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Seattle Eastside March Real Estate Marched On!
Seattle Eastside Real Estate Sales Through March, 2013
Finally, there were a few more homes for sale on Seattle's eastside in March, the first month since August of last year!
Did this increase in inventory dampen the number of sales? So far, nothing has slowed down the rate of sales. In fact, the rate of home sales in Bellevue, Kirkland, Redmond, and other eastside cities was higher in March than February. Seventy-eight percent of the homes on the market sold! There is still more than one buyer for each home, so multiple offers remain the norm.
It's been hopping out there in the real estate market on the eastside. We're starting to see some Eastside buyers behave like Seattle buyers. This past weekend, a buyer pre-inspected one of our listings before making an offer. Rumor had it that there were going to be at least 4 offers on the table and this particular buyer wanted to come to that table with a very clean, straightforward offer. Buyers in Seattle have pre-inspected homes for years when the market has been hot. It's not something we've seen as much on the eastside, but we wouldn't be surprised if it continues.
Here are the specifics for March, 2013 as compared to March, 2012:
- 78% of the available homes sold this past March, 44% sold in March, 2012.
- Homes sold in 62 days, down from 109 days in March, 2012.
- In 2012 median pricing in March was $470,000. In 2013, March's median pricing was $560,000. We're expecting median pricing to continue to work its way back up to the higher $500+ range, particularly since inventory is still so low.
The Seattle Times reported a 17% increase in pricing from March, 2012 on the eastside.
It was the biggest monthly percentage gain since April 2012, when King County’s median home price started rising after 19 months of decline.
If you'd like more information specific to your home, don't hesitate to contact us.
Seattle Eastside Real Estate Sails into The New Year!
Seattle Eastside Real Estate Sales Through January, 2013
In January, buyers were lining up to buy the few available homes on Seattle's Eastside. Sixty-five percent of the homes on the market sold! There were so many buyers that most homes attracted multiple offers and sold for over full price.
For many months now, I've repeated myself. I've been reporting that the number of homes for sale during each of the last few months is the lowest number in 15 years, yet with each month the number has gotten smaller and smaller. The start of 2013 marks the first time the number of homes for sale has dropped below 1000 homes in such Eastside cities of Bellevue, Redmond, Kirkland, etc, I checked back to 1990, 23 years ago, and this is the lowest, and the lowest by far, number of homes for sale. Traditionally, there are several thousand homes for sale.
Sales, on the other hand, are high. Eastside real estate sales increased by 17% from January, 2012, while the number of homes for sale dropped by 44%. Redmond and East Bellevue continue with the top the absorption rate.* Over 95% of the homes near Microsoft sold last lmonth! There were only 44 homes on the market in those areas and 42 sold!
Fewer homes to buy + more sales = hot market.
Sellers, your ship has come in! But keep in mind, the homes that sell for the best prices are in show condition, not in need of repairs and are priced right.
Buyers, you have more of a challenge in this market. But it can be done. You can buy a home. Be prepared with a strong pre-qualification letter, learn your market, and have a Realtor representing you who is a savvy negotiator in multiple offer situations.
Here are the specifics for January, 2013 as compared to January, 2012:
- 65% of the available homes sold this past January, 24.5% sold in January, 2012.
- Homes continued to sell quickly, in 71 days, which is down from 106 days in January, 2012.
- In 2012 median pricing in January was $470,000. In 2013, median pricing was $514,000.
If you'd like more information specific to your home, don't hesitate to contact us.
*The absorption rate is the percentage calculated by dividing the number of sales by the number of homes for sale.
Seattle Eastside 2012 Real Estate Ends the Year on a High Note
What a year we had in real estate on the Seattle eastside! December real estate was on fire, just like much of 2012! Just over 1000 homes were for sale, about 1/2 as many as were for sale just a year ago. It's been over 15 years since there have been so few homes for sale in Bellevue, Kirkland, Redmond and other eastside cities. In a few eastside neighborhoods, every home for sale sold, but the bottom line is in every area most homes were selling, if they were priced right and showed well.
The area with the most sizzling sales activity was near Microsoft, in Redmond and East Bellevue. There was and is a dearth of listings, so every home that was for sale sold! Over 100% of the available homes sold in December! More than likely a few homes sold before they were on the market, causing the percentage of those sold to top 100 percent.
Our listings have been selling in a matter of days with multiple offers. Typically, homes sold for more than full price because of the intense competition and lack of inventory.
In 2012, 7300 homes sold on Seattle's eastside. Even with fewer homes for sale in 2012 than in 2011, more homes actually sold in 2012. In 2011, 5440 homes sold. In 2012, most of the homes sold were priced between $500-$750,000. The second most popular price range for homes in Eastside neighborhoods was $350-$500,000. Market time was really short by the end of 2012. It would have taken about 2 months to sell every home for sale, which was half the time it would have taken to sell off all of the available inventory in 2011.
Here are the specifics for December 2012 as compared to December, 2011:
- 46% of the available homes sold this past December, 17% sold in December, 2011.
- Homes continued to sell quickly, in 63 days, which is down from 106 days in December, 2011.
- In 2011 median pricing in December was $460,000. In 2012, median pricing was $506,000.
The median price of $506,000 listed above reflects the median price of the sales in December. The median price for homes sold in all of 2012 was $525,399, up from $502,784 in 2011. The chart below shows the median pricing for each of the last 5 years. As I've mentioned in previous posts, it makes more sense to look at the trendline (the red line) for the year then to just compare one month to another. It's clear that for the first time in the last 5 years, we are seeing a solid trend with price increases.
The fabulous activity in the 2012 eastside real estate market should continue into 2013. We've started the year with our listings selling just after the ink is dry on the listing and it's posted on the internet. With supply at an amazing low and demand still very high, there are multiple buyers for homes.
Seattle is on a strong path forward because of our strong economic footing, according to Jed Kolko, the chief economist at Trulia:
On the other hand, metros like Seattle, which came in second on the list of cities with the highest asking-price recovery, are on a smoother path to growth because of their strong economic fundamentals, he said.
If you'd like more information specific to your home, don't hesitate to contact us. Have a wonderful 2013.
Will There Be Any Condos to Buy on Seattle’s Eastside in 2013?
Will there be any condos available to buy on Seattle's eastside in 2013? If we look at the chart, it sure looks like the number of available condos could disappear! Right now, if no more condos were to come on the market, it would take less than 2 months to sell those currently available. We really expect condos to be on the market next year, but it's clear we'll start out with little for sale.
The number of condos for sale in Bellevue, Kirkland, Issaquah, Redmond, Sammamish and other eastside cities has been cut in half since March of this year. That's a huge drop in a short amount of time.
Not as many condos sold this past month when compared to other months of this year. However, because the number of condos for sale is so small, 56% of the condos on the market sold last month.
Median pricing has increased from last year by $20,000 to $242,000.
We do expect the number of condos for sale to stay low in 2013 as many are still hoping to recover some of the value of their condos before making a move.
Stay tuned to the first of the year, which is just around the corner. We'll do a wrapup of this year's condo sales on Seattle's eastside.
Have a great New Year!
Many Homes on Seattle’s Eastside Are Selling For Over Full Price!
In the third quarter of 2012, almost 30% of the homes that sold in the cities of Bellevue, Redmond, Kirkland, Sammamish, Woodinville, Issaquah sold for over full price! The demand by buyers for homes and the lack of inventory is creating this huge uptick in competition for a home. When more buyers are competing for the same house, the offers often have to be for more than full price to stand out from the competition. Many homes are now getting multiple offers and many, almost a third, are now selling for more than the asking price.
We've recently sold several listings in which the selling price was over $20,000 more than the asking price! In one instance, the home had come on the market only hours before. The buyers didn't want to take the risk that another offer would be written before the seller had time to respond, so they offered over full price. Another home sold within 48 hours. Three buyers made offers for that home.
As you can see in the above chart, the homes that sell for more than full price, sell for about 3% above the asking price, with the range from just a hair over asking price all the way to 22.5% above the asking price!
Twenty-one percent of the homes sold for full price. This means 51% of the homes on the eastside sold for full price or more!
The homes that sold above full price only lasted on the market, on average,16 days. Homes that sold for full price were on the market for about a month.
But what about the other 49%? (Not to be confused with the 47% that was talked about in the election)
Why did half the homes sell for less than full price if the market is so hot? More than likely, one of these reasons was the cause:
- Location
- Pricing
- Condition
- Marketing
- Competition
You can't change the location or the fact that there is competition for a particular home. But when selling a home, you need to maximize your buyer attraction by pricing your home well, having it in stellar condition, and presenting it well to the buyers through fabulous marketing.
If you have questions about how to have your home be one of the 51% that sells for full price or more, feel free to contact us!
On September 29th, Go to Your Seattle Eastside Supermarket and Donate Food to The Eastside Month of Concern for the Hungry
Please think about shopping and donating to the drive on September 29th all over the eastside at supermarkets in Bellevue, Kirkland, Redmond, Issaquah, Woodinville and Sammamish. The Eastside Month of Concern for the Hungry campaign to fill Seattle-Eastside food bank shelves is happening this weekend. Many supermarkets all over the eastside will have volunteers ready and waiting to pick up food and cash donations for such Eastside institutions as Hopelink, the Emergency Feeding Network, the Issaquah Foodbank, and The Mercer Island Foodbank. Food bank shelves are a little barer this time of year and the need for food on the eastside has only increased over the last few years.
Part of living in a home in a neighborhood is part of being in a community. Help your community out by donating even a little to those who are less fortunate.
Happy shopping!
August Real Estate Keeps Moving on Seattle’s Eastside
How was the real estate market on Seattle's eastside in August?
The market has been" steady as she goes!" This is a very good thing. We are experiencing a great real estate market that has followed a trend over the last few months and is far better than last year at this time.
The number of homes for sale has hardly changed at all. Ok, there were 8 fewer homes for sale in August, but that's just a drop in the bucket. And as we mentioned in a recent, the exact same number of homes were for sale in both June and July!
Did the number of homes for sale increase?
No, It hardly changed, but it did decline slightly. This had little impact on the market.
Did the number of sales increase?
Yes, by 6%. So we had about the same number of homes for sale, but more homes sold in August. This sounds good to me.
Did prices continue to increase?
Yes, they have continued to increase, but only slightly. Median pricing in July was $512,000. This August it's $520,000. Last August median pricing for the eastside was $506,000.
This is the third month in a row that median pricing has been up for the year. Again, this is a great trend!
The Seattle Times gave a very positive picture of the entire King County real estate market, which includes Seattle and the eastside cities of Bellevue, Kirkland, Redmond, Issaquah, Woodinville, and more. Glenn Crellin of UW's Runstad Center for Real Estate Studies said:
But for now, he added, the local market looks healthy. Rising prices are giving more formerly "underwater" homeowners — who once owed lenders more than their homes were worth — equity in their houses again, he said.
How did this past August compare to August of 2011?
- 38% of the available homes sold this past August, 20% sold in August, 2011.
- Homes sold in 63 days, which is down from 85 days in August, 2011. Homes are selling more quickly.
- Last year median pricing in August was at $506,000. This year, median pricing was $520,000.
- Homes sold within 4% of the original asking price. Last year homes sold within 7% of the asking price.
Is the Seattle eastside market strong? Yes, particularly compared to last year when there were almost 1000 more homes for sale! Add that to the fact that almost 1/3 more homes sold this past August than in 2011!
How does all this information impact you, if you're a seller?
Know how quickly homes in your area are selling. If your home is on the market for longer than the competition, there's a good chance your home is overpriced.
We recently spoke with a seller and told him the last few homes in his area in his price range sold in 2, 5, and 11 days. If his home is on the market for about 10-12 days with no offers, then his home will be overpriced for the market. Pricing a home correctly is the most important thing you can do as a seller. The next most important thing to do is hire someone who will guarantee you"ll have professional photography. Your home will have about 3 seconds to grab a buyer's attention on the internet, so make that 3 seconds work for you. If your home has lousy photos, you could potentially lose a good buyer. Make sure your home is decluttered, staged with your own furniture and good staging advice or with staged with the stager's furniture. As a seller, you're painting a picture for the buyer of how "cool" and wonderful it would be to live in your home, so set the stage, literally!
How does this information impact you as a buyer?
There is enough turnover in the supply each month for buyers to learn what values are in the marketplace. Find out what's available in your price range in your areas so you'll be prepared when the right home comes up. In some areas, multiple offers are the norm. In others, there may be some flexibility in the price. But if it is a well priced home that shows beautifully, expect it to sell quickly and for close to, if not, full price.
If you'd like more information specific to your home, don't hesitate to contact us.
The Seattle-Eastside Condo Market is Amazing!
Our amazing Seattle-Eastside real estate continues! How low can the supply of eastside condos go? In July there were only 463 condos for sale all over the Eastside, less than half the number of condos for sale in July of 2011! The supply is low and the prices have dropped considerably over the last few years as evidenced by the chart below. These market conditions bode well for buyers. Prices are at the bottom and with the low supply, they should begin rising. Unfortunately for the sellers who bought from 2007 on, it's still a tough market as pricing is well below the high experienced during that time.
Not only was the supply at the lowest I can remember, the number of sales were at the high so far for the year. There were 463 condos for sale and 236 of them sold! I've been in real estate on Seattle's eastside for 25 years and I've never seen anything like the lack of supply in the market we're experiencing now. In previous reports I mentioned if the supply of condos stayed on the low side, to expect the positive market to continue in Bellevue, Kirkland, Redmond, and the other cities east of Seattle. This was how the real estate market performed in July.
The chart beow shows the trend in pricing from 2008-2012 for condo sales on the eastside. Each blue bar represents a month during the years that are represented below. The red line that is drawn across each year shows where the median point is in pricing for the year.In 2008, the median pricing for condo sales on the eastside was $337,064. So far this year, the median pricing for sales is at $221,631. If you look at 2012, pricing has jumped up for the last two months, but on average, it's still lower than previous years.
Time on the market has also dropped to an average of 90 days to sell vs.109 days in June of 2011.
If you have any questions about the condo market, please feel free to contact us.
Did July’s Real Estate Prices Really Go Up By 7% on Seattle’s Eastside?
The Seattle media had screaming headlines recently about the 7% increase in King County real estate prices this July when compared to last July. Were the newspaper headlines right? As I've mentioned before, yes and no.
What did the media get correct when they said prices had gone up from July, 2011 to 2012?
They were only comparing the sales from July, 2011 to July, 2012. The median price was based on the sales that happened only in those two months. This could mean more expensive homes sold in 2012 than in 2011 or it could mean prices were higher. It is hard to know based on this one month. A snapshot of one month's real estate sales does not make a trend. It only shows how sales compared for those two months, so the Seattle Times was correct in stating the prices had gone up in from July, 2011 to 2012 by 7%. However, this is not the full picture.
How can you more accurately tell if real estate prices are going up, down or staying the same?
It's important to look at a pattern for a period of time, such as you can see in the chart above.
What does the chart show?
The chart is a compilation of all the home sales on the eastside, including such cities as Bellevue, Kirkland, Redmond, Woodinville, Sammamish, Issaquah and more. The NWMLS (Northwest Multiple Listing Areas) for these eastside cities are represented by area numbers 500-600 displayed at the top of the chart.
Windermere Real Estate compiled the data from each month and developed this chart to show median pricing for the past 5 years. If you look at the bottom of the chart, you'll see the years 2008-2012. Each blue bar above the years represents a month during each of the years. The red line going across the chart shows the median price point for each year. It was highest in 2008, when the median pricing for the year stood at $623,733 and had gone down consistently through the end of 2011, when the median pricing for the eastside stood at $502,784.
This year the chart shows the median pricing is creeping up, but here on the eastside and in other parts of King County, it's not up by 7%, but by about 3% so far for the year. The median for this year is at $518,309.
This is a much more accurate picture of real estate values on the eastside, not just a measure of one month's sales. Are you seeing similar trends in your area?
If you have questions about the value of your home, please feel free to contact us and we can take a closer look at the data for your home.
How Do You Go From For Sale To Sold on Seattle’s Eastside?
Moving from "For Sale" to "Sold"
How do you get from “for sale” to “sold?” It’s the price! Even though the real estate market in Bellevue, Kirkland, Redmond and other eastside cities is red hot, the price is still critical to getting a “sold” sign posted on the “for sale’ sign in your front yard.
Almost half, 48%, of the homes for sale between September, 2011 and March, 2012 sold in 10 days or less! With these homes only on the market for fewer than 10 days, the homeowners and their Realtors did everything right. The homes had to be priced right, show well, have fabulous photos and great marketing or the homes would not have sold.
Seeing these incredible numbers should help blow several common misconceptions out of the water:
1. Should you leave negotiating room when you set the price for your home? NO. Some homeowners think they should leave bargaining room. This, however, will send that homeowner down a path toward a longer market time and a lower selling price. Look again at the top line of the first chart. Almost half the homes sold within 99% of asking price and in under 10 days. With sales prices coming in at 99% of the asking price, there was little bargaining in the final sales price.
2. What if you want to price your home high because you’re in no rush to sell? A homeowner who overprices a home will shoot themselves in the foot. Let’s say a buyer is out searching to buy a home and sees 5 homes. The buyer will compare each one’s price, location, and features. They don’t compare whether a seller is a rush to sell or has all the time in the world. The buyer won’t know that. The buyer will only know that when comparing the homes, the overpriced home will stand out. Most buyers don’t bother to make an offer because there are 4 other homes that are more attractive and priced right. There’s no need to waste time pursuing an overpriced home because, even though the supply is low, there are other homes on the market. If today’s market pricing doesn’t meet a homeowner’s needs, then don’t put the home on the market.
3. Were these homes underpriced, because they sold so quickly? No. In today’s real estate market, we’re dealing with very savvy buyers. They know the market and they know pricing. They know when they see a home that’s well priced and they’ll pay for it. The buyers don’t have time to waste. The good homes are going fast. Secondly, does anyone really think that half of the homes that sold in the last 6 months were underpriced? I don’t think so!
The other 52% of the homes took 149 days to sell and sold with an average of a 10% discount. If you look at the second chart, you can see for every 30 day period a home is on the market, the selling price drops. Homes that were on market for a long time were the homes in which sellers could bargain with the buyers, but it usually meant the price dropped. Buyers think a home is overpriced or there’s something wrong with it if the house is on the market for more than a month in this market.
If you decide to sell your home, you’ll need to decide in which half of the market you’d like to be. Do you want to be in the market in which your home could sell quickly and for a good price or do you want to test the waters, take your time, and more than likely sell for less? It’s your decision.
