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What Were The Odds of Selling Your Seattle-Eastside Home in March, 2010?
Seattle- Eastside Real Estate Sales, March 2010
The odds of selling a home on the Eastside in March, 2010 ranged from a low of 18% to a high of 34%, with an average 27% absorption rate. (The absorption rate is the number of homes for sale in any given month divided by the actual number of homes sold that month.)
March, 2010 2923 homes for sale 778 homes sold 27% odds of selling.
February, 2010 2706 homes for sale 506 (was 599) homes sold now 18% (was 22%) odds of selling.*
March, 2009 3711 homes for sale 305 homes sold 8% odds of selling.
*Adjusted from previous month’s numbers to reflect the actual number of homes sold and closed. Each month some sales fall apart and don’t close. A lower number of home sales may be reported at a later date to show the actual number of sales that did close.
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March, 2009 Seattle-Eastside real estate market compared to March, 2010:
- Home sales were up in all Seattle-Eastside cities, a trend which we’ve seen since the first of the year.
- Last week, we hit 12,726 properties for sale in King County, exactly 3000 more properties than the first week in January.
- This week we saw the first significant drop in the number of King County properties for sale as the number dropped by 120 to 12,606. There’s only been one other week this year where the amount of homes for sale dropped and that was only by 8 homes.
- On Seattle’s eastside the number of homes for sale continues to rise as over 200 more homes came on the market this past month.
- The median price was down by 7%, the same as last month. (Keep in mind this is comparing last March’s numbers to this March and is not an indication of the total drop in price for the year.)
- Home sales on Seattle’s Eastside: up 85%!
- Number of homes for sale on Seattle’s Eastside: down 21%
Best odds of selling: Redmond, near Microsoft, and East Bellevue with the greatest odds of selling. Thirty-four percent of the homes got offers.
Worst odds of selling: West Bellevue, with only 18% of the homes getting accepted offers.
Biggest increase in sales from last year: The plateau cities of Sammamish and Issaquah, plus Fall City and North Bend, with 154% increase in the number of home sales from last year.
Smallest increase in sales from last year: Redmond and Carnation, with an 18% increase in home sales over last year.
Decline in real estate sales from last year: None on the eastside. More homes sold in all areas of the eastside this March than compared to March, 2009.
The peak of homes for sale in 2008: July, 4370 homes.
The peak of homes for sale in 2009: June, 3859 homes.
The number of eastside homes for sale at the start of 2010: 2584 homes
The number of eastside homes for sale now: 2923 homes.
Rate of home sales that failed and did not close: 16%
What have you seen happening in your area? Are real estate sales popping?
For The Seattle Times view of the March, 2010 real estate market, check out this link. KPLU had a piece earlier this week about last month’s real estate activity.
What’s in store for April? What do you think will happen? I suspect the market will continue to be very strong, particularly in more affordable price ranges. Will our more positive real estate market continue after the April 30th deadline for the home buyer tax credit?
How Did February, 2010 Home Sales Stack Up in Your Seattle-Eastside Neighborhood?
[googlemaps http://maps.google.com/maps?source=s_q&hl=en&geocode=&q=Seattle-eastside&sll=47.709762,-122.011414&sspn=0.310487,0.911865&ie=UTF8&split=1&radius=21.22&rq=1&ev=zo&hq=Seattle-eastside&hnear=&ll=47.709762,-122.011414&spn=0.310487,0.911865&t=h&output=embed&w=425&h=350]
How did February, 2009 stack up to February, 2010 in your neighborhood?
(Click on the cities below to see real estate trends for the past 5 years. You’ll find the median pricing for each city and whether the number of homes for sale and the number of sales went up or down. The odds of selling a home in each area is a result of the number of homes for sale divided by the actual number of home sales.)
The plateau: Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City
The odds of selling a home were 19.5%.
Median sales price dropped from $522,250 to $499,995.
The number of homes for sale dropped by 18% and sales were up by 98% from last year.
The odds of selling a home were 29%.
Median sales price dropped from $457,475 to $430,000.
The number of homes for sale dropped by 26% and sales were up by 120%.
The odds of selling a home were 25%.
Median price stayed the same at $579,950.
The number of homes for sale dropped by 30% and sales were up 193.5%.
Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland
The odds of selling a home were 25%.
Median price increased to $397,000 from $381,450.
The number of homes for sale declined by 26% and sales were up by 95%.
The odds of selling a home were 21%.
Median price dropped from $687,000 to $537,500.
The number of homes for sale declined by 28% and sales were up by 106%.
The odds of selling a home were 16.5%.
Median pricing was down from $1,00,000 to $981,750.
The number of homes for sale decreased by 33% and sales increased by 52%.
Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation
The odds of selling a home were 25%
Median pricing decreased to $474,950 from $524,900.
The number of homes for sale decreased by 27% and sales increased by 90%.
Median home prices in February, 2010 increased only in one Seattle-Eastside area, which includes Woodinville, North Kirkland, Bothell, and Duvall, when comparing 2-09 to 2-10. Although, if you look at the full year, prices in that area did not increase. Remember, this post only compares the month of February’s numbers to last February and does not include the entire year’s activity and information. South Bellevue and Issaquah home prices remained steady for the second month in a row, which is a very strong sign for those neighborhoods.
Most of the other Seattle-eastside neighborhoods experienced a reduction in sales price. The most significant decrease was in Kirkland, where median home values dropped by 21%. Sales in Kirkland, however, are up by 106%. I think Kirkland home buyers are feeling that real estate prices are more manageable in Kirkland and are more willing to buy a home in Kirkland now.
The increase in the number of home sales ranged from 52% in West Bellevue to 193.5% in South Bellevue and Issaquah. However, with the exception of West Bellevue, the increase in Seattle-eastside real estate sales was no less than 90% more than last February’s home sales.
The number of homes for sale in all Seattle-eastside neighborhoods was lower than last February with an average of 25% less homes for sale. This number will not be as low come March as more Seattle-eastside homes have been coming up for sale since the beginning of the month. Stay tuned for next month’s report, when I’ll have all the real estate data for the month.
I anticipate Seattle-eastside home sales to continue at this strong pace during the month of March as home buyers scramble to use the 2010 home buyer tax credit.
What do you think?
What Were The Odds of Selling Your Seattle-Eastside Home in Feb, 2010?
Seattle-Eastside Residential Real Estate Statistics-Feb 2010
The odds of selling a home on the Eastside in February, 2010 ranged from a low of 16.5% to a high of 29%, with an average 22% absorption rate. (The absorption rate is the number of homes for sale in any given month divided by the actual number of homes sold that month.)
February, 2010 2706 homes for sale 599 homes sold, 22% odds of selling.
January, 2010 2588 homes for sale, (n0w 477) 539 homes sold, (now 18%) 20% odds of selling.*
February, 2009 3574 homes for sale, 264 homes sold, 7% odds of selling.
*Adjusted from previous month’s numbers to reflect the actual number of homes sold and closed. Each month some sales fall apart and don’t close. A lower number of home sales may be reported at a later date to show the actual number of sales that did close. (see explanation below)
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February, 2009 Seattle-Eastside real estate market compared to February, 2010:
- Home sales were up in all Seattle-Eastside cities.
- The number of homes for sale has begun its “spring creep up”. The year started out at the lowest point in three years. We’re now seeing more on the market. Expect to see a jump in homes for sale with the March report coming next month.
- The median price was down by 7%. (Keep in mind this is comparing last February’s numbers to this February and is not an indication of the total drop in price for the year.)
- Home sales on Seattle’s Eastside: up 103%!
- Number of homes for sale on Seattle’s Eastside: down 25%
Best odds of selling: Redmond, near Microsoft, and East Bellevue with the greatest odds of selling. Twenty-nine percent of the homes got offers.
Worst odds of selling: West Bellevue with only 16.5% of the homes getting accepted offers.
Biggest increase in sales from last year: South Bellevue with 193% increase in the number of home sales from last year.
Smallest increase in sales from last year: West Bellevue, with a 52% increase in home sales over last year.
Decline in real estate sales from last year: None on the eastside. More homes sold in all areas of the eastside this February than last February, which is no big surprise.
The peak of homes for sale in 2008: July, 4370 homes.
The peak of homes for sale in 2009: June, 3859 homes.
The number of eastside homes for sale at the start of 2010: 2584 homes
The number of eastside homes for sale now: 2706 homes.
Rate of home sales that failed: 12%
Will our more positive real estate market continue after the April 30th deadline for the home buyer tax credit? What do you think?
How Did January, 2010 Home Sales Stack Up in Your Seattle-Eastside Neighborhood?
[googlemaps http://maps.google.com/maps?source=s_q&hl=en&geocode=&q=Seattle-eastside&sll=47.709762,-122.011414&sspn=0.310487,0.911865&ie=UTF8&split=1&radius=21.22&rq=1&ev=zo&hq=Seattle-eastside&hnear=&ll=47.709762,-122.011414&spn=0.310487,0.911865&t=h&output=embed&w=425&h=350]
How did January, 2009 stack up to January, 2010 in your neighborhood?
(Click on the cities below to see real estate trends for the past 5 years. You’ll find the median pricing for each city and whether the number of homes for sale and the number of sales went up or down. The odds of selling a home in each area is a result of the number of homes for sale divided by the actual number of home sales.)
The plateau: Sammamish, Issaquah, North Bend, and Fall City
The odds of selling a home were 21%.
Median sales price dropped from $535,000 to $499,000.
The number of homes for sale dropped by 24% and sales were up by 60% from last year.
The odds of selling a home were 28%.
Median sales price dropped from $480,000 to $450,000.
The number of homes for sale dropped by 22% and sales were up by 103%.
The odds of selling a home were 27%.
Median price stayed the same at $559,000.
The number of homes for sale dropped by 27% and sales were up 84%.
Woodinville/Bothell/Kenmore/Duvall/North Kirkland
The odds of selling a home were 18.5%.
Median price decreased to $389,725 from $438,200.
The number of homes for sale declined by 21% and sales were up by 63%.
The odds of selling a home were 23%.
Median price dropped from $512,440 to $499,950.
The number of homes for sale declined by 21% and sales were up by 90.5%.
The odds of selling a home were 12%.
Median pricing was down from $1,027,500 to $899,000.
The number of homes for sale decreased by 32.5% and sales increased by 35%.
Redmond/Education Hill/ Carnation
The odds of selling a home were 21%
Median pricing increased to $524,990 from $484,950.
The number of homes for sale decreased by 21.5% and sales increased by 73%.
Median home prices in January, 2010 increased only in one Seattle-Eastside area, Redmond, when comparing 1-09 to 1-10. If you look at the full year, prices in that area did not increase. South Bellevue and Issaquah home prices remained steady when compared January, 2009.
All other eastside areas showed a decline in pricing. The most significant decrease was in West Bellevue, where median home values dropped by almost a third. Sales in West Bellevue continued to increase from last year, although the increase was lower than what was seen in December, ’09.
Redmond, near Microsoft, and East Bellevue are booming with home sales once again, after a couple of slow months. But again, the statistics do not show prices up in this area, although home sales certainly are up!
With the extension of the home buyer tax credit, smaller numbers of homes for sale, low interest rates, real estate activity should be brisk in the first part of the year. For these reasons, if you want to sell your home and move in 2010, do it now, rather than later in 2010.
What Were The Odds of Selling Your Seattle-Eastside Home in January, 2010?
Seattle-Eastside Real Estate, January, 2010
The odds of selling a home on the Eastside in January, 2010 ranged from a low of 12% to a high of 28%, with an average 21% absorption rate. (The absorption rate is the number of homes for sale in any given month divided by the actual number of homes sold that month.)
January, 2010 2588 homes for sale, 539 homes sold, 27% odds of selling.
December, 2009 2584 homes for sale, 419(now 358) homes sold 16%(Now 14%) odds of selling.*
January, 2009, 3144 homes for sale 248 homes sold 9% odds of selling.
*Adjusted from previous month’s numbers to reflect the actual number of homes sold and closed. Each month some sales fall apart and don’t close. A lower number of home sales may be reported at a later date to show the actual number of sales that did close. (see explanation below)
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January, 2009 Seattle-Eastside real estate market compared to January, 2010:
- Home sales were up in all Seattle-Eastside cities.
- The number of homes for sale dropped to the lowest number since February, 2007.
- The median price was down by 1.8%. (Keep in mind this is comparing last January’s numbers to this January and is not an indication of the total drop in price for the year.)
- Home sales on Seattle’s Eastside: up 76%!
- Number of homes for sale on Seattle’s Eastside: down 27%
Best odds of selling: Redmond, near Microsoft, and East Bellevue are back on top as the areas with the greatest odds of selling. Twenty eight percent of the homes got offers. Last month the area had the worst odds on the eastside.
Worst odds of selling: West Bellevue with only 12% of the homes getting accepted offers.
Biggest increase in sales from last year: Redmond, near Microsoft, and East Bellevue with 103% increase in the number of home sales from last year.
Smallest increase in sales from last year: West Bellevue, with a 35% increase in home sales over last year.
Decline in real estate sales from last year: None on the eastside.
The peak of homes for sale in 2008: July, 4370 homes.
The peak of homes for sale in 2009: June, 3859 homes.
The number of eastside homes for sale at the start of 2010: 2584 homes
The number of eastside homes for sale now: 2588 homes.
Rate of home sales that failed: 15%
Why home sales fail to close:
- This can be the result of inspections in which buyers and sellers do not agree, an appraisal that does not justify the sales price, lenders who do not package the loan properly or the great number of short sales that are out there.
- Short sales are sales in which the selling price for a property is less than the price owed to the bank, so the seller is “short.” Many of these offers do not stay together because it often takes months for a short sale to get approved by the bank. There’s no guarantee the bank will accept an offer. I’ve heard only 4% of the short sales actually close in King County. Since there’s a huge number on the market, if you’re someone willing to take a chance and accept that your offer may never be looked at or accepted, then a short sale may be a way to go. With the extension of the home buyer tax credit, home buyers have more time to go after short sales. However, months may still be needed to get the short sale closed, if it is to close at all. Since most buyers truly want to purchase a home and close on it, I would recommend NOT making offers on short sales. I’d also recommend reading as much as you can about short sales before attempting to make an offer on a short sale. This way you’ll be prepared if you choose to go the route of a short sale.
2009 Ends With a More Balanced Real Estate Market Around Seattle
King-Snohomish County Real Estate December, 2009
December, 2009 Seattle real estate finished the year off on a more positive note. With so much of the Seattle area real estate market showing “yellow,” there was a solid return to a real estate market more evenly balanced between buyers and sellers. This is more like the real estate market we saw in the 1990’s.
There was still a significant increase in real estate sales from December, 2008, with West Bellevue leading the way on Seattle’s eastside. The number of West Bellevue home sales shot up by 279%! Because home prices in West Bellevue tend to be among the most expensive on Seattle’s eastside and in the Seattle area in general, this signaled more of return to confidence in the real estate market. Prices for high end homes have dropped to the point that buyers were more comfortable buying. Since most of these sales had nothing to do with the first time home buyer credit, this signaled a strong change in buyer confidence and willingness to buy.
Prices tended to be more reasonable all over the Seattle area. Lower prices, low interest rates, and the first time home buyers’ tax credit did a lot to open up the real estate market.
The year ended with the lowest number of homes on the market for all of 2009. The amount of properties for sale was similar to what was available in 2007. This does not mean the market will return to 2007 real estate activity, but it is a good thing to see that there were, and are, less properties for sale in the Seattle area.
What’s in store for 2010?
I expect the extension and expansion of the 2010 home buyer credit to continue to spur real estate sales on. I also expect it to bring more home sellers into the market, so competition could increase again. The number of properties for sale is a huge factor in pricing and market time. The first part of 2010 should be pretty active for both home buyers and sellers. After April 30th when the home buyer tax credit goes away, much will depend on how many homes are on the market and the interest rates.
As I’ve mentioned before, be prepared for any and everything with real estate sales in the coming months. There’s no “one size fits all.” Home sales will depend on the price point, location, the home’s condition, the competition, and/or a combination of these things. Some homes will sell quickly and for a good price, others will still undergo significant price reductions to meet market expectations, and others will sell, but for less than one would expect. This, actually, is what we expect to see in a normal, more balanced real estate market.
What do the numbers on the map mean?
The map is divided into the numbered areas as defined by our Northwest Multiple Listing Service (NWMLS). Downtown Bellevue is area 520 and East Bellevue is area 530, as an example.
What do the colors mean?
Red means it’s a sellers’ market, a sellers’ advantage.
Yellow means a balanced market between buyers and sellers.
Green means its a buyers’ market.
If you take each area as shown on the map and look to the area number on the side of the map, it will tell you how long it would take to sell every home currently for sale if no other home came up on the market in that area.
What Were The Odds of Selling Your Seattle-Eastside Home in December, 2009?
Seattle-Eastside Residential Sales, December, 2009
The odds of selling a home on the Eastside in December 2009 ranged from a low of 11% to a high of 20%, with an average 16% absorption rate. (The absorption rate is the number of homes for sale in any given month divided by the actual number of homes sold that month.)
December, 2009 2584 homes for sale, 419 homes sold 16% odds of selling.
November, 2009 2943 homes for sale 503 (now 457)homes sold 17% (now 15.5%) odds of selling.*
December, 2008 3413 homes for sale 207 homes sold 6% odds of selling.
*Adjusted from previous month’s numbers to reflect the actual number of homes sold and closed. (see explanation below) Each month some sales fall apart and don’t close. A lower number of home sales may be reported at a later date to show the actual number of sales that did close.
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December, 2008 Seattle-Eastside real estate market compared to December, 2009:
Several important trends this month:
- Home sales were up in all Seattle-Eastside cities.
- The number of homes for sale dropped to the lowest number since March, 2007. This is a huge factor in our real estate market. For most of the past two years, there’s been a large number of homes on the market. In 2005 and 2006, when the real estate market was booming, we saw the numbers of homes for sale on the eastside in the 2000-3000 range.
- The median prices were down by 3%.
- Home sales on Seattle’s Eastside: up 81%!
Sales prices: down 3%.
Number of homes for sale: down 24%.
Best odds of selling: For the third month in a row, the cities of Sammamish, Issaquah, Fall City, Snohomish, and North Bend, with 20% of the homes selling.
Worst odds of selling: West Redmond, near Microsoft, and East Bellevue with 13% odds of homes selling.
Biggest increase in sales from last year: West Bellevue, with 279% more home sales, which translates to 34 home sales in 2009 vs. 9 home sales in 2008.
Smallest increase in sales from last year: East Bellevue/Redmond area around Microsoft with a 6% increase in sales over last year.
Home sales in Bellevue and Redmond were tops for several years and have now dropped off when compared to other eastside cities.
Decline in real estate sales from last year: None on the eastside.
The peak of homes for sale in 2008: July, 4370 homes.
The peak of homes for sale in 2009: June, 3859 homes.
The number of homes for sale at the start of 2010: 9726 homes
Rate of home sales that failed this month: 9%
Why home sales fail to close:
- This can be the result of inspections in which buyers and sellers do not agree, an appraisal that does not justify the sales price, lenders who do not package the loan properly or the great number of short sales that are out there.
- Short sales are sales in which the selling price for a property is less than the price owed to the bank, so the seller is “short.” Many of these offers do not stay together because it often takes months for a short sale to get approved by the bank. There’s no guarantee the bank will accept an offer. I’ve heard only 4% of the short sales actually close in King County. Since there’s a huge number on the market, if you’re someone willing to take a chance and accept that your offer may never be looked at or accepted, then a short sale may be a way to go. With the extension of the home buyer tax credit, home buyers have more time to go after short sales. However, months may still be needed to get the short sale closed, if it is to close at all. Since most buyers truly want to purchase a home and close on it, I would recommend NOT making offers on short sales. I’d also recommend reading as much as you can about short sales before attempting to make an offer on a short sale. This way you’ll be prepared if you choose to go the route of a short sale.
- My team and I are closing on a short sale this week. The original offer was written in August. There were two lienholders, two banks with mortgages on the property, which complicated the process. Short sales can happen, but a buyer has to expect a rocky ride through the sales process, if the banks actually respond to the offer. Be ready for most anything and most of all, be patient and not under any time constraints.
