The Seattle-Eastside real estate market ends 2011 in better shape than we’ve seen in the last four years.  There’s a more evenly balanced market between buyers and sellers, which the market is a fairly “normal” one in which some homes sit on the market and the good ones that show well and are priced well sell quickly.  In a balanced market, there is no  “one size fits all.” We see all kinds of things happening with homes, depending on the price, condition, sellers and buyer motivation.  The supply of homes is down more than it has been for 4 years, which is helping to balance out the supply of homes with the demand from buyers.

There’s a lot of yellow on the above map, indicating a balanced market in which it takes 4-6 months for a home to sell.   Yellow is the dominant color with the usual hot spots in some Seattle neighborhoods in “red,” indicating a faster moving market.

Here on the eastside, East Bellevue and Redmond near Microsoft is the “hot” area and is shown in red.  Red means homes are selling at a faster rate,  in under 3 months.   This area finished the year with more than one third of the listed homes selling in December.  Not all that long ago there were over 200 homes for sale!  In December there were only 125 homes for sale and 42 of these homes received offers. The number of homes for sale in that area was incredibly low, prompting a faster market with a high absorption rate (supply to sales) and a short market time.

The rest of the eastside has experienced one of the better years since the market meltdown.  It’s a much more normal real estate market than 1, 2, or 3 years ago.  I expect this year to be even better!

The cities below are grouped together to follow our MLS areas (multiple listing service) because our statistics are reported in this manner.  The cities are listed in order from the highest to the lowest in demand which is determined by the number of homes sales compared to the number of homes for sale. (Again, it’s that absorption rate) If there is a greater demand, then there is a higher percentage of home sales.

How was real estate market in your Seattle-Eastside city in December, 2011?

1. Redmond/East Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 36%*

Median sales price increased (y-o-y)**from $420,000 to $455,000

125 homes were for sale

A total of 42 homes sold

Days on the market: 104

2. Kirkland

The odds of selling a home were 19%

Median sales price increased from $498,000 to $510,000

167 homes were for sale

A total of 57 homes sold

Days on Market:  101

2. (TIE) South Bellevue/Issaquah

The odds of selling a home were 19%

Median price decreased from $560,000 to $505,000

242 homes were for sale

A total of 58 homes sold

Days on market: 123

3. The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

The odds of selling a home were 17%

Median sales price increased from $440,000 to $463,000

There were 527 homes for sale

A total of 116 homes sold

Days on the market: 103

4.  Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

The odds of selling a home were 16%

Median sales price decreased from $530,000 to $515,000

207 homes were for sale

A total of 66 homes sold

Days on Market: 115

4. (TIE) Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland

The odds of selling a home were 16%

Median sales price decreased from $393,000 to $339,000

421 homes were for sale

A total of 96 homes sold

Days on Market: 127

5. West Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 10%.

Median sales price increased from $950,000 to $998,000

127 homes were for sale

A total of 15 homes sold

Days on Market: 95

In many of the areas where there was a higher demand, the median sales price for the month increased in December, 2011 from December 2010.  Prices did not go up last year.  When I compare 12/11 to 12/10, the median price of homes that sold in some areas was higher in 2011 than 2010.  If we take the whole year, pricing was down overall.

With the lower supply, I expect pricing to be more stable this year at the very least.  Competition is still there, but it is far less than it was in the middle of last year when more homes were for sale.

Will prices increase?  Only time will tell and if they do, it will be a minimal increase.  Read my soon to be published post about predictions for 2012.

If you’d like more specific information about your neighborhood or home, feel free to contact either Brooks or myself.

*(The odds of selling a home in each area is a result of the number of homes for sale divided by the actual number of home sales, so if 10 out of 100 homes sold, the odds of selling would be 10/100 or 10%)

** (y-o-y)  median pricing is comparing year over year numbers.

Aubrey Cohen wrote an article about the fastest selling neighborhoods in Seattle, which prompted me to write this  post about the fastest selling neighborhoods on Seattle’s eastside.  What happens in Seattle, doesn’t just stay in Seattle, it also happens here on the Eastside!

Homes in East Bellevue and Redmond near Microsoft sold the fastest on Seattle’s eastside in September.  Not only did these homes sell more quickly, in 69 days, but out of the 204 homes for sale, 51 got offers.  These means that 25% of the homes in the area sold in September, among the best odds on Seattle’s eastside.  The odds of selling a home in the Woodinville, Bothell areas also stood at 25%, which means September was one of the best months to sell a home in those cities.

Why do homes in East Bellevue and Redmond sell more quickly? Because they’re close to employment centers and transportation and have a broader range of more affordable housing.  With the main Microsoft campus in Redmond and on the border of Bellevue, there’s a huge number of jobs right in the area.  In addition, there’s easier freeway and bus access to Seattle than in the outlying suburbs.

West Bellevue is the most expensive area on the eastside, although it’s proximity to Seattle, schools, and housing make it the premier location on the eastside.  The higher price point in the area means fewer buyers can afford West Bellevue, which increases the market time.  Longer market time here is a function of pricing, not desirability.

Why is market time important?  It’s one indication of the desirability and affordability of an area and both are key to future growth and appreciation.  People like to live in convenient areas with good schools and affordable housing.  (Remember affordability is relative to each area of the country.)

The cities below are grouped together to follow our MLS areas (multiple listing service) and shows how our statistical information is  reported.

Which Seattle-eastside city had the fastest selling homes?

1. Redmond/East Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 25%.*

Median sales price decreased (y-o-y)** to $503,000 from $560,000.

204 homes were for sale

A total of 51 homes sold.

Days on the market: 69

2. Kirkland

The odds of selling a home was 21%.

Median price increased from $516,000 to $626,000.

270 homes were for sale.

A total of 57 homes sold.

Days on Market:  87

3. South Bellevue/Issaquah

The odds of selling a home were 18%.

Median price decreased from $533,000 to $529,000.

362  homes were for sale.

A total of 65 homes sold.

Days on market: 88

3 (tie). Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland

The odds of selling a home were 25%.

Median price was down from $415,000 to $380,000.

558 homes were for sale.

A total of 139 homes sold.

Days on Market: 88

4. The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

The odds of selling a home were 19%.

Median sales price increased from $486,000 to $500,000.

There were 714 homes for sale.

A total of 137 homes sold.

Days on the market: 90

5. Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

The odds of selling a home were 19%

Median pricing increased from $541,000 to $580,000.

321 homes were for sale.

A total of 62 homes sold.

Days on Market: 100

5. West Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 19%.

Median pricing decreased from $956,000 to $936,000.

164 homes were for sale.

A total of 31 homes sold.

Days on Market: 127

Overall, market time is excellent in all of the eastside cities.  As I mentioned above, Seattle-eastside real estate is one of the bright spots in the country.  Companies in the area are hiring and people continue to want to live here because of the quality of life, the job market, and good schools.  

Seattle-eastside real estate sales results were so similar during June, July, and August I could have posted the same report with just a few exceptions each month!  Overall, 23% of the available homes sold in August, the same as June and July!

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The only significant change happened in West Bellevue and East Bellevue and the Microsoft area around Redmond.  Both these areas had fewer home sales in August than in July.  It was most noticeable in the neighborhoods around Microsoft where sales have been consistently strong.  In July, 38% of the homes sold and in August the sales numbers dropped back to 24%.  The area still had the best return on the eastside, but it was more in line with other eastside neighborhoods.

There’s a good real estate market out there.  The last time we saw a similar real estate market was back in the years between 1998-2002.  The market during those years was what we considered to be a “normal” market,  not a crazy market.  Once again, we see a more “normal” market today.

How many homes sold in August, 2011 in your neighborhood?

(The odds of selling a home in each area is a result of the number of homes for sale divided by the actual number of home sales, so if 10 out of 100 homes sold, the odds of selling would be 10/100 or 10%)

The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

The odds of selling a home were 21%.

Median sales price dropped: $479,895 to $475,000.

There were 725 homes for sale.

A total of 174 homes sold.

Redmond/East Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 24%.

Median sales price decreased from $494,900 to $479,950.

207 homes were for sale

A total of 60 homes sold.

South Bellevue/Issaquah

The odds of selling a home were 22%.

Median price decreased from $550,000 to $512,225

367  homes were for sale.

A total of 94 homes sold.

Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland

The odds of selling a home were 23%.

Median price was down from $415,000 to $381,650.

589 homes were for sale.

A total of 148 homes sold.

Kirkland

The odds of selling a home was 22%.

Median price decreased from $641,000 to $595,000.

280 homes were for sale.

A total of 73 homes sold.

West Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 17%.

Median pricing decreased from $869,000 to $754,500.

169 homes were for sale.

A total of 40 homes sold.

Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

The odds of selling a home were 21%

Median pricing decreased from $549,950 to $534,900.

319 homes were for sale.

A total of 79 homes sold.

Seattle-eastside real estate sales through August, 2011

The Seattle-eastside real estate market is only getting better and better!  August home sales beat July and were way ahead of last August.  This August was one of the best real estate markets in years!

Real estate sales were hopping.  Thirty-three percent more homes received accepted offers this August than August of 2010.  Almost 20% fewer homes were on the market, so less supply + more demand equaled more sales. In August, 22% of the homes for sale on Seattle’s eastside got offers.  This means out of the 2811 homes for sale, 609 homes sold.  On average, most homes sold within 85 days.

In King County, the number of homes for sale dropped below 10,000 for the first time since last May.  Here on the eastside, we’re also seeing the lowest number of homes for sale.   More than likely, the peak number of homes for sale was 2879 back in June.

Last month I questioned whether the surge in real estate sales would continue because of the volatility in the stock market.  With August sales numbers, we’re seeing the most robust market we’ve seen in a long time.  The stock market didn’t put a damper on eastside home sales.

Was your market affected by the stock market “roller coaster?”

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How many homes sold in June, 2011 in your neighborhood?

It’s uncanny to see how similar July real estate sales on Seattle’s eastside were to June’s sales results.  On most of the eastside, the numbers varied only slightly from June.  Twenty-three percent of the homes for sale on the eastside sold, with the Redmond and Bellevue area around Microsoft leading the way with 38% of the homes selling.  In the majority of eastside neighborhoods, the chance of selling a home ranged between 20-23%.

The odds of selling a home in each area is a result of the number of homes for sale divided by the actual number of home sales, so if 10 out of 100 homes sold, the odds of selling would be 10/100 or 10%)

The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

The odds of selling a home were 20%.

Median sales price dropped: $539,950 to $519,000.

There were 771 homes for sale.

A total of 165 homes sold.

Redmond/East Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 38%.

Median sales price increased from $422,475 to $429,950.

189 homes were for sale

A total of 85 homes sold.

South Bellevue/Issaquah

The odds of selling a home were 24%.

Median price decreased from $599,475 to $578,500.

380  homes were for sale.

A total of 110 homes sold.

Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland

The odds of selling a home were 23%.

Median price was down from $499,950 to $369,475.

598 homes were for sale.

A total of 158 homes sold.

Kirkland

The odds of selling a home was 23%.

Median price decreased from $549,900 to $541,500.

288 homes were for sale.

A total of 76 homes sold.

West Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 20%.

Median pricing decreased from $1,299,000 to $1,074,475.

175 homes were for sale.

A total of 42 homes sold.

Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

The odds of selling a home were 20%

Median pricing increased from $548,000 to $549,000.

337 homes were for sale.

A total of 75 homes sold.

Seattle Eastside Real Estate Sales Through July, 2011

The chart above speaks for itself.  July real estate sales were going strong on Seattle’s eastside.  More homes sold in July than in any  month since May, 2010. 

Will this surge in real estate sales continue?  Since the news regarding the stock market from last week, it remains to be seen if August will hold up to the sales growth we’ve seen since December of last year.

The number of properties for sale in King County still remains low compared to the last few summers when King County had over 14,000 properties for sale.   As of August 8th, there were 11,091 properties for sale in King County.  Here on the eastside, there were 2863 available properties.   If you compare the number of homes for sale on the Eastside this July to last July, there were 17% less homes and condos on the market this year.

In July there were 2863 homes for sale and 646 of these homes received offers and sold.  The absorption rate, the number of homes that sold during a month compared to the number for sale, was 22%. 

But what’s also important to note is 12% of the sales from June failed.   I had reported 661 sales in June, but this month I see only 587 of them stayed together.

The bottom line is more homes are selling than previously, but it’s also hard to keep the sales together.  Failed sales can be the result of poor inspections,  trouble with the buyer’s financing, an appraisal that does not agree with the sales price or a buyer getting cold feet and backing out.

How is the real estate market doing in your area?  Do you see similar trends?

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How many homes sold in June, 2011 in your neighborhood?

June continued to be a strong month for real estate sales on Seattle’ eastside.  In fact, June may have been the strongest month for real estate sales on Seattle’s eastside in four years.  The Puget Sound Business Journal stated more homes sold this month than in recent months.  Every area did far better than previous months and previous years.   The Redmond and Bellevue area around Microsoft led the pack with almost 40% of the homes selling.  Almost every other area had a minimum of 20% of the homes selling.  More homes are selling than we’ve seen in years, but there are still a lot of homes that are languishing on the market.  Know your competition, so your home will land in the 20%+ homes that are selling.

A past client of mine is moving back to the eastside after about 5 years.  He was really surprised to hear that the homes near Microsoft are actually more affordable than those in South Bellevue.  The Bellevue Schools are getting a lot of press because several of the high schools are landing on top 100 lists of the top high schools.  But in reality, parts of Bellevue have  been more expensive for years because of the easy I-90 access to Seattle.  This may explain why the area around Microsoft is usually the hottest real estate market.  It’s a great location, close to jobs, has good schools, and slightly more affordable housing prices.

The odds of selling a home in each area is a result of the number of homes for sale divided by the actual number of home sales, so if 10 out of 100 homes sold, the odds of selling would be 10/100 or 10%)

The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

The odds of selling a home were 23%.

Median sales price dropped: $525,000 to $494,950.

There were 765 homes for sale.

A total of 190 homes sold.

Redmond/East Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 38%.

Median sales price decreased to $449,900 from $482,500.

193 homes were for sale

A total of 79 homes sold.

South Bellevue/Issaquah

The odds of selling a home were 21%.

Median price decreased from $599,994 to $519,000

364 homes were for sale.

A total of 91  homes sold.

Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland

The odds of selling a home were 23%.

Median price was down from $419,973 to $369,950.

572 homes were for sale.

A total of 147 homes sold.

Kirkland

The odds of selling a home was 19.5%.

Median price decreased from $624,950 to $535,000.

286 homes were for sale.

A total of 71 homes sold.

West Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 20%.

Median pricing decreased from $890,000 to $719,950.

181 homes were for sale.

A total of 43 homes sold.

Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

The odds of selling a home were 20.5%

Median pricing increased from $474,950 to $549,900.

331 homes were for sale.

A total of 77 homes sold.

If you plan to sell your condo in the near future, feel free to contact me if you have questions about what you need to do to get ready to sell. Every seller has to do a few things before putting a home on the market.   If your home is positioned properly, it can be one of the lucky ones to get an offer.

Need to Recycle? Come on Down to Windermere Real Estate For free Recycling This Saturday