention to the amount of homes for sale in your area.  Regardless of what’s happened in the previous months, make sure you know the actual competition in your area before establishing a sales price and going on the market.

Be the best home out there and your home will sell.  People are still relocating, changing jobs, needing more space, reasons that still exist for making a move.

The Seattle/Eastside area is still far more fortunate than many other areas of the country.  For example, Southern California is looking at a 34% price drop from last year.

Kirkland’s Sustainable September Offers Great “Go Green” Information

In Built Green and Sustainable Living, For Buyers, For Sellers, Local news and information, Remodeling and style trends, architecture on September 15, 2008 at 7:24 am

Sustainable September, an event designed to help people “go green,” is happening in Kirkland and on Seattle’s Eastside through the month of September.  On Saturday, I attended the first set of classes.  Lesa  McIntyre from Greenworks Architecture spoke about ways to ”go green.”  Lesa McIntyre mentioned a very interesting concept for builders, investors, and home purchasers.  As an architect who works with “green principles,” she is able to look at older homes to determine whether the home could be remodeled with “green” principles more effectively than building a new home to “built green” standards.  She considers the lot, its sun and wind exposure, and placement of trees in her analysis.

Here’s some of the other information she presented: 

  • Look at the products under your sink.  Throw away all the chemicals.
  • Built Green is a great website to learn about rebates for “built green” materials.
  • The msds sheet available for products is the materials safety data sheet which will identify any carcinogens. (something new that I learned)
  • Learn where building materials come from.  This will help determine whether shipping bamboo from China or cork from the east coast has a greater carbon footprint.
  • Ecohaus, formerly Environmental Home Center, a store with a plethora of eco-friendly materials and advice is on Northup Way in Bellevue.
  • Denim insulation is a great recycled insulating product for homes.
  • Ice stone and  Paperstone are great countertop materials.
  • Marmoleum and cork are eco-friendly flooring products.
  • Reclaimed materials, such as timber, are the best option for reducing the carbon footprint of building and remodeling.
  • Carpet is one of the least safe products that goes into a home.  If you must use carpet, go with 100% wool with a jute (natural) backing. Lesa suggested 100% wool area rugs so they can be easily cleaned.

Tristan Heberlein from Solstice Landscapes NW discussed ecologically friendly landscape design.  His three principles for “green” landscaping are:

Feed the Food Chain:

  • Add compost at least every 2 years
  • Don’t use landscape fabric as it will deplete the soil of necessary nutrients. 
  • Use medium wood chip mulch.
  • Corn gluten is a natural way to minimize the seeds from weeds germinating.  The treatment last for up to 6 weeks.

If you wouldn’t put it on your skin, don’t put it on your plantings.

If you build it, they will come:

  • If your soil is healthy, it will create food for insects and birds. 
  • Plant a lot of flowers, salvia, and the autumn joy sedum to attract honey bees.
  • Provide circulating water.
  • Bird Feeders
  • Built rockeries and walls with crevices for insects.

Need good, free advice?  Contact Seattle Tilth’s Lawn and Garden Care Hotline at 206-633-0223.

From My Inbox: The Bravern Continues on its Path to be Bellevue’s Rodeo Drive

In Bellevue Real Estate, Bellevue, WA, Exploring the Eastside, For Buyers, Local news and information on September 11, 2008 at 10:28 am

Another luxury brand has been snagged by The Bravern in Bellevue.  The Eastside of Seattle is becoming the Seattle/Eastside’s answer to New York’s Fifth Avenue, Beverly Hills’ Rodeo Drive, and Chicago’s Magnificent Mile with the presence of Hermes, Jimmy Choo, The Red Door Spa, Bottega Veneta, and Neiman Marcus.  The move on the part of all these shops to Bellevue’s Bravern is testament to the economic clout of Seattle’s Eastside.  Here’s the notice I received  from Margaret Nicoll about the latest Bravern happenings:

“French Luxury House To Open

First Northwest Store At The Bravern

 

 

BELLEVUE, WA (September 9, 2008)- The French luxury house of Hermès will open in The Shops at The Bravernin the fall of 2009. The Bravern will be Hermès’ first location (2,100 square feet) in the Pacific Northwest where the historic retailer joins a noteworthy line-up of firsts for the Pacific Northwest, including Neiman Marcus, Bottega Veneta, Jimmy Choo, Red Door Spa and DavidBartonGym. Schnitzer West has also announced Louis Vuitton and two local landmark restaurants, John Howie Steak and Wild Ginger, as part of the retail mix.

The Bravern is currently under construction and scheduled for completion in 2009.  The 1.6 million square foot development in downtown Bellevue, WAwill include approximately 305,000 square feet of fashion-leading retail and restaurants anchored by a 125,000-square-foot Neiman Marcus, 455 Signature Residences in two elegant condominium towers and two office buildings, which have been fully leased to Microsoft. When finished, the five-acre site will feature a vibrant outdoor village with gracious arrival courts and European-style piazzas as well as include a 35-acre subterranean parking garage with 3,100 stalls. The Bravern will accommodate 2,300 Microsoft employees, approximately 1,000 homeowners and employ between 300 and 500 staff among the retail shops and services.”

If you’re thinking of selling your home next year, start thinking now!

In For Buyers, For Sellers, King County Real Estate, King County, WA, Real Estate News, market statistics, real estate, real world real estate on September 9, 2008 at 12:59 pm

Now that summer is winding down, whatever summer we’ve had that is, people’s fancy turns back to the business of selling their home. Today I received the traditional late summer/early autumn phone call from a client asking when would be the best to sell.  Should they start later this fall or should they wait until next year, and if they wait until next year, when’s the best time?   Bottom line, if you are thinking of making a move in 2009, it’s time to start thinking about it and getting ready to sell. 

Seems too early to you to switch gears from thoughts of sun and fun to moving?  Think about this: 2008 started with roughly 10,000 listings in King County.  It’s now September and there are over 16,000 homes and condos for sale countywide… a 62% increase in inventory as the year has progressed.  This year is showing the same trends we see every year, although, obviously, with larger numbers.

Here are some statistics from this year’s inventory of homes for sale in King County:

  • January 2, 2008-10,322 the least amount of inventory for the year thus far.
  • June 23, 2008- 16,030 homes for sale, the first time the market crossed 16,000 homes.
  • July 28, 2008-16,618 the most number of homes on the market.

Two drops below 16,000 since June 23rd:

  • July 7, 2008-  15,867.
  • September 2, 2008 - 15,742

This chart has the totals for the year thus far, weekly-county-listing-count-9-8-08. The first chart shows the actual numbers for each week in the tri-county area.  The second chart shows the trendline of the inventory.

Will the same thing happen next year?  Will we see the same increase in inventory? There’s a good chance.  Regardless of whether it is a seller’s or a buyer’s market, more homes and condos come on the market as the each year progresses. In my 22 years in the business of selling homes, the overall trend is to see the most number of sales happen in the spring of each year, usually in March.

Many people still think summer is the best time to sell, but it’s not.  There’s far more competition and the amount of sales often decrease.  Seattle is a gorgeous wonderful place in the summer and people take advantage of the sun and fun and postpone house hunting and buying. 

But don’t many people want to move in the summer, between school terms? Yes, people often want to move during the summer to be ready for school, but those people should put their homes on the market no later than April, so their home can sell and close by the summer.  If a home comes on the market in June, it needs to sell in 30 days or less to close before the start of the school year.  In other years, it was easier to do, but still a challenge to sell a home this quickly. Market times are often several months, which could mean a closing date of 90-120 days or more from when the home first is listed..  If you wait to put your home on the market in June, you may not be able to make your move until the fall.

Is it worth trying to sell before year’s end?  As the fall progresses homes usually start to come off the market.  By holiday time, inventory is usually at one of the low points for the year.  It’s can be counter-intuitive, but selling your home when everyone else is taking theirs off for the holidays puts your home up against less competition. 

If the end of the year and holiday time does not work for you, then shoot for the first part of the year, before inventory begins creeping up.  Spend the next few months laying your plans for the move.  Talk to a Realtor who can give you the advice to put your home in top-notch condition and start packing.  Clean out excess clutter and make the necessary cosmetic and structural repairs so your home is “dressed and ready to go.”

If you check this site, each month I will  post statistics for each of the eastside MLS areas.  It’s a good way to check market activity in your area.  Statistics will vary from area to area.  Feel free to contact me if you have further questions about your home or neighborhood.

Top Ten Things Not To Do During a Home Inspection

In For Buyers, For Sellers, Real Estate Tips, real estate, real estate opinion, real world real estate on September 5, 2008 at 6:08 am

I just got off the phone with one of my sellers who had checked his home after the buyer had finished the building inspection. The home owner was steaming, just like his furnace was when the buyers and their agent finished up the inspection, only it was 85 degrees outside!  The furnace was going full blast, the back door was unlocked, the lights were left on, and cabinets in the kitchen were left open. 

Buyers do you want to be able to negotiate on a home inspection?  Do you want to get a good deal and be able to focus on what’s important to you?  Then make sure you and your agent leave the home in the same condition as it was before the building inspection.

 

Here’s the list of the top ten things to NOT DO when leaving a home inspection:

 

  1. Leave doors unlocked.
  2. Leave lights on.
  3. Trip the circuit breakers
  4. Leave food and dirty food wrappers on countertops.
  5. Leave a trail of crumbs on the floor.
  6. Track dirt tracked on the carpets.
  7. Mess up the children’t toys
  8. Leave the TV on.
  9. Let the cat or dog out.
  10. Leave all the stuff removed from closets to gain access to the crawl space or attic out in the rooms or hallway.

You need to keep the focus on what’s important!  Don’t upset the apple cart and take the focus away from the real issues.  Respect the seller, the home, and leave the home in the condition in which you found it. It will help to keep the focus on negotiations and what’s important to you.

Hopefully, you’ve respected the seller and the home when you were looking at it before you made the offer.

What else have you heard happening as the result of a building inspection?  Do you have another “don’t” to add to this list?

Tips to Help Curb Identity Theft

In For Buyers, For Sellers, Real Estate Tips, financing, real estate, real world real estate on August 27, 2008 at 9:04 am

One of my clients, a home seller, just contacted me because he’d received a letter from the escrow company handling the closing of the sale on his home. Was he supposed to give the information requested on the form to this particular escrow company?  Escrow companies traditionally send a letter to each party in the transaction, buyer and seller, disclosing the escrow company’s involvement in the sale.  The escrow company is the independent third party company which ensures the proper documents are signed by both the home buyer and home seller to close the sale.Escrow will send a form with such questions as your social security number, your mortgage lien holder, permission to contact the mortgage company, home owner’s dues, etc, etc.   The home seller was exercising due diligence.  He wanted to know if the questions asked in the letter were appropriate and if he should pass along his social security number to this company. 

Giving out your social security number and personal financial information is always a “big deal.”    He was right in asking if this was proper and appropriate.  Identity theft is becoming more of a problem and people should exercise “due diligence” before giving out personal information. 

Here’s a list of suggestions to safeguard against identity theft.  I received this list from Patrick O’Neill at Commonwealth Title:

1. Next time you order checks have only your initials printed instead of your first and last name. If someone takes your checkbook they will not know how to sign your check… but the bank will.

2. Do not sign the back of your credit cards, instead write Photo ID Required.

3. When writing checks to make a payment on a credit card do not put the complete account number in the “for” line, instead just put the last four numbers.

4. Put your work phone number on your checks instead of your home number and use your PO Box or work address instead of your home address.

5. Never have your social security number printed on your checks.

6. Place the contents of your wallet on a photocopy machine. Do both sides of your license, credit cards, etc. This way you will have a record of everything contained in you wallet in the event that it becomes stolen.

7. If your credit cards are ever stolen, file a police report immediately in the jurisdiction that the theft took place. This proves to creditors that you were diligent in trying to recover the cards. 

8. If your credit cards are stolen make sure to call the three national credit reporting agencies and place a fraud alert on your name and social security number.

 

Equifax: 1-800-525-6285

Experian (formally TRW) 1-888-397-3742

TransUnion: 1-800-680-7289

Social Security Administration: 1-800-269-0271

 

New Tax Credit Can Benefit Many First Time Home Buyers

In For Buyers, Mortgages, Real Estate News, Real Estate Tips, financing, real estate on August 25, 2008 at 9:08 am

I asked Steve Tedrow of Windermere Mortgage Services to give his opinion, along with some of the facts, about the new tax credits available to first time home buyers.  The program is part of The Federal Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008.  Here’s what Steve said:

“I think first time homebuyers need to take a serious look at the new tax credit available to them.  This could be very beneficial to many people.  Any individual earning less than $75,000 per year or couple earning less than $150,000 per year can take advantage of the $7,500 credit.  A tax credit means that once you calculate your final tax liability, you reduce that amount by $7,500.  So, if you would have owed $1,500, then you deduct the $7,500 and would receive a tax refund of $6,000.

Some people complain that this is actually a tax free loan since the credit needs to be paid back over 15 years (or when the house sells).  But their analysis would be short-sighted unless they realize that the tax benefits of home ownership are normally much greater than the $500 per year which would get repaid.

For many people, it is difficult to come up with a down payment.  Consider this….a 3% down payment on a $250,000 condo is $7,500.  People should consider borrowing from their 401k or against another asset in the short term, knowing that the loan could be repaid at tax time.

If you are a first time homebuyer, I recommend you take a serious look at the tax credit.  It could be the key to many for getting into their first home.  There are many extraordinary housing deals in the marketplace right now.  Take advantage of those deals before interest rates go up and erode your buying power.”

Steve Tedrow

Windermere Mortgage Services

(425) 576-5461

 

Home Staging Gone Awry Or How Not to Have Fun Selling Your Home

In For Buyers, For Sellers, Real Estate News, Real Estate Tips, real estate, real estate marketing on August 21, 2008 at 2:14 pm

  This is really bad staging, but it’s nothing compared to the staging problems in this video on the Sellsius real estate blog .  Here’s an example of bad decision-making and really bad home staging combining to create a terrible home selling situation.   Something like what’s portrayed in the video rarely ever happens, but home sellers should take the right steps to minimize any problems.  

The video proves the point that in real estate, as in life, many things can happen and many things can go awry.   However, you can limit your risk by making sure you pick the right staging company to stage your home.  In 99% of the cases, staging is a huge benefit to getting a home sold at the best price the market will bear.  I always recommend staging a vacant home. I’ve got a list of great staging companies I know I can count on to bring quality furniture and design into an empty home, bringing more $$ to the closing table for a seller.

To help minimize problems and get the best service, seek the advice of a real estate agent who can recommend good staging companies or get references and photos of staged homes from other sellers.  If possible, see homes staged by the staging company.  Check the staging company out with the Better Business Bureau. Review the staging contract and contact an attorney if needed.  Most staging companies do a stellar job, but be careful out there!

And, in case you haven’t figured it out, don’t let someone move into your home while your home is for sale!  In the State of Washington, there could be a whole host of issues with landlord-tenant law.  Certainly no way to have fun or get your home sold!

Top Ten Ways to Get a Deal Buying New Construction Homes in Today’s Market

In For Buyers, Remodeling and style trends, real estate on August 14, 2008 at 2:26 pm

 

 

 

I recently received an email from a buyer who was interested in a new construction neighborhood in an area where I actively sell homes.  This buyer wanted to know whether to buy new construction in this market.  Here’s what I told him to consider in this market:

 

  1. Pick the best of the lot because you make your profit the day you buy your home.  Unlike driving a new car off the lot which immediately depreciates, your home can appreciate or depreciate based on the market conditions AND the choice you make.
  2. Purchase from a known builder with a proven track record.
  3. Negotiate on pricing and/or upgrades.  The sales price will be a business decision to the builder, so don’t hesitate to make an aggressive offer.  If the price doesn’t work, the builder will counter the offer.
  4. Look for special builder financing.  Some builders have special pricing available for jumbo loans.
  5. Buy a home in a good location, close to transportation, shopping, and schools.
  6. Pick a good lot.  Stay away from lots that are marginal.  Lots that back to busy roads or are under power lines, as an example.
  7. Look for standing inventory, completed homes the seller will want to get sold.  Prices are more negotiable for any completed homes.
  8. Pick a functional, good floor plan.
  9. Pick a home with lots of light and openess.
  10. Make sure the home has great finish work and has the most up to the minute features.
  11. Have the home inspected when you buy it!

Okay, so I came up with 11 items.  Inspecting the home is critical, so make sure you do it.  Over the years, I’ve sold new construction homes in which the insulation was missing in the attic, the dishwasher was not hooked up, and the furnace had not been cleaned out after construction.  All easily fixed.  However, if the issues were not remedied before buying the home, they could have become major problems later.

What Were The Chances of Selling a Seattle/Eastside Condo in July, 2008?

In Bellevue Real Estate, Bellevue, WA, For Buyers, For Sellers, Issaquah Real Estate, Issaquah, WA, King County Real Estate, King County, WA, Real Estate News, Redmond, Sammamish, WA, Sammamish, WA Real Estate, Seattle real estate, WA, WA real estate, Woodinville, WA, Woodinville, WA Real Estate, market statistics, real estate on August 12, 2008 at 2:26 pm

Sellers had a 12.7% chance of selling a condo on Seattle’s Eastside in July of 2008. ( click on 2008 year to date statistics in the link above for a chart showing the condo report)

July, 2008              1476 condos for  sale, 187 condos sold, 12.7% chance of selling.

June, 2008            1427 condos for sale, 194 condos sold,  13.6% chance of selling.

May, 2008              1472 condos for sale, 211 condos sold,  14% chance of selling.

July, 2007                 918 condos for sale,  332 condos sold,   37% chance of selling.

The chances of selling a condo have been pretty consistent for the last three months, varying only by a percent.  The number of available condos shrunk a little in June, but is now slightly over the number of condos available to buy in May.

Are condo prices still going up?  Yes.  However, this past month and in May,  the increase in value was less than one percent.  Increases in value have slowed down considerably, while the inventory and the chance of selling has stayed fairly constant.  Cream puffs are selling, other condos are taking a very long time to sell. If you are buying, consider the best condo with the least amount of issues. 

Is the condo located near employment, transportation, schools, shopping? 

Is the condo in good condition?

Is the condo in a quiet location?

Does the condo have a strong amount in reserves?

Are the condo dues low?

Do the dues cover exterior maintanence, water, sewer, and garbage?

Anything else you should look for?  Do let me know.

What Were The Chances of Selling Your Seattle/Eastside Home in July, 2008?

In Bellevue Real Estate, Bellevue, WA, For Buyers, For Sellers, Issaquah Real Estate, Issaquah, WA, King County Real Estate, King County, WA, Kirkland, Local news and information, Real Estate News, Redmond, Sammamish, WA, Sammamish, WA Real Estate, Seattle, Seattle real estate, WA, Woodinville, WA, Woodinville, WA Real Estate, market statistics, real estate on August 12, 2008 at 1:58 pm
The chances of selling a home on the Eastside in July 2008 ranged from a low of 5% to a high of 16%, with an average 12.5% absorption rate. (The absorption rate is the number of homes for sale in any given month divided by the actual number of homes sold that month.) Numbers will be rounded off to the nearest whole number, unless the number is exactly .5% between two numbers.
Here are the real estate statistics for single family home sales activity on Seattle’s Eastside:
July 2008               4332 homes available,  543 sold,   12.5% chance of selling
June 2008              4154 homes available,  635 sold,  15.2 % chance of selling.
May 2008              4349 homes available,  522 sold,  12% chance of selling.
July 2007               3253 homes available,   773 sold,  23.8% chance of selling. 

_____________________________________________________________

(click on the each area name for a chart showing the latest stats in the area)

The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

Sellers had a 12% chance of getting a home sold, DOWN from 17% last month and DOWN from 22% last year.  Median home prices were up by 1%, from $569,800 to $575,000.  Inventory was up by 18% and sales declined by 33.5% from last year.

West Redmond/East Bellevue

Sellers had a 16% chance of getting a home sold, DOWN from 23% last month, and DOWN from 34% last year.  Median sales price decreased from $599,000 to $574,990, a decrease of 4%.  Inventory was up 70% and sales were down 20%.

South Bellevue

Sellers had a 14% chance of selling a home, UP from 12.5% last month and DOWN from 23% last year.  Median price decreased by 19% to $604,950 from $749,975.  Inventory was up 24% and sales were down 24.5%.

Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall

Sellers had a 15% chance of selling a home,  DOWN from 15.5% last month and DOWN from 26% last year.  Median price was down to $475,000 from $550,000, a 14% decrease.  Inventory was up by 35% from last year and sales declined by 23%.

Kirkland

Sellers had a 10% chance of selling a home, DOWN from 16.5% last month and DOWN from 22% last year.  Median price declined by 25%, from $757,475 to $569,000. Inventory was up by 25% and sales were down by 38%.

West Bellevue

Sellers had a 5% chance of selling a home, DOWN from 9.5%, and DOWN from 19% last year.  Median pricing decreased by 29% to $1,354,975 from $1,748,000.  Inventory increased by 85% and sales declined by 50%.

Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

Sellers had a 14% chance of selling a home, UP (barely) from 13% last month, and DOWN from 22% last year.  Median pricing decreased by 15% from $644,435 to $549,375.  Inventory increased by 18% and sales dropped by 25%.

The activity for May  is included at the top of this article because July’s market performance is very similar to the market performance in May.  June was a stronger month for sales for most of the Eastside neighborhoods than July has been.  South Bellevue, and Education Hill, Carnation, and Union Hill areas were all stronger performing areas, but only by a fraction.  Every other area of the Eastside showed less of an absorption rate than in June.  West Bellevue, Medina and Clyde Hill, our most expensive areas, were hit the hardest with the biggest decline in activity and pricing. 

To determine the most realistic view of the market, look at several months worth of data.   Pay particular attention to the amount of homes for sale in your area.  Regardless of what’s happened in the previous months, make sure you know the actual competition in your area before establishing a sales price and going on the market.

Remember sellers, it’s price and condition in this market.  Homes are selling, but as we all know, there’s competition. Be the best home out there and your home will sell.

More Ways to Use Google for Real Estate

In For Buyers, For Sellers, Real Estate News, real estate, real estate marketing on August 6, 2008 at 10:30 am

Look for information on Google?  Duh! It’s second nature to all of us these days, but here are some other ideas about how you can you use Google in real estate. Kris Berg’s piece on Inman News blog  talked about a multiple offer situation in which the agents bringing the offers were googled.  The agent who didn’t appear professional online to the seller did not get their offer accepted.  Hmm.. never thought of checking agents out online before accepting offers, but this is a great idea.

Want to know more about a potential listing agent?  Google the agent to find out more about the agent’s online presence. 

  • Does the agent have a personal website (in this day and age, one would hope)?
  • Does the agent blog about real estate? 
  • Does the agent appear knowledgeable about real estate from what’s written on the blog posts? 
  • Does the agent appear to be trustworthy and competent?
  • Is the agent doing any business?
  • Is the agent’s online marketing strategy evident? 
  • Does the online marketing look fresh, interesting, and relevant?

When you get an offer for your home do you want to know more about your buyer? 

Past sellers have googled the buyer on a number of occasions to learn more about the buyer.  As agents, our job is to ask questions about the buyer’s financial qualifications, but not about the buyer’s personal information.  In fact, we agents have to be very careful to not violate fair housing laws and ask any questions which could be discriminatory. Since I work in Microsoft country, we can ask if the buyer works at Microsoft, since Microsoft is not a protected class! If you, as a seller, have your own questions about the buyer, google him/her/them.

The internet can tell you as a potential buyer or seller a lot of things about the people involved in the process.  Google them!

Any other ideas about what you can Google to help with real estate listings, buyers, sellers, and agents?

 

 

 

Craig Newmark, “The George Costanza of the Internet”, at Inman SF Connect

In For Buyers, For Sellers, Real Estate News, real estate on August 5, 2008 at 10:54 am

Craig Newmark, the founder of Craig’s List, a frequent guest at Inman Real Estate Connect, stole the show once again on the opening day of SF Connect.  Craig is witty, self-deprecating, honest, interesting, and involved politically.  Last Inman Connect, Craig described himself as “The George Costanza of the internet.”

 

At the recent Inman Connect, politics and political involvement were more the discussion  between Brad Inman and Craig Newmark.  Craig Newmark believes the US Constitution is the key to who we are as a country as it’s the perfect example of our representative democracy and describes the ability to “play fair.” He advocates extensively for investigative journalism because he believes journalism, with a critical eye, is vital to the survival of our republic.  A liberal thinker and an Obama fan, he looks towards the reinstatement of the Constitution on January 20th!

 

A bit about Craig’s List: The “list” started modestly 13 years ago by matching friends up with information and things. 

 

Some facts about Craig’s List:

 

12 million (or was it billion?) hits per month

26 employees, 16 engineers

Company valued at $5 billion by either Forbes or Fortune magazine

96% of the traffic on Craig’s List is from the U.S.

 

Goals for the future of Craig’s List:

 

Site to be in more languages

Greater role for mobile devices.

Spam detection improvement

 

How Many Forms Does It Take to List a Home In Washington State*?

In For Buyers, For Sellers, King County Real Estate, Real Estate News, real estate on July 31, 2008 at 11:18 pm

I wrote a piece on the Seattle Real Estate Professionals blog about the death of newsprint advertising for real estate and as things usually go in the blogging world the conversation in the comments drifted to the number of forms now used to list a home in Washington State.  The list of forms has grown exponentially just recently because of the new distressed sale law and further clarifications about the disclosure form. So here’s the list of the forms and information pamphlets that I now use when listing a home:

  1. Agency pamphlet:  Explains The Law of Agency and agency representation.
  2. Listing agreement: 5 pages includes  2 pages are the actual contract and 3 pages are the information forms to input the data.
  3. Disclosure form, Form 17:  5 pages in which sellers are to disclose anything and everything they know about their home.  Additional pages can be added if further explanations are needed.  Accompanied with a form letter explaining the disclosure form.
  4. Explanation form regarding seller’s disclosure rights: 2 pages
  5. Lead paint disclosure for all homes built before 1978:  2 pages
  6. Lead paint booklet from the Federal Government explaining the form.
  7. Utility addendum:  1 page listing all the utility companies and their addresses.
  8. Distressed sale form:  1 page ( Windermere company form)
  9. Distressed sale pamphlet explaining the Washington distressed sale law.
  10. Legal description: 1 page to be initialed by the seller.
  11. Business affiliation disclosure form: 1 page
  12. Have a septic system? In King County there are forms that must be completed and recorded regarding the care and “feeding” of the system.
  13. Facts about your home: 4 pages (my own form I use to get all the facts about a home)

There’s a lot to review and a lot to absorb. If you plan to sell your home, allow time to review and complete all these forms. 

What other forms have you seen for listing a home in a county other than King County?

 (*There are some forms that may vary from county to county.)

 

Furniture, Art or a Conversation Piece for Your Home?

In For Buyers, For Sellers, Remodeling and style trends on July 30, 2008 at 11:24 am

Need new furniture for your home?  Are you looking for the unusual, the conversation piece?  Check out The Designzen blog for Lila Jang’s Sofa that Climbs a Wall.  The sofa is part of a Paris art exhibition.  Since most of probably won’t be hopping a plane right now, this might be a good time to look at all the art pieces.  Brush up on your French and check out the Parcour Saint Germain.

I wonder if Lila Jang wants to exhibit at The Bellevue Museum Art Fair?  It’s not Paris but….

Will it Be A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood? Talk to everyone when buying your home

In For Buyers, real estate on July 26, 2008 at 1:15 pm

I was just reading Katrina Munsell’s piece over on Redfin’s Sweet Digs blog about planning out real estate searches.  Her advice about planning your search for a home by mapping your route is good.  It saves time and gas when you’re doing the all important home search.  Checking the homes out in real time is that all important next step. 

  • Does the home have good street appeal?
  • Is the house well situated on the lot?  Does it have a yard that works for you?
  • What does the house look out to?
  • Does the home back up to a busy road?  What else is behind it?
  • What are the homes around the subject property like?  Are they well maintained?  Are their lawns cut?

Interested in the home? Now get out of your car. Go talk to the neighbors. 

  • Find out how the neighbors like living on the street. 
  • Is it noisy in the area? 
  • Are their neighborhood activities going on?  Annual picnics?  Barbecues?
  • Are there neighborhood CCR’s?
  • Are their neighborhood amenities?

I had one buyer talk with a neighbor only to find out the slope opposite the house had already partially slid. Pretty wonderful information that convinced the buyers to “run” from the home.  These buyers ultimately found a much better home to buy without any slide issues.

Whom else should you talk with?  Figure out what’s important to you and what you would like to learn about, then target people who can give you the answers.

  • Questions about schools?  Visit or call the school administrators.
  • Safety?  Contact the police and get their opinion. 
  • Check out the location of the nearest fire station and hospital.
  • Who are the first responders in the community?  Is the house under city or county jurisdiction?
  • Public transportation? Check out the King County website for information about public transportation.
  • Noise?  Check the neighborhood out during various times of the day.  See what’s going on.

Do you need to ask all these questions and do the research before you make an offer?  No, you still have time after an offer is written.  Obviously, if you have the time to check things out before-hand, it’s always best.  But if you can’t, there’s a clause every buyer can exercise in a contract called “Neighborhood Review”.  Exercising this option gives you 3 business days to review any and everything about the area.  You can talk to anyone you want to determine whether the home or neighborhood is the right fit.  If it’s not right, you as the buyer have the right to terminate the contract and get your earnest money back.

Ate there other questions buyers should ask?  Are there other sources of information or people buyers should contact?

Mr. Rogers had it right when he said “It’s a beautiful day in the neighborhood.”  Make sure you know, as much as you possibly can, if buying a particular home will make it a beautiful day in the neighborhood for you.

Buying a Home? Think Gas Prices and Be Close to Transportation and Job Centers

In For Buyers, For Sellers, Real Estate News, real estate on July 24, 2008 at 7:26 pm

From my inbox the John Burns Real Estate Consulting Local Building Market Intelligence(TM) Report.  John Burns Consulting reports monthly on housing starts and new construction. The following is from their latest report.

Gas Prices Shift Demand Back to the Urban Core

We believe that there is going to be a tremendous shift back to urban areas, led by those who bought homes in the outlying areas who lose their home to foreclosure. They will choose to rent near work to save money.
 
 
 

 

The high price of gas is playing a very important part in home buyer decisions. The phrase “drive until you qualify” has less meaning these days as each mile becomes more expensive. Our clients’ favorite question has shifted from “What markets will recover first?” to “What submarkets will recover first?” Our advice: put your money near the job centers.

What Were The Chances of Selling a Seattle/Eastside Condominium in June, 2008?

In Bellevue Real Estate, Bellevue, WA, For Buyers, For Sellers, Issaquah Real Estate, Issaquah, WA, King County Real Estate, King County, WA, Kirkland, Local news and information, Real Estate News, Redmond, Sammamish, WA, Sammamish, WA Real Estate, Woodinville, WA, Woodinville, WA Real Estate, market statistics, real estate on July 17, 2008 at 8:58 pm

Sellers had a 13.6% chance of selling a condo on Seattle’s Eastside in June of 2008. ( click on 2008 year to date statistics in the link above for a chart showing the condo report)

June, 2008            1427 condos for sale, 194 condos sold,  13.6% chance of selling.

May, 2008             1472 condos for sale, 211 condos sold,  14% chance of selling.

June, 2007             840 condos for sale,  382 condos sold,   45.5% chance of selling.

The absorption rate, the chance of getting your home sold, did not vary much from May to June of this year.  Inventory is actually down slightly, but the chances of selling were almost the same during the past two months.

Condo values on the Eastside continue to go up, but last month the increase was negligible at only .5% from June of last year.  The actual number of sales is down considerably, by almost 50%. This means the cream of the crop of condos are getting the offers and other condos are just sitting on the market.  Pick your condo/town home purchase wisely.