Red is busting out all over the map of Seattle Real Estate Sales!  Red means it’s a sellers market in which homes, on average, are selling in less than 3 months!  The numbers are really strong in all of the eastside cities, but top sales go to the 80% sales rate in Redmond and East Bellevue near Microsoft last month!  Incredible odds!  In every other area on the eastside over 40% of the homes sold.

Closed sales, the sales in which the new buyer now owns the house, are showing lower sales numbers because the homes that closed in March actually got offers in January or February.  Expect the number of sales for each of the coming months to jump   higher because March home sales will be closing in April and May..  Market time will continue to decrease as this faster sales market continues.

Pricing has still been dropping as you can see below, but should become more stable as the prices from these March sales becomes public. Some areas actually showed an increase in pricing, but remember, it is a representation of the sales that sold in March only.

Multiple offers, a shortage of homes, a huge percentage of homes selling in a short amount of time are all  the buzz words for the Seattle eastside real estate market.

The cities below are reported together to follow our MLS areas (multiple listing service) information.

1. Redmond/East Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 80%

Median sales price decreased from $476,000 to $427,000 (y-o-y)**

95 homes were for sale

A total of 76 homes sold

Days on the market: 135

2. Kirkland

The odds of selling a home were 57%

Median sales price decreased from $570,000 to $469,000

137 homes were for sale

A total of 53 homes sold

Days on Market:  83

3. West Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 46%.

Median sales price increased from $888,000 to $1,000,000

117 homes were for sale

A total of 54 homes sold

Days on Market: 70

4. The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

The odds of selling a home were 44%

Median sales price decreased from $505,000 to $462,000

There were 436 homes for sale

A total of 193 homes sold

Days on the market: 127

4. (tie)  South Bellevue/Issaquah

The odds of selling a home were 44%

Median price increased from $510,000 to $560,000

225 homes were for sale

A total of 98 homes sold

Days on market: 99

5. Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

The odds of selling a home were 43%

Median sales price increased from $411,000 to $472,000

193 homes were for sale

A total of 83 homes sold

Days on Market: 100

6. Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland

The odds of selling a home were 42%

Median sales price decreased from $423,000 to $369,000

365 homes were for sale

A total of 151 homes sold

Days on Market: 100

If you’d like more specific information about your neighborhood or home, feel free to contact either Brooks or me.

*(The odds of selling a home in each area is a result of the number of homes for sale divided by the actual number of home sales, so if 10 out of 100 homes sold, the odds of selling would be 10/100 or 10%)

** (y-o-y)  median pricing is comparing year over year numbers.

Is this an accurate picture of today’s local real estate?

Besides the fact that the Case-Shiller report is examining older data, we have to remember to look at pricing over a 3-6 month period to see a real trend and in a very local real estate market.  When you examine trends in a more localized area, you see true numbers.  The numbers that affect you.  Case-Shiller examines 20 metropolitan areas, including the Seattle area.  However, this includes not only Seattle, but the surrounding counties:  Snohomish, Pierce, and King.  The  counties are very different real estate animals. Aubrey Cohen said in the PI:

Pierce and Snohomish counties are weaker than King County, dragging down statistics for the metro area.

Within counties, real estate markets are different.  In King County, the south is very different from the east. In East King County, in such cities such as Bellevue and Redmond or Sammamish, there are differences.  Looking at the Seattle and the surrounding counties does not give the true picture of what is happening in Kirkland, Woodinville or Duvall.  Case-Shiller does not tell the local story , the local real estate story that affects you and your home.

What’s really happening with real estate on Seattle’s eastside?

As March comes to a close, we’re in a “hot” market in Seattle and on the eastside in Bellevue, Redmond, Kirkland, and Issaquah. etc.  This week in all of King County, there are 6,802 properties for sale.  Last year at this time, 10,772 properties were for sale.  The eastside is a reflection of these numbers.  There is a small supply of available properties.  Every day the NWMLS, Northwest Multiple Listing Service, tallies up the number of new listings and sales.  On most days, pending sales outpace new listings by about one-third. Many homes are receiving multiple offers, which means their prices are, more often than,  not remaining stable.  There’s too much demand for housing and not enough houses for sale.

The reality is prices will not go up by much, but they also will not go down on the eastside in most areas with this lack of supply and high demand for homes.  Let’s not go back to the past. Let’s focus on the present as much as we can.  The Eastside real estate market is hot!

That should be the headline for today’s real estate news.

Multiple offers, low supply of homes, a huge percentage of homes selling in a short amount of time, all are happening in the eastside communities of Bellevue, Redmond, Kirkland, Issaquah, Woodinville, and Bothell.  This is an exciting trend that we expect will continue as long as people feel good about the economy, Seattle companies are hiring and there is this shortage of homes for sale. The national press is jumping on the bandwagon and reporting the uptick in the real estate market.  However, I believe this is not happening everywhere. We are among the fortunate areas in the country that are experiencing this positive real estate market.

Almost half of all the homes for sale in Kirkland and Redmond sold this past month! That’s astonishing odds. The cities below are grouped together to follow our MLS areas (multiple listing service).  This is how our statistics are reported.

1. Redmond/East Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 49%

Median sales price decreased from $435,000 to $400,000 (y-o-y)**

113 homes were for sale

A total of 35 homes sold

Days on the market: 84

2. Kirkland

The odds of selling a home were 48%

Median sales price decreased from $457,000 to $442,000

140 homes were for sale

A total of 38 homes sold

Days on Market:  98

3. The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

The odds of selling a home were 40%

Median sales price decreased from $514,000 to $442,000

There were 428 homes for sale

A total of 100 homes sold

Days on the market: 121

4.  South Bellevue/Issaquah

The odds of selling a home were 33%

Median price decreased from $580,000 to $525,000

239 homes were for sale

A total of 43 homes sold

Days on market: 118

5. Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland

The odds of selling a home were 32%

Median sales price decreased from $366,000 to $360,000

368 homes were for sale

A total of 105 homes sold

Days on Market: 115

6. West Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 20%.

Median sales price increased from $840,000 to $960,000

123 homes were for sale

A total of 15 homes sold

Days on Market: 133

7.  Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

The odds of selling a home were 4%

Median sales price increased from $382,000 to $515,000

205 homes were for sale

A total of 29 homes sold

Days on Market: 152

If you’d like more specific information about your neighborhood or home, feel free to contact either Brooks or me.

*(The odds of selling a home in each area is a result of the number of homes for sale divided by the actual number of home sales, so if 10 out of 100 homes sold, the odds of selling would be 10/100 or 10%)

** (y-o-y)  median pricing is comparing year over year numbers.

There’s a lot of  “red” on the above Seattle area real estate map!  There’s more “red” than we’ve seen in years, and I mean years.  What does the “red” mean?  It means it’s a seller’s market. The homes that are in the “red” areas sell in less than 3 months on average.  In January, most of the eastside was a seller’s market.  Mercer Island, West Bellevue, and Kirkland did not quite reach the threshold of a seller’s market, but Kirkland was almost there.  The real estate markets in these areas were more evenly balanced between the buyers and sellers as homes sold on average within 3-6 months.

This real estate market is pretty exciting to see after the tough markets of the last few  years.  But what this really means is that we have a more normal market on Seattle’s eastside. The good homes that are priced right and show well are the homes that are selling quickly and bringing the average market time down.  There are and still will be homes that aren’t priced well or don’t show well which will sit on the market and take longer to sell.

The chance of a home selling in the different eastside cities ranged from 15-30%. West Bellevue had the fewest sales when compared to the number of available homes, while the plateau cities of Sammamish, North Bend, and Fall City saw almost a third of the homes sell in one month!

The Seattle Times talked about the drop in median prices, but was careful to point out that data varies from city to city and neighborhood to neighborhood.

But King County is a big place, and the real-estate market isn’t the same in SeaTac as it is in Sammamish.
A closer look at the statistics reveals significant variations from neighborhood to neighborhood.

It’s good to see the Times recognizing the neighborhood differences, since too many times the media publishes data, which covers too broad an area.  This does not give an accurate picture of the real estate data.

If you’d like more specific information about your neighborhood or home, feel free to contact either Brooks or me.

*(The odds of selling a home in each area is a result of the number of homes for sale divided by the actual number of home sales, so if 10 out of 100 homes sold, the odds of selling would be 10/100 or 10%)

** (y-o-y)  median pricing is comparing year over year numbers.

The cities below are grouped together to follow our MLS areas (multiple listing service).  This is how our statistics are reported.

How was real estate market in your Seattle-Eastside city in December, 2011?

1. Redmond/East Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 36%*

Median sales price increased (y-o-y)**from $420,000 to $455,000

125 homes were for sale

A total of 42 homes sold

Days on the market: 104

2. Kirkland

The odds of selling a home were 19%

Median sales price increased  from $498,000 to $510,000

167 homes were for sale

A total of 57 homes sold

Days on Market:  101

2. (TIE) South Bellevue/Issaquah

The odds of selling a home were 19%

Median price decreased from $560,000 to $505,000

242 homes were for sale

A total of 58 homes sold

Days on market: 123

3. The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

The odds of selling a home were 17%

Median sales price increased from $440,000 to $463,000

There were 527 homes for sale

A total of 116 homes sold

Days on the market: 103

4.  Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

The odds of selling a home were 16%

Median sales price decreased from $530,000 to $515,000

207 homes were for sale

A total of 66 homes sold

Days on Market: 115

4. (TIE) Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland

The odds of selling a home were 16%

Median sales price decreased from $393,000 to $339,000

421 homes were for sale

A total of 96 homes sold

Days on Market: 127

5. West Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 10%.

Median sales price increased from $950,000 to $998,000

127 homes were for sale

A total of 15 homes sold

Days on Market: 95

If you’d like more specific information about your neighborhood or home, feel free to contact either Brooks or me.

*(The odds of selling a home in each area is a result of the number of homes for sale divided by the actual number of home sales, so if 10 out of 100 homes sold, the odds of selling would be 10/100 or 10%)

** (y-o-y)  median pricing is comparing year over year numbers.

The November Real Estate Map Showing a More Balanced Market Between Buyers and Sellers

The cities below are grouped together to follow our MLS areas (multiple listing service).  This is how our statistics are reported.
 
How was real estate market in your Seattle-eastside city in November, 2011?
 
1. Kirkland

The odds of selling a home were 31%.*

Median price decreased  (y-o-y)** from $530,000 to $477,000.

188 homes were for sale.

A total of 58 homes sold.

Days on Market:  105
 
2. Redmond/East Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 29%.

Median sales price decreased to $418,000 from $527,000.

163 homes were for sale

A total of 48 homes sold.

Days on the market: 60
 
3. South Bellevue/Issaquah

The odds of selling a home were 22.5%.

Median price increased from $538,000 to $550,000.

267 homes were for sale.

A total of 60 homes sold.

Days on market: 98
 
4. Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

The odds of selling a home were 22%

Median pricing decreased from $540,000 to $530,000.

247 homes were for sale.

A total of 54 homes sold.

Days on Market: 104
 
4. (tie) Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland

The odds of selling a home were 22%.

Median price was down from $451,000 to $394,000.

481 homes were for sale.

A total of 105 homes sold.

Days on Market: 114
 
5. The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

The odds of selling a home were 18%.

Median sales price decreased from $460,000 to $441,000.

There were 580 homes for sale.

A total of 104 homes sold.

Days on the market: 119
 
6. West Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 11%.

Median pricing decreased to $950,000 from $1,035,000.

127 homes were for sale.

A total of 14 homes sold.

Days on Market: 91

The odds of selling a home in the Redmond and East Bellevue areas stood at 30%, which also was the strongest absorption rate to be found on the eastside.*  Chances of selling ranged from 19-26% in the other eastside cities.

 
The Redmond and East Bellevue area near Microsoft comes out on top for market time and a higher absorption rate because of more affordable housing, good jobs, an easier commute and good schools.  With the main Microsoft campus in Redmond right on the Bellevue line, there are lots of jobs right there.  In addition, there’s easier freeway and bus access to Seattle than in the outlying suburbs.
 
The higher price point in West Bellevue means fewer buyers can afford to live there.  Affordability issues increase the market time.  Longer market time here is a function of pricing, not desirability.  West Bellevue is considered to be one of the best locations on the eastside.
 
Two of the areas had an increase in the median pricing, Redmond and East Bellevue and Redmond and Education Hill.  Changes in median pricing, however, need to be looked at over a period of months since the median price for this month reflects the sales for this month only.
 
Why is market time important?  It’s one indication of the desirability and affordability of an area.  Both are key to future growth and appreciation.  People like to live in convenient areas with good schools and affordable housing.
 
The cities below are grouped together to follow our MLS areas (multiple listing service) and shows how our statistical information is  reported.  How did your city do this past month?
 
Which Seattle-eastside city had the fastest selling homes in October, 2011?
 
1. Redmond/East Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 30%.*

Median sales price increased (y-o-y)** to $435,000 from $427,000.

193 homes were for sale

A total of 58 homes sold.

Days on the market: 56
 
2. Kirkland

The odds of selling a home were 26%.

Median price decreased from $592,000 to $501,000.

234 homes were for sale.

A total of 60 homes sold.

Days on Market:  99
 
3. Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

The odds of selling a home were 19%

Median pricing increased from $541,000 to $580,000.

321 homes were for sale.

A total of 62 homes sold.

Days on Market: 100
 
4.Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland

The odds of selling a home were 22%.

Median price was down from $377,000 to $370,000.

540 homes were for sale.

A total of 117 homes sold.

Days on Market: 101
 
5. South Bellevue/Issaquah

The odds of selling a home were 24%.

Median price decreased from $580,000 to $500,000.

338 homes were for sale.

A total of 81 homes sold.

Days on market: 104
 
6. The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

The odds of selling a home were 23%.

Median sales price decreased from $500,000 to $460,000.

There were 650 homes for sale.

A total of 158 homes sold.

Days on the market: 108
 
7. West Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 22.5%.

Median pricing decreased from $985,000 to $878,000.

128 homes were for sale.

A total of 31 homes sold.

Days on Market: 117

Aubrey Cohen wrote an article about the fastest selling neighborhoods in Seattle, which prompted me to write this  post about the fastest selling neighborhoods on Seattle’s eastside.  What happens in Seattle, doesn’t just stay in Seattle, it also happens here on the Eastside!

Homes in East Bellevue and Redmond near Microsoft sold the fastest on Seattle’s eastside in September.  Not only did these homes sell more quickly, in 69 days, but out of the 204 homes for sale, 51 got offers.  These means that 25% of the homes in the area sold in September, among the best odds on Seattle’s eastside.  The odds of selling a home in the Woodinville, Bothell areas also stood at 25%, which means September was one of the best months to sell a home in those cities.

Why do homes in East Bellevue and Redmond sell more quickly? Because they’re close to employment centers and transportation and have a broader range of more affordable housing.  With the main Microsoft campus in Redmond and on the border of Bellevue, there’s a huge number of jobs right in the area.  In addition, there’s easier freeway and bus access to Seattle than in the outlying suburbs.

West Bellevue is the most expensive area on the eastside, although it’s proximity to Seattle, schools, and housing make it the premier location on the eastside.  The higher price point in the area means fewer buyers can afford West Bellevue, which increases the market time.  Longer market time here is a function of pricing, not desirability.

Why is market time important?  It’s one indication of the desirability and affordability of an area and both are key to future growth and appreciation.  People like to live in convenient areas with good schools and affordable housing.  (Remember affordability is relative to each area of the country.)

The cities below are grouped together to follow our MLS areas (multiple listing service) and shows how our statistical information is  reported.

Which Seattle-eastside city had the fastest selling homes?

1. Redmond/East Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 25%.*

Median sales price decreased (y-o-y)** to $503,000 from $560,000.

204 homes were for sale

A total of 51 homes sold.

Days on the market: 69

2. Kirkland

The odds of selling a home was 21%.

Median price increased from $516,000 to $626,000.

270 homes were for sale.

A total of 57 homes sold.

Days on Market:  87

3. South Bellevue/Issaquah

The odds of selling a home were 18%.

Median price decreased from $533,000 to $529,000.

362  homes were for sale.

A total of 65 homes sold.

Days on market: 88

3 (tie). Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland

The odds of selling a home were 25%.

Median price was down from $415,000 to $380,000.

558 homes were for sale.

A total of 139 homes sold.

Days on Market: 88

4. The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

The odds of selling a home were 19%.

Median sales price increased from $486,000 to $500,000.

There were 714 homes for sale.

A total of 137 homes sold.

Days on the market: 90

5. Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

The odds of selling a home were 19%

Median pricing increased from $541,000 to $580,000.

321 homes were for sale.

A total of 62 homes sold.

Days on Market: 100

5. West Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 19%.

Median pricing decreased from $956,000 to $936,000.

164 homes were for sale.

A total of 31 homes sold.

Days on Market: 127

Overall, market time is excellent in all of the eastside cities.  As I mentioned above, Seattle-eastside real estate is one of the bright spots in the country.  Companies in the area are hiring and people continue to want to live here because of the quality of life, the job market, and good schools.  

Seattle-eastside real estate sales results were so similar during June, July, and August I could have posted the same report with just a few exceptions each month!  Overall, 23% of the available homes sold in August, the same as June and July!

[googlemaps http://maps.google.com/maps?f=q&source=s_q&hl=en&geocode=&q=Eastside+of+Seattle&aq=&sll=47.610377,-122.200679&sspn=0.123598,0.359459&vpsrc=0&g=Bellevue,+WA&ie=UTF8&hq=Eastside+of&hnear=Seattle,+King,+Washington&t=m&ll=47.615847,-122.302272&spn=0.338201,0.11521&output=embed&w=425&h=350]

The only significant change happened in West Bellevue and East Bellevue and the Microsoft area around Redmond.  Both these areas had fewer home sales in August than in July.  It was most noticeable in the neighborhoods around Microsoft where sales have been consistently strong.  In July, 38% of the homes sold and in August the sales numbers dropped back to 24%.  The area still had the best return on the eastside, but it was more in line with other eastside neighborhoods.

There’s a good real estate market out there.  The last time we saw a similar real estate market was back in the years between 1998-2002.  The market during those years was what we considered to be a “normal” market,  not a crazy market.  Once again, we see a more “normal” market today.

How many homes sold in August, 2011 in your neighborhood?

(The odds of selling a home in each area is a result of the number of homes for sale divided by the actual number of home sales, so if 10 out of 100 homes sold, the odds of selling would be 10/100 or 10%)

The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

The odds of selling a home were 21%.

Median sales price dropped: $479,895 to $475,000.

There were 725 homes for sale.

A total of 174 homes sold.

Redmond/East Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 24%.

Median sales price decreased from $494,900 to $479,950.

207 homes were for sale

A total of 60 homes sold.

South Bellevue/Issaquah

The odds of selling a home were 22%.

Median price decreased from $550,000 to $512,225

367  homes were for sale.

A total of 94 homes sold.

Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland

The odds of selling a home were 23%.

Median price was down from $415,000 to $381,650.

589 homes were for sale.

A total of 148 homes sold.

Kirkland

The odds of selling a home was 22%.

Median price decreased from $641,000 to $595,000.

280 homes were for sale.

A total of 73 homes sold.

West Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 17%.

Median pricing decreased from $869,000 to $754,500.

169 homes were for sale.

A total of 40 homes sold.

Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

The odds of selling a home were 21%

Median pricing decreased from $549,950 to $534,900.

319 homes were for sale.

A total of 79 homes sold.

[googlemaps http://maps.google.com/maps?f=q&source=s_q&hl=en&geocode=&q=Bellevue,+WA&sll=37.0625,-95.677068&sspn=23.403932,58.271484&ie=UTF8&hq=&hnear=Bellevue,+King,+Washington&ll=47.610377,-122.200679&spn=0.310148,0.910492&z=10&output=embed&w=425&h=350]

How many homes sold in June, 2011 in your neighborhood?

It’s uncanny to see how similar July real estate sales on Seattle’s eastside were to June’s sales results.  On most of the eastside, the numbers varied only slightly from June.  Twenty-three percent of the homes for sale on the eastside sold, with the Redmond and Bellevue area around Microsoft leading the way with 38% of the homes selling.  In the majority of eastside neighborhoods, the chance of selling a home ranged between 20-23%.

The odds of selling a home in each area is a result of the number of homes for sale divided by the actual number of home sales, so if 10 out of 100 homes sold, the odds of selling would be 10/100 or 10%)

The plateau:  Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City

The odds of selling a home were 20%.

Median sales price dropped: $539,950 to $519,000.

There were 771 homes for sale.

A total of 165 homes sold.

Redmond/East Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 38%.

Median sales price increased from $422,475 to $429,950.

189 homes were for sale

A total of 85 homes sold.

South Bellevue/Issaquah

The odds of selling a home were 24%.

Median price decreased from $599,475 to $578,500.

380  homes were for sale.

A total of 110 homes sold.

Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland

The odds of selling a home were 23%.

Median price was down from $499,950 to $369,475.

598 homes were for sale.

A total of 158 homes sold.

Kirkland

The odds of selling a home was 23%.

Median price decreased from $549,900 to $541,500.

288 homes were for sale.

A total of 76 homes sold.

West Bellevue

The odds of selling a home were 20%.

Median pricing decreased from $1,299,000 to $1,074,475.

175 homes were for sale.

A total of 42 homes sold.

Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation

The odds of selling a home were 20%

Median pricing increased from $548,000 to $549,000.

337 homes were for sale.

A total of 75 homes sold.